The LoHud Yankees Blog

Our next Pinch Hitter is familiar to the series. Jesse Rosenthal grew up as a Yankees fan living in Massachusetts. “Since I needed something to keep me busy in the off-season,” he wrote. “I started following football and became a Patriots fan. People just don’t get that, but what can I do?” Jesse has lived in several countries, and currently calls Hong Kong home. He’s looking forward to celebrating his 30th birthday in April watching the Yankees and Red Sox.

For now, Jesse is looking back. For his post, Jesse took a look at last season’s unique finale: The last day of the regular season that seemed to decide everything.

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When seasons end, as they invariably do, what stays with you most?

Despite being engaged in every minor detail throughout the season, when it’s all said and done, my brain is only large enough to retain a few key events. Maybe it’s a milestone, a breakout season, or even a world championship. Most of the memories fade quickly and with little fanfare, but a small number remain. And these firmly entrenched memories – for better or worse – tend to define a season for me many years later.

The ’96 season conjures memories of Jeffrey Maier’s catch and Jim Leyritz’s homerun. When I think of the ‘04 season, as painful as it is, I can’t help but remember that one fateful stolen base by Dave Roberts. The ‘09 season reminds me of Andy Pettitte’s three series-clinching wins in the postseason, culminating in a World Series championship.

Now that we are removed from the 2011 season, there are two events in particular that I believe will define the season for me years from now. The first is pretty obvious – Jeter’s five-hit game in which he also clubbed his 3,000th hit. This is one of those stories that will be passed down from generation to generation, when parents attempt to describe the greatness of Derek Jeter. The other event didn’t really impact the Yankees’ season, but to me it is as unforgettable as it was improbable: the Red Sox collapse, and in particular, the last day of the regular season.

A week before the end of the regular season, I was in Boston (my hometown) for a friend’s wedding. Fans spoke with confidence about how the Sox would “at least win the wild card.”

As the final week progressed, the Yankees locked up their playoff spot with a division title. The Sox, on the other hand, seemed overmatched almost every night, as if they knew something bad would happen when the stepped on the field. And yet on that final day, it was still an improbability that the Sox would not win the wild card. Only with a Sox loss and a Yankees loss would the Rays slip in for the wild card.

To me the final Red Sox game was, in many ways, a microcosm of their entire 2011 season: High hopes at the starts, bumpy points along the way, seemingly very strong mid-way through, and utter collapse at the end. Late in their 162nd game, there was no semblance of team unity. High-prized free agents were stumbling in their attempt to win over frustrated fans, and veterans who had succeeded in similar situations in the past simply looked dumbfounded.

I’m a firm believer that as fans, we should have some understanding of history, but what matters most is what we experience firsthand. As a Yankees fan growing up in the 80’s and 90’s, I never harbored the same hatred for the Red Sox that Sox fans had for the Yankees. Sure, I always rooted against the Sox, just as I rooted against the Blue Jays and Orioles. But seriously, what had they done to deserve my hatred, besides being in the same division? In my lifetime, they had never won the World Series. I was too young in ’86 for that season to leave a mark on me.

And then 2004 happened, and my world was turned upside down. Finally, Yankee fans of my generation had a valid reason to hate the Sox.

In that vein, it was with much satisfaction that I sat back on September 28th and watched the Yankees — many of whom were September call-ups — blow a seven-run lead. You can disagree all you want, but I actually cheered as Dan Johnson (of all people) connected off Scott Proctor on a line drive that barely cleared the right field wall with two outs in the bottom of the ninth.

Yes, the Yankees lost the 2011 ALDS in a series that they should have won. And yes, that stung a bit. But years from now, when I think back on the 2011 season, I’ll see Jeter reaching down for a David Price curveball, Carl Crawford diving awkwardly and failing to make a critical catch, and Evan Longoria rounding the bases and charging towards home. It is moments like these that make baseball so compelling.

We have no way of knowing what 2012 will provide for our memory banks, but one thing I’m sure of is that I’ll be watching all 162 games.

Associated Press photo

Our next Pinch Hitter is 31-year-old Robert Tusso, who grew up a diehard Yankees fan in Chatham, N.J., but spent the past nine years living in Flagstaff, AZ. Robert works as a hydrologist for the U.S. Geological Survey. He studies the Colorado River at the bottom of the Grand Canyon, which means frequent raft trips lasting weeks at a time. “But thanks to satellite radio,” he wrote, “John & Suzyn are with me through every rapid.”

