Most of the Javier Vazquez trade analysis I’ve read seems pretty positive for the Yankees.
The Hardball Times projects Vazquez to be “well-above average” even after moving to the American League East. Keith Law calls him, “one of the most valuable pitchers in his league in most years.” Former scout Frankie Piliere calls the trade a “major victory for the Yankees.” He writes that the Yankees rotation depth is now as good as any team in baseball.
Of the lost Yankees, it’s Melky Cabrera and Mike Dunn who are most familiar in New York, but it’s Arodys Vizcaino who was the key prospect in the trade.
It’s true that Vizcaino is a high-ceiling pitcher, but it’s also true that he’s 19 years old and a long, long way from the big leagues. A lot can happen between now and then. Patrick Teale calls him a future ace, Baseball America calls him polished but with a lot of work to do and Baseball Prospectus ranked him as the Yankees No. 2 prospect, a grade above Manny Banuelos and Zach McAllister.
Tough to lose that much potential, but Vazquez is durable, consistent and there’s a solid chance he could net a first-round pick in 2011. For a Yankees team that is almost certainly going to have at least one young starter (Hughes or Chamberlain), one starter with a history of injuries (Burnett) and one 37-year-old starter (Pettitte), adding durability and reliability to the back of the rotation seems like a plus.