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This just in: A-Rod is really good

April
17

Career home runs

1. Barry Bonds 762
2. Hank Aaron 755
3. Babe Ruth 714
4. Willie Mays 660
5. Sammy Sosa 609
6. Ken Griffey 595
7. Frank Robinson 586
8. Mark McGwire 583
9. Harmon Killebrew 573
10. Rafael Palmeiro 569
11. Reggie Jackson 563
12. Mike Schmidt 548
13. Mickey Mantle 536
14. Jimmie Foxx 534
15. Alex Rodriguez 522

A-Rod turns 33 in July and is in the first year of a 10-year contract. What’s reasonable to assume, 800? 900? Look at it this way: Let’s say he hits 35 more this season then averages only 25 a year over the remaining nine years of his deal. That’s 782, and that’s being conservative.

Meanwhile, how bad is it that four of the top 10 (Bonds, Sosa, McGwire and Palmeiro) almost certainly used PEDs? The quicker Rodriguez moves past them, the better the game will be.

This entry was posted on Thursday, April 17th, 2008 at 1:19 am by Peter Abraham.
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26 Responses to “This just in: A-Rod is really good”

  1. chase

    best ever

  2. bigjf

    Until he gets exposed for being on PEDs.

    …I hope that doesn’t happen.

  3. RSM

    It would be nice to have a Yankee at the top again.

  4. x23

    wow…he could def. pass Reggie this year or even Palemiro.

  5. mattseattleusa

    Great points, Pete! It will be great to see Griffey knock Sosa out of the top 5 this year, too!

  6. the todd

    poor griffey. if he didn’t get hurt all those years he’d be up there.

  7. MikeEff -Bring Shelley Back

    at least griffey will break 600…

  8. Patrick Bateman

    I don’t know if he’d pass Palmiero this year. Thats 51HRs this year. He’ll probably pass Schmidt and Jackson this season.

  9. Russ

    Yeah, but every single one of those home runs were meaningless, solo home runs at the 9th inning of blowout games.

    (Kidding, obviously. Well, mostly.)

  10. Derek - RETIRE 21!!! Moose Is The New Chet Stedman!!!

    The real shame is that if Griffey stayed healthy he woulda been there before bonds and all this drama wouldve never happened. Griffey was great to watch back in the day, loved to hate him, he was the Michael Jordan, the Reggie Miller, the sweet looping golf swing with the easy bat drop.

    We wish it was you, Griffey, I hated to see you beat us, but I wouldve loved for the champ to be you.

    Its a shame his demise was from going all out too early in 4 diff seasons. Gotta admire him. We all would have been much more appreciative of our current state of baseball had he stayed a dominant force.

    Keep goin Junior, as long as you can.

  11. WangFan88

    Pete, you think it’s “conservative” to estimate that he’ll hit 25 home runs in a season when he’s 43 years old? Huh?

  12. Derek - RETIRE 21!!! Moose Is The New Chet Stedman!!!

    yes wangfan, cause until hes 37 hes still gonna be bangin out 35+

  13. A-Point

    An average of 25 home runs a year isn’t that tough a stretch. While it might not be 25 when he is 43, he could put up a number of years in the 30’s and 40’s.

  14. Eric

    Imagine, a guy that can retire at 32 and be a no-brainer first ballot Hall of Famer.

  15. Joel

    WangFan,,, It’s conservative to think that all he’ll average in the next nine years is 25 a season. Meaning 25 when he’s 43 might be a lot, but maybe not, and by then he probably won’t need to hit that many to keep that 25-a-year average going.

    That’s what Pete was saying.

    Obviously.

  16. Russ

    A-Rod has hit fewer than 35 home runs exactly ONCE in his career (1997, his second season). I’d say it’s extremely conservative to say he’ll hit 25 for the next nine years, though 25 a season toward the end is possible.

    Any chance we get to 1,000 dingers with this guy? He’d have to hit 48/year for the next 10 years. No, no chance.

  17. MLb

    Yankees fans are racist.

  18. Russ

    Racist?

    We’re all reverse Native American-ists. We hate everyone who’s not part Indian. That’s why we love Joba and hate everyone else.

    You nailed it.

  19. MLb

    Russ- my point exactly.

  20. A-Point

    Hmmm, pretty strange comment there MLb.

  21. Don Vito A. Bellamo

    bigjf ….who are you ? Jose Canseco ?…get a life, troll !

  22. chaossolver

    racist?
    at least we dont have a racist reputation like boston

  23. Old Lady

    We’re pretty lucky to have A-Rod on the Yankees, don’t you think?

  24. Rob

    Personally, I don’t think he used PEDs, but isn’t pretty much everyone in the steroid era a suspect until proven innocent?

    Sosa and McGwire have been caught as many times as ARod and Jeter and Eckstein and Ortiz and Ripken and …

    Last year, how many of you believed that Clemens and Pettite used PEDs?

    Yes and no, for me, but I bet a lot of people didn’t think Clemens did(and maybe he didn’t, but…)

  25. YankeesLuv

    Arod is amazing.

  26. Thernos

    You’re not calling him Underdog anymore?

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Peter AbrahamPeter Abraham is the Yankees beat writer for The Journal News and LoHud.com. E-mail me at pabraham@lohud.com

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