For his post, Robert considered the idea of expanded instant replay in baseball and what that might mean for a game that doesn’t always begin and end at convenient moments.

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When baseball’s new collective bargaining agreement was announced in November, most news stories mentioned, in one sentence or less, that instant replay would be expanded to fair/foul calls and “trap” catches. It was almost like a Bridge-to-Nowhere rider on a larger congressional spending bill, snuck in with very little detail. This wasn’t done by accident; baseball is a very tricky game to apply instant replay to, and lots of problematic details need to be ironed out. While most fans would like to see its use expanded, I think that it’ll actually end up being quite limited.

The main problem with reversing calls in baseball is that a play often doesn’t end with an umpire’s ruling; it often continues with the actions taken by every player on the field chosen directly in response to that umpire’s split-second decision. Not every play ends as cleanly as when Jim Joyce denied Armando Galarraga a perfect game by erroneously calling the Indians’ batter safe at first base. Consider the following hypothetical situation from a world with instant replay:

Bottom of the ninth, one out, Granderson at bat with the Yankees down by two. Gardner is on third, Jeter on first. Granderson hits a soft, sinking liner to left. Ellsbury dives, and appears to have trapped it, but the umpire rules “catch.” Gardner tries to tag and score. He collides with Varitek just as the throw gets there. The ump calls “safe” because, from his angle, it didn’t look like Varitek got his glove on Gardner. With Varitek down in a heap, Jeter breaks for third. Varitek throws to Youkilis, who misses the swipe tag on Jeter but gets the call anyway because the ump was out of position. Ballgame over. Or is it?

Girardi bursts from the dugout, demanding a review of the play at third. He is granted one, and the video clearly shows that Jeter was safe. So he is granted third base with two outs. Then Francona bursts from the dugout and demands a review of the play at home. Turns out Varitek did in fact tag Gardner for the third out. Ballgame over. Or is it? Girardi bursts from the dugout and wants a review of Ellsbury’s catch in right field. The video shows it was clearly a trap.

So now what happens now? A provision would have to be in place for awarding runners bases on an overturned trap play (like on a grounds rule double), because not doing so would mean Jeter and Granderson both on first. Say it’s one base; does Gardner automatically score, even though there was an actual play resulting in him being out at home? The rule could be that only forced runners get to advance. But what if Gardner had actually been safe at home, and Girardi opted to not challenge the trap call? Could the Red Sox challenge it, taking an out off the board but pinning Gardner at third? What a mess.

If that situation seems too far-fetched, how about a different situation that actually happened (and prompted calls for instant replay): The play where Jeter “faked” getting hit by a pitch. The one critical (and largely unnoticed) part of that play is that the ball hit off the knob of his bat and went fair. So in taking away the hit by pitch, you couldn’t just rule it a foul ball (and a strike). It would have to be a hit or an out. But neither of those would be right, because the umpire called time before the ball was fielded. And you can’t call “do-over” as if the play never occurred. Sports that employ instant replay just don’t do that. A ruling on a certain play might get overturned, but the play always counts. Are there instances in sports where instant replay grants a “do-over?” I can’t think of any.

There is yet another negative effect of having replay for safe/out calls on the bases: It would mean the end of the “phantom double play.” Managers may abstain from challenging for a while, but eventually it’ll make the difference between a win or a loss, and it will be challenged. And going forward, umpires will have to call it straight. And injuries will skyrocket.

Sure these are oddball scenarios, but with 32 teams playing 162 games a year, crazy stuff is going to happen. And the rules need to be watertight. While the point of instant replay is to enhance the integrity of the game, there are situations where it could end up making the game a complete farce (like pretty much any time there are runners on base). We may have the technology to see if a call was correct or not, but because of the way baseball is played, we may not be able to make much use of it.

Instant replay may not quite be a Bridge-to-Nowhere, but I’m not sure we want to see where it could lead.

Associated Press photo

Up next in our Pinch Hitter series is Ed Conde, the head of the federal government’s Alcohol Countermeasures Laboratory in Cambridge, MA. He was born in the Bronx and grew up in New York, so that explains his Yankees ties while working just outside of Boston.

For his post, Ed took a look at past prospects who have been considered truly elite. Do the game’s top prospects truly become the game’s top players?

