Interesting take here from always-insightful Rob Neyer (with an assist from Tyler Kepner at the Times) on the declining value of Bobby Abreu.
Let me say upfront that advanced stats are not my thing. They just aren’t. I don’t disparage them at all and I think they have value, but they’re just not something I get as worked up about as other people. To me, they’re sort of like salt – everyone likes a different amount on their food, and I’m someone who doesn’t like all that much. I don’t deny that it’s a worthwhile spice – it’s just not for me.
That said, OPS+ is something I get (and think is important), and Neyer mentions how Abreu’s OPS+ was 120 last year (114 the year before) – hardly overwhelming for a guy who was an on-base machine earlier in his career. Clearly he’s declining, and he certainly wasn’t worth the massive money he was getting in his last contract. By comparison, Nady’s combined OPS+ last year was 128 and Swisher’s was 92 (his career high was 127 in 2007). Not fantastic, but way more acceptable considering their salaries.
It’ll be interesting to see where Abreu ends up. He wouldn’t be a bad fit for the Mets at the right price.