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I’m coming for you, Kevin Kennedy

Posted by: Peter Abraham - Posted in Misc on Aug 14, 2009 Print This Post Print This Post | Email This Post Email This Post

Geoff Decker, the editor of Where I Stand, has a blog and keeps tabs on assorted media types and their preseason predictions.

I’m tied for ninth place in his latest update.. Ken Davidoff of Newsday is in second, trailing only Kevin Kennedy of Fox.

Kenny D, representing New York. Nice work.

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31 Responses to “I’m coming for you, Kevin Kennedy”

  1. mike eff August 14th, 2009 at 9:47 am

    how could we only be 9th?! seriously though–congrats pete!

  2. Cash is King August 14th, 2009 at 9:58 am

    I don’t understand those rankings because until recently Kevin Kennedy thought the Yankees would be the AL East contender left out because he had Boston and Tampa in the playoffs. At least that’s what he’s been saying on his XM Radio show.

  3. Erica - always OPPC August 14th, 2009 at 10:09 am

    On to happier topics-

    Betsy, are you still considering attending the autograph signing on 8/27???

  4. yanksince57-was last year 1959 or was it 1965? August 14th, 2009 at 10:12 am

    well, i predicted a nyy ws win on 4/1/09! does that count lol.

  5. Bronx Jeers August 14th, 2009 at 10:12 am

    Welcome to the party Pete !

    I’m guessing Cleveland and Tampa are hurting a lot of the guys rankings.

  6. Robbykid August 14th, 2009 at 10:15 am

    Has any of you seen Adrian Beltre numbers in 2004?!!! If that doesnt scream out PED use, I do not know what does..

    http://sports.espn.go.com/mlb/.....yerId=3878

  7. betsy August 14th, 2009 at 10:15 am

    Erica, yes absolutely. That’s a work day, though – I need to find out what time the signing is. I may have to take 1/2 day. Are you still planning to go?

  8. vinny-b (thankful to have Girardi in charge) August 14th, 2009 at 10:17 am

    “Has any of you seen Adrian Beltre numbers in 2004?!!! If that doesnt scream out PED use, I do not know what does..”

    Brady Anderson-like

  9. Erica - always OPPC August 14th, 2009 at 10:18 am

    betsy
    August 14th, 2009 at 10:15 am
    Erica, yes absolutely. That’s a work day, though – I need to find out what time the signing is. I may have to take 1/2 day. Are you still planning to go?

    ****

    I would like to go, not for the autograph- but more to be able to say hi to you.

    The signing is from 6:30-8 (which makes sense with a day game at home that day). My hours at work were just increased due to deadlines and i am not allowed to take time off, so in reality I could not get there early if I wanted to :-(

  10. Trevor August 14th, 2009 at 10:21 am

    “Has any of you seen Adrian Beltre numbers in 2004?”

    Makes sense, contract year, want to get paid. Did PEDs to have a big year.
    He’s had no other season close to that.

  11. Bronx Jeers August 14th, 2009 at 10:24 am

    Davidoff could have easily been in 1st if it wasn’t for his “terribly misguided” AL east pick.

    You broke my heart Kenny. You broke my heart.

  12. Rebecca--Optimist Prime--Montero Fanaticus Primus August 14th, 2009 at 10:26 am

    If Beltre used PEDs he’s paying for it now…

  13. Abdababdaserser August 14th, 2009 at 10:27 am

    If players are smart and calculating when they use PED’s they will do their cycle in the off season when there is enough time to have the drugs out of their system prior to coming back for testing.

    Manny just pushed it too late, otherwise he wouldn’t have been caught… again.

    If MLB wants to clean it up then they have to get the players union to work with them on testing throughout the year. Multiple tests each year. No exceptions.