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Many baseball fans eagerly await the publication of the Baseball America Top 100 Prospects list to see how their team’s prospects stack up against the best. I decided to research and answer the following questions:

1) What is the best way to obtain elite prospects?
2) Do the Baseball America Top 100 Prospects lists accurately predict major league success?
3) How well have the Yankees obtained and developed elite prospects?

I took the ten highest rated prospects from each of the 22 annual Baseball America Top 100 Prospects lists. I then eliminated duplications where athletes appeared more that once and ended up with 163 elite prospects (60 pitchers and 103 hitters). I then used information and data from “Baseball Reference” to analyze these players.

I wondered how many of these elite prospects actually end up having successful careers. To measure this, I arbitrarily defined a successful career to be one where a player achieves average production for 10 years. According to Baseball Reference, 2 Wins Above Replacement (WAR) is the average for a “regular” starting ballplayer. Therefore 2 WAR per year times 10 years give 20 career WAR. Current hitters with about 20 career WAR are Adam Kennedy, Mark Kotsay, and Aaron Rowland. Do most elite hitting prospects reach 20 WAR? Current pitchers with about 20 WAR are Bronson Arroyo, Doug Davis, and Jeremy Guthrie. Do most elite pitching prospects reach this level?

How do teams obtain elite “Baseball America” prospects?
Of the 163 elite BA prospects, 90 (55%) were drafted in the first round, 33 (20%) were drafted in later rounds, and 40 (25%) were signed as international free agents. Of the 60 elite pitchers, 31 (52%) were drafted in the first round, 16 (27%) in subsequent rounds, and 13 (22%) were signed internationally. For the 103 elite hitting prospects, 59 (57%) were drafted in the first round, 17 (17%) in subsequent rounds, and 26 (26%) were signed as international free agents.

Clearly, the best way to get elite BA prospects is select them in the first round of the amateur draft. Historically this has been true for both pitchers and hitters.

Do most Baseball America elite prospects have successful careers?
How many of these elite BA prospects actually go on to have successful Major League careers (20 WAR)? What percentage of these elite prospects actually become the next Mark Kotsay or the next Jeremy Guthrie and reach 20 career WAR? Fifty percent? Seventy five percent?

Would you believe that only 10 of the 60 (16.6%) elite pitchers and 36 out of the 103 (35%) elite hitting prospects have reached 20 WAR? Only three young pitchers (Clayton Kershaw 16.9 WAR, Edwin Jackson 10.7, and David Price 10.4) and three young hitters (Prince Fielder 19.6 WAR, BJ Upton 16.7, and Justin Upton 11.0) are more than 1/2 way to 20 WAR and likely to reach it. Clearly fan’s expectations for these young players are unrealistic.

Were most successful Major League players once elite BA prospects?
I looked at the 20 best active pitchers and the 20 best active hitters (using career WAR) to see if most were once elite BA prospects.
Eleven of the 20 (55%) best active hitters were once BA elite prospects. Baseball America hit on over 50% of these projections — impressive. However, only three of 20 (15% – Sabathia, Felix, and Beckett) of the best active pitchers were once BA elite prospects! Pitchers like Roy Halladay, Mariano Rivera, Johan Santana, Roy Oswalt, and Cliff Lee never attained top 10 status.

Pitcher’s appear to be much more difficult to project. Top pitchers are often not first round draft picks. Of the top 20 active pitchers in career WAR, only six were first-round draft picks. Eight of the 20 were drafted in later rounds and six were international free agents.

Good major league pitchers often develop from lesser prospects. Conversely, many great pitching prospects fail. Since pitchers are hard to project and seem to develop slowly, teams should obtain as many good pitching prospects as possible and wait patiently for them to develop.

How well do the Yankees obtain and develop young talent?
There have been 163 different elite BA prospects (60 pitchers and 103 hitters) spread over 30 teams. This equates to 5.43 elite BA players per team (2.00 pitchers and 3.43 hitters.)

The good news is that the Yankees have obtained and developed 10 elite BA prospects — second only to the Atlanta Braves (11). No team has had more elite BA pitchers than the Yankees: (4 – Brien Taylor, Jose Contreras, Phil Hughes, and Joba Chamberlain). Only Atlanta, Toronto, and the Dodgers have also produced four.

