The official announcement of today’s winners will be at 2 p.m. Until then, here are my thoughts and predictions. Feel free to chime in with your own.
American League Rookie of the Year
The favorite: Elvis Andrus (Texas)
The contenders: Rick Porcello (Detroit), Jeff Niemann (Tampa Bay), Brett Anderson (Oakland), Andrew Bailey (Oakland), Gordon Beckham (Chicago)
The dark horses: Ricky Romero (Toronto), Matt Wieters (Baltimore)
The Yankee with a shot: Brett Gardner
Morning analysis: Andrus is the favorite in name only – truth is, this is a wide-open race that could be won by someone I didn’t even list here. I’ve always been more impressed with rookie pitchers that do well, so I’m more moved by Porcello, Niemann and Bailey.
The pick: Bailey was the only rookie All-Star on either roster but Porcello was a stud to the point that he got the ball in the playoff tiebreaker against the Twins and didn’t buckle at all. I’ll go with Porcello.
National League Rookie of the Year
The favorite: Chris Coghlan (Florida)
The contenders: Andrew McCutchen (Pittsburgh), Tommy Hanson (Atlanta), J.A. Happ (Philadelphia)
The dark horses: Dexter Fowler (Colorado), Garrett Jones (Pittsburgh)
The (former) Yankee with a shot: So … is Ross Ohlendorf a rookie? No? OK, um …
Morning analysis: As I said above, rookie pitchers who shine make me take notice and so it’s hard to ignore what Hanson, in particular, did in Atlanta. Twenty-one starts and an ERA of 2.89 is absolutely legit and Happ (2.93) was nearly as impressive. Coghlan, though, can’t be overlooked – his 113 second-half hits made him the first rookie ever to lead the league.
The pick: If it were me, I’d go with Hanson. In a prediction, though, I’ll go with Coghlan.