  14. CB August 14th, 2009 at 10:29 am

    To follow up on the discussion over the improvement in the bull pen – the Replacement Level Yankees Blog had this really striking breakdown of how drastically the bull pen has improved:

    4/6- 5/3
    IP: 76.7
    H: 82
    R: 62
    HR: 57
    BB: 39
    K: 73
    AVG/OBP/SLG: .272/.357/.503

    ERA: 6.69

    FIP: 5.73
    RSAR: -9

    5/4-8/12
    IP: 283.3
    H: 231
    R: 115
    HR: 40
    BB: 101
    K: 268
    AVG/OBP/SLG: .220/.290/.378

    ERA: 3.43

    FIP: 4.30
    RSAR: 77

    Total
    IP: 360.0
    H: 313
    R: 177
    HR: 56
    BB: 140
    K: 341
    AVG/OBP/SLG: .232/.305/.406
    ERA: 4.13
    FIP: 4.60
    RSAR: 68

    FIP: Fielding independent pitching
    RSAR: Runs saved above replacement

    Just remarkable stuff. Hughes has been a key, but it goes way past Hughes.

    http://www.replacementlevel.co....._homestand

  15. raymagnetic August 14th, 2009 at 10:31 am

    “Wow, so who cares, Ray? What’s your point? The guy made a comment I don’t like and I’m commenting on it. If you don’t have a problem with it, fine….”

    I’m just commenting on something you said that I didn’t like, so what’s the difference?

  16. Fire Bud Selig August 14th, 2009 at 10:33 am

    Erica, what color is your Hall Monitor Badge?

  17. Tom in N.J. August 14th, 2009 at 10:34 am

    The Yankees team slugging percentage is .479. Since the 2000 season there have only been two teams-the ’03 Red Sox and the ’01 Rockies who have had a higher one.

  18. raymagnetic August 14th, 2009 at 10:35 am

    CB,

    4/6 – 5/3 is an incredibly small samply size.

    Also, did he do a chart of what the starters ERA was during that time?

    I’m pretty sure that the dramatic improvement in the bullpen has a lot to do with the dramatic improvement in the starters.

  19. Blackaccord August 14th, 2009 at 10:35 am

    Pete,

    In our mind, you are #1… We don’t care what others say..

  20. m August 14th, 2009 at 10:36 am

    Would like to Ian Snell & Garret Olson for single-handedly (double?) helping our run differential, we vaulted 10+ last night. Would last night’s game be an outlier? haha.

    Snell gave a great compliment, and should’ve stopped right there. But he had to mention payroll, so it ended up being a back-handed compliment.

    While there’s truth to what he said, that we were able to accumulate talent, it doesn’t always show up. And certainly not on the same page.

    But you would think someone who collects millions of dollars to take the ball and pitch every five days (and not very well I might add!), wouldn’t be in awe of such 9 figure payrolls. Torii Hunter was obsessed with Yankee money, and then decided that the Angels money was just as good.

    Same thing with players who just had to point out the cost of the stadium. Ugh. Move on.

    Anyway, nothing to gain by talking about the size of the stadium, how much it costs, or how much the Yankees make. It’s petty jealousy.

  21. Erica - always OPPC August 14th, 2009 at 10:39 am

    raymagnetic
    August 14th, 2009 at 10:35 am
    CB,

    4/6 – 5/3 is an incredibly small samply size.

    Also, did he do a chart of what the starters ERA was during that time?

    I’m pretty sure that the dramatic improvement in the bullpen has a lot to do with the dramatic improvement in the starters.

    ****
    Actually, a big part of the argument for the improvement in the bullpen is the change in who is in it,

    From the Opening 25 Man Roster and Gone Now:
    Marte (injured, not really gone)
    Alby
    Ramierez
    Veras

    Huge additions to the bullpen during the season:
    Hughes
    Aceves

  22. Erica - always OPPC August 14th, 2009 at 10:40 am

    Fire Bud Selig
    August 14th, 2009 at 10:33 am
    Erica, what color is your Hall Monitor Badge?

    ***

    I am not a hall monitor. I am an Enforcer :-)

    But if I did have a badge, I would like it to be purple or green. It would compliment the blue in my eyes

  23. Andrew August 14th, 2009 at 10:45 am

    Erica is GTLU now over forever? Maybe you should only do it once or twice a week or something to cut down on the amount of work involved–it is ridiculous (not in a negative way, except for you who has to tabulate them all) how many people are participating nightly now. I would definitely understand if you retired the game altogether.