The bad news is that the Yankees have been terrible at turning elite BA prospects into successful major leaguers. The Yankees are dead last among teams that have had five or more elite BA prospects. Derek Jeter is the only elite Yankees prospect who has reached 20 career WAR. Not a single elite Yankees pitching prospect has reached 20 WAR during the 22 years that “Baseball America” has created the lists.

The silver lining has been that the Yankees have had great success turning lesser prospects into successful players. Mariano Rivera, Andy Pettitte, Jorge Posada, Chien-Ming Wang, and Ivan Nova have far exceeded expectations.

The Yankees have been great at obtaining elite young talent. The lower levels of their minor league system is often brimming with talent. The next step is turning that elite talent into good major league ballplayers. If they better develop their elite prospects and continue to find hidden gems, then the future is bright.

Go Yankees!

Let’s face it, folks. Not too many people are thinking about baseball tonight. The Super Bowl is the Super Bowl, so unless the Yankees trade away Derek Jeter, they’re probably not getting the headlines tomorrow morning.

Speaking of tomorrow, I’m supposed to take one week off before spring training, so that’ll be starting tomorrow. The Pinch Hitters series will keep running in the mornings, and our friends at The Journal News will be filling in as necessary.

I’ll see you all again for that last week leading into spring training. Maybe we’ll all have some more answers by then. Until then, the a look back at the past week in review.

• Mark Teixeira said he’s focused on getting more base hits left-handed this season, even if that means laying down a few bunts. Not something you hear very often from a middle-of-the-order power hitter.

• Joe Girardi publicly stated that he’d like the Yankees to add a left-handed hitter, specifically discussing Hideki Matsui, Johnny Damon and Raul Ibanez. It’s clear that the Yankees have the space and the desire to add a hitter (or two) but the team seems to be once again staying patient.

• Brian Cashman’s personal life became very public this week, with a woman arrested for stalking the Yankees general manager, then news that Cashman’s wife filed for divorce.

• Kevin Whelan cleared waivers and was assigned to Triple-A Scranton/Wilkes-Barre. He was DFA to make room for Hiroki Kuroda on the 40-man roster.

• The Yankees signed former Cubs general manger Jim Hendry as a special assignment scout, and also announced a series of front office promotions, including title bumps for Billy Eppler and Jean Afterman.

• Former Red Sox reliever Manny Delcarmen agreed to a minor league deal with the Yankees. He looks like little more than pitching depth at this point, probably a call-up candidate should the Yankees need some middle-inning help.

• There was a report that the Yankees were in “serious talks” with utility man Bill Hall.

• Edwin Jackson finally came off the market, as did Casey Kotchman. The free agent market is getting thinner and thinner with pitchers and catchers reporting in two weeks.

Associated Press photos

This morning, Stanford Williams’ gave us a Pinch Hitter post about all of the things he’s learned from the Yankees. As a follow-up, here are some of the things I still haven’t learned about the Yankees heading into next season.

Pitchers and catchers report in exactly two weeks, and these questions still stand.

Who’s going to get the DH at-bats?
Alex Rodriguez will get some of them. Derek Jeter will get a handful. Andruw Jones could handle the job against lefties. But here were sit, this close to spring training, and we still don’t know who the Yankees regular designated hitter will be. The free agent market offers several veteran options, and we know Brian Cashman is exploring the trade market, but right now it’s a complete mystery. Could Chris Dickerson get some at-bats against right-handers? Could Jorge Vazquez get a chance to bring his all-or-nothing bat to the big leagues? Surely the Yankees will find someone, but who?

How do seven fit into five?
CC Sabathia is the Opening Day starter. We know that much. We know Hiroki Kuroda didn’t sign a $10-million deal to pitch out of the bullpen, we know the Yankees didn’t trade away Jesus Montero to get a Triple-A pitcher, and we know Ivan Nova was dominant last year’s second half. But we don’t know exactly how this Yankees rotation is going to shake out. In fact, the fifth starter favorite changes with each person you ask. Phil Hughes has the potential, A.J. Burnett has the contract and Freddy Garcia has the proof of a strong 2011 season.

What’s the plan for Alex Rodriguez?
He says he’s healthy, and the Yankees say he’s healthy, but after a series of injuries in recent years, exactly how much time with Rodriguez spend at third base? And if the Yankees need someone to give him a break now and then — once a week, let’s say — who’s going to fill that time? We know Eric Chavez is still out there, but Eduardo Nunez also had a solid debut (though obviously marked with some inconsistencies).

How far away is Joba Chamberlain?
Every indication is that Chamberlain’s recovery from Tommy John surgery is going as well as possible, but what does that mean? It surely doesn’t mean he’ll be ready for Opening Day, but is May a possibility? June? July? How conservative will the Yankees be, and what will Chamberlain’s stuff look like when he’s back in a game situation?

Should we expect surprises?
Maybe the question should be, what counts as a surprise? Should we be surprised if Robinson Cano is batting third in that first Grapefruit League game? Is it a lock that Derek Jeter will be the leadoff hitter? Is there any chance Rafael Soriano will step back into the eighth inning ahead of Dave Robertson? Joe Girardi is a man who sticks to his guns, but what are those guns — I mean, binders — telling him this year?

Associated Press photo

Our next Pinch Hitter, Sanford Williams, is a 44-year-old Yankees fan who has been married to his wife Anastasia for 23 years. He calls her “an incredible woman,” and the two have three children. One is a student at the University of Virginia Law School, one is an undergraduate at UVA, and the youngest is a middle school student. Sanford was born and raised in New Jersey, went to college at Cornell, lived for a while in the Bronx – where Anastasia was born and raised – and eventually settled in Virginia.

For his post, Sanford looked back at more than four decades spent following the Yankees for a post he calls: What I have learned from the New York Yankees.

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I love sports. I love playing them and watching them, and, like most people I have my favorites. I root for my alma maters, Cornell University and the University of Virginia, in every sport, and I cheer for the Giants (Go Big Blue). Two teams I have rooted for as long as I can remember are the Georgetown Hoyas basketball team and the New York Yankees.

My love of the Yankees was passed down to me from my Dad. He loved and still follows the Yankees, but my cousin Denise and took it to another level. Neither of us named our kids Babe, Moose or Scooter — I know she was tempted to name her kid Louisiana Lightning — but we collected cards, bought yearbooks and went to as many games as we could.

My Dad was born and raised in New Jersey surrounded by Brooklyn Dodger fans. The Dodgers were heroes to many Black Americans because they integrated baseball when Jackie Robinson joined in 1947. Growing up, as an African American in a predominately African American neighborhood, my Dad was an anomaly. He truly appreciated the history of Jackie Robinson, but he liked the Yankees. He liked Elston Howard, but his favorite player was Mickey Mantle. My Dad told me he was a switch hitter who had a unique combination of power and speed.

The teasing of my Dad’s neighbors, friends and classmates only fortified his love for the Yankees, and that was the first lesson I learned from the team (albeit indirectly). It’s OK to like what you like. Or as kids say today, “do you.” Don’t worry about doing what’s popular.

The Yankees have taught me patience. I remember running around the house when I was 9 years old because Chris Chambliss hit a home run to win the pennant in 1976. The Yankees lost the World Series that year, but they won the next two, and I thought this is great. My team would win every year, but it took 18 years for the Yankees to win their next World Series.

I learned how to walk from Mickey Rivers. Not really. The dude could fly like the wind, but I think he walked slower than my 90-year-old grandma walks today. I loved watching him play though.

I learned about loyalty from Phil Rizzuto. Mr. Rizzuto lived in the town I grew up in. I did not know him personally, but everyone that knew him said he was a great guy who was loyal to the Yankees.

I learned about acting with class and dignity from watching many players. Paul Blair, Roy White, Jim Kaat, Graig Nettles, Chris Chambliss, Thurman Munson, Don Mattingly, Tino Martinez, Jorge Posada, Dave Winfield, Ron Guidry, Willie Randolph, Bobby Murcer, Derek Jeter, Nick Swisher, Curtis Granderson, Mark Teixeira, C.C. Sabathia, David Robertson, Gene Monahan (I know he’s not a player, but he seems like a cool guy and he was in the dugout just about my entire life) and Mariano Rivera are just a few to come to mind. I don’t know any of these men off the field, but as a child growing up who listened to the games, read the Sporting News and Baseball Digest, watched This Week in Baseball and Kiners Korner, and caught 1010 WINS to hear the latest news, and being an adult fan today who tries to catch at least a part of every game, these are some of the players who struck me as acting the way I would want to act if I played baseball.