  24. CB August 14th, 2009 at 10:46 am

    “4/6 – 5/3 is an incredibly small samply size. ”

    They had an ERA of 6.69 from the pen for nearly the first month of the season.

    That is horrendous. It’s so bad that they whole “small sample size” issue is mitigated to a significant extent.

    That was not random chance driving that performance. And with small samples you worry about random behavior.

    The relief corp was awful.

    Now why the relief corp was awful is an entirely different issue and not one touched on in the analysis.

    I agree with that the fundamental reason why the relievers have been able to perform better has been due to the starters getting straightened out. No bull pen can be effective when the starters aren’t performing – not matter how talented the pen is.

    The starters ERA for that first month was last in baseball. It’s improved dramatically since then, similar to the way the pen’s has.

    That said, it’s impossible to ignore the dramatic reconfiguration of the pen on the fly.

    It’s not the same pen because it’s not the same players out there.

    When you see a turnaround that dramatic many factors are going to be in play. So it’s both related to the starters being better and with the players in the pen performing at a much higher level as Veras, Ramirez, Marte and Albaladejo were replaced.

  25. dan August 14th, 2009 at 10:48 am

    surprise surprise, k.law, pedro gomez and neyer are right near the bottom…wow espn really has the best experts out there….especially gomez, he is dreamy!

  26. Erica - always OPPC August 14th, 2009 at 10:51 am

    Andrew
    August 14th, 2009 at 10:45 am
    Erica is GTLU now over forever? Maybe you should only do it once or twice a week or something to cut down on the amount of work involved–it is ridiculous (not in a negative way, except for you who has to tabulate them all) how many people are participating nightly now. I would definitely understand if you retired the game altogether.
    ****

    Thanks for your positive words. I really can’t get over how popular it got. 51 people sent line ups yesterday!!! That is crazy. And that number only includes the ones who actually posted them during the proper 90- minute window. Many more were still posting despite the fact that I clearly said I wasn’t there anymore. LOL

    I am cancelling it today because I plan to leave work at 5, which is when it should start and I won’t be home until around 8-9ish.

    What I think I am going to do (not 100% sure yet) is keep the game going through August. Next week is all 10pm times so it shouldn’t interfere with work too much and the week after, I’ll deal with.

    After the September callups the game will get even crazier and Joe Girardi will come up with some real head scratchers. So I am almost certain certain I will end the game on August 31st. But again, no official decision has been made

  27. Erica - always OPPC August 14th, 2009 at 10:56 am

    new thread :arrow:

  28. Andrew August 14th, 2009 at 10:56 am

    Erica I didn’t even think about the September call-up aspect–Joe Girardi would end up in 1st place in the standings of GTLU within the first week, especially if the Yankees still have a big lead and he starts getting everyone rested for October.

    Regardless, it has been fun to watch the game grow from an off-hand time waster to a hugely-popular LoHud sensation. I will have to do some serious work to get to 1st place before the 31st.

  29. Dr. Cox August 14th, 2009 at 11:00 am

    PED’s dont automatically make you a superstar. You actually have to something called Talent as well.

    Thats the one thing I think needs to be addressed in this steroid discussion. I have a feeling that a lot of people believe that once a player sicks need through his skin he automatically becomes Babe Ruth or something.

    It simply just does not work like that.

  30. Frank from Chatham, NJ August 14th, 2009 at 11:12 am

    Erica-

    If you really like doing the GTLU, then if I were you, I would impose a limit on the number GTLU entries you can handle effectively and then close the contest once that limit is reached.

    Increase or decrease the entry number daily based on your personal requirements such as workload at your office.

    It is popular so if you can’t run it on a particular day, maybe some of us would volunteer to help run it in your absence. You may want to share “how” you do it with your stand in so as to prevent that wheel from being re-invented.

    It is a thankless job but one that many on here appreciate you doing.

  31. sox r done August 14th, 2009 at 1:42 pm

    Kevin Kennedy is actually like the only smart baseball person on Fox. Maybe the only smart person period.

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