I learned about tragedy, love and friendship after the death of Thurman Munson. I will never forget the shock that I felt as a kid that a real live Yankee could be here one day and gone the next. And I will never forget Bobby Murcer’s performance in the first game after Munson’s funeral.

I learned there are things you can’t rationally explain. Billy Martin and George Steinbrenner’s relationship. Why Giambi didn’t slide. Why Jeter was in position to throw him out. Luis Tiant’s pitching delivery. Why my afro never looked as cool as Oscar Gamble’s. Why my kids and my wife can hear the entire roll call and all they remember is “Der-ek Jeter.” Dwight Gooden’s no-hitter. Dave Righetti’s no-hitter. Jim Abbott’s no-hitter. David Wells. David Cone’ no-hitter. Why the Yankees have 5 no hitters in the last 50 years and the Mets have none. Why I stay up until 1:30 in the morning on a weekday watching a game against Seattle (or any other west coast team) when I know I have to go to work the next day.

I learned to love listening to baseball on the radio from Frank Messer, Bill White and Phil Rizzuto.

I learned that pitching is the key to the kingdom.I guess that means Jesus is the kingdom and Pineda was the key. I don’t want to get struck by lightning, so no jokes here.

I learned that you have to give something to get something (see Montero-Pineda). Its kind of like Rumplestiltskin says on that TV show I — I mean, my kids — watch called Once Upon a Time: “When you use magic, it always comes with a price.”

I learned that looks can be deceiving from Ron Guidry and Mariano Rivera. Neither man looks to be an imposing physical specimen, but what Guidry did in 1978 and what Rivera has done for his career are astounding.

I learned about miracles from Bucky Dent’s home run in Fenway, Aaron Boone’s home run in New York and Reggie Jackson’s three home runs in one game. I could not believe what I was seeing when I saw each of those events, and I will never forget them either.

I learned that sports can transform a community and championships aren’t everything. I will never forget the run in 2001. Of course I wish the Yankees won that World Series, but the tenacity they showed will not be forgotten by anyone who watched those games.

I learned that winning is fun and it never gets old. I can recite 1977, 1978, 1996, 1998, 1999, 2000 and 2009 in my sleep.

I learned that Yankee fans are everywhere. I have seen Yankee caps in many places including Haiti (shortly after the earthquake), Italy, England, France, South Africa (and even here in Virginia). It’s always a pleasant surprise to see a Yankees cap when far away from home, and it shows just how far flung Yankees Universe really is.

I could go on and on, but you would all stop reading and Chad would not be happy. So, I will end with this. The Yankees have taught me many things, but the most important lesson I have learned in my life as a Yankee fan is to weather the ups and downs and enjoy the ride.

And I intend to enjoy the ride this year and every year I am fortunate enough to be around.

Associated Press photo

February 19
Pitchers and catchers report to spring training.
Joe Girardi addresses the media in his pre-camp press conference.

February 20
First official workout for pitchers and catchers.

February 25
First full-squad workout with position players.

February 27
Spring training photo day. Players love this.

March 2
First exhibition game vs. the University of South Florida at Steinbrenner Field.

March 3
Grapefruit League opener vs. Phillies in Clearwater, Fla.

From the Associated Press…

NEW YORK — The wife of New York Yankees general manager Brian Cashman has filed divorce papers, a day after prosecutors charged a woman with stalking him and extorting money over an extramarital affair. Mary Cashman filed the paperwork Friday in Stamford, Conn.

Her lawyer didn’t immediately return a phone message Saturday. A spokesman for Brian Cashman says the family wouldn’t have any comment.

On Thursday, 36-year-old Louise Neathway was charged with harassing Cashman and threatening to harm his reputation if he didn’t give her thousands of dollars. Neathway’s lawyers deny it and say Cashman turned on her when their relationship ended badly.

A person familiar with the family says Cashman and his wife have been separated and living apart for a year. The person asked not to be named because of the private nature of the matter.

More details of the situation are in the New York Post.

In this morning’s Pinch Hitter post, Bill looked at the bigger picture. And with prospects, there’s always a bigger picture. A young player has long-term value as a future big leaguer, and he has immediate value as a trade chip. It’s up to the organization to decide which value is greater.

But with spring training barely two weeks away, the big picture isn’t all that matters. In the short term, the Yankees have to make some decisions about their depth. They need to get a look at some of their upper-level prospects and decide who might be able to help them this season.

A few players worth watching this spring…

David Adams
When he’s healthy, Adams has an intriguing bat for a second baseman (and experience at third base to suggest a possible utility role). Injuries have slowed his progress considerably, and right now Corban Joseph is probably ahead of Adams on the depth chart, but Adams is considered the more dynamic prospect. With a spot on the 40-man, he’ll be in big league camp assuming he’s healthy enough to play.

Colin Curtis
He’s no longer on the 40-man roster, but you can bet Curtis will be invited to big league camp. With Chris Dickerson and Justin Maxwell out of options, and Greg Golson out of the organization, the Yankees upper-level outfield depth centers on Curtis and a pair of minor league free agents. Girardi seems to trust the players he knows, and he knows Curtis. If he proves he’s past the shoulder injury that cost him last season, Curtis could stay in the picture for a call-up during the season.

David Phelps
The Yankees have more starting pitchers than they know what to do with, so guys like Phelps, D.J. Mitchell and Adam Warren won’t be competing for rotation spots this spring. What they’ll be fighting for is the attention of the big league coaching staff. The Yankees should have a deep Triple-A rotation, and despite the fact Dellin Betances and Manny Banuelos are the biggest names, Mitchell, Phelps and Warren have the most upper-level experience (and Mitchell and Phelps have 40-man spots). If the Yankees need to call up a starter at some point, they might just remember a strong showing in camp.

Austin Romine
Given a chance to play his way onto the New York roster last spring, Romine — just like Jesus Montero — struggled in big league camp. This year, he’s coming in as more than a prospect. He has some big league experience, and Joe Girardi seems to already trust his glove. Can he play his way into a backup role? Can he kick start a season that re-establishes himself as a future big league regular? With Montero gone, Romine’s won’t be overshadowed this spring.

Jorge Vazquez
Of course. The slugging first baseman has never been more interesting. Given the Yankees lack of an everyday designated hitter, Vazquez could legitimately hit his way into roster contention. There are clearly concerns about his strikeout rate, and there’s really no telling whether such an all-or-nothing bat will play at the big league level, but there’s no doubt about the power. If the Yankees don’t trade for a bat or find a free agent hitter at a reasonable cost, Vazquez could be a wild card alternative.

Our next Pinch Hitter is Bill Sullivan, a Vietnam veteran and former Lieutenant in the FDNY. Bill’s been a diehard Yankees fan since 1963, but wrote that his only highlight from that postseason was his favorite player, Mickey Mantle, going deep off Sandy Koufax.

Bill wrote: “My greatest pleasure as a fan has been watching young players come up through the system and spend their whole careers in pinstripes (Murcer, Munson, Mattingly, Jeter and Cano ) so I follow the minor leagues in anticipation of the next great Yankee to come along (fully appreciating the fact that one of these players is going to eventually outlast me).”

For his post, Bill looked at four positions of real depth for the Yankees, asking the question: Who should stay, and who should go? 

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The Yankees have such an abundance of quality young players at starting pitcher, catcher, center field and second base that they should be categorized as keepers or trade assets, since they cannot all make the big club at the same time.

In categorizing players you must understand that their value is based on ceiling projections and distance from the majors. Value is more certain the closer to the big leagues the player is, as he has traversed obstacles in his growth along the way. A player in A ball may have a higher ceiling but will not provide a fair value because so much can happen along the way.

Here is what the Yankees have to decide on.

Pitchers Banuelos and Betances are keepers because any opportunity at acquiring inexpensive, top-end starters cannot be squandered. The rest of the upper-level pitchers have value, especially to lower budget teams, but it’s hard to get real value for a pitcher as young as Campos. 

Looking at the catchers: Romine is blocked by a player with the same skills as his projected ceiling, thus making him expendable. Sanchez should be ready about 2014-15, creating a potential Girardi/Posada  apprentice relationship with a 32 or 33-year-old Martin.

The centerfielders are too far away to trade for anything significant, so hang on to them, and best-case scenario you have a complete, young, athletic and under-control outfield to replace the aging outfield in 2015, or at least tradable commodities down the road.

Second base belongs to Robinson Cano for the foreseeable future, though Gumbs is an interesting possibility for later in the decade.

As you can see Brian Cashman has done an excellent job building assets to keep the Yankees from having to go the more expensive route of  “free” agency because he can chose to promote from within or package assets to improve the club. Keep up the great work, Mr. Cashman.