AL East: Boston Red Sox
Posted by: Chad Jennings - Posted in Misc on Jan 25, 2010 
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Boston Red Sox
2009: Wild card, 95-67
Key additions: RHP John Lackey, SS Marco Scutaro, CF Mike Cameron, 3B Adrian Beltre, RF Jeremy Hermida, INF Bill Hall
Key losses: LF Jason Bay, RHP Takashi Saito, 1B Casey Kotchman, SS Alex Gonzalez, INF Nick Green, OF Rocco Baldelli (still a free agent)
• Like it or not, the Red Sox seem to have gotten better this winter. They haven’t individually replaced Bay’s production in the middle of the lineup, but a full season from Victor Martinez might help make up for that loss. Lackey should be a significant upgrade in the rotation, Scutaro should be a significant upgrade over Green/Gonzalez/Lugo at short and Hermida is a perfectly good replacement for Baldelli off the bench. It’s been written several times that the Red Sox have significantly improved defensively. The list of additions doesn’t include lefty Brian Shouse or swing man Boof Bonser, who add some depth to the pitching staff.
Youth on the way: The Red Sox top prospects – Ryan Westmoreland and Casey Kelly — are still in the lower levels, but outfielders Josh Reddick and Ryan Kalish are close to big league ready. They should be waiting in Triple-A if Boston needs one or both of them. Same with young starters Junichi Tazawa and Michael Bowden, each of whom has some big league time. 1B Lars Anderson remains an interesting young player despite an awful 2009 season in Double-A.
Experience on the slide: David Ortiz finished with 28 home runs last season, but he was awful early in the season. Mike Lowell seems to be falling apart, Jason Varitek has lost his everyday job and Cameron is entering his late 30s. Hideki Okajima remains a solid reliever, but he seems to have gotten a little bit worse year-by-year. Tim Wakefield is well into his 40s, but he also made his first all-star team last year.
Possible upgrades: Aside from unloading Lowell, there’s no obvious need for the Red Sox at this point. Their 40-man is full and all of their key roster spots are set. A bounce-back year from Ortiz would help, so would some continued development from Clay Buchholz.
• Age and injuries might be an issue with the Red Sox, but they’re no longer counting on Lowell or Varitek, and J.D. Drew made well over 500 plate appearances in three of the past four years. Boston also has six legitimate starters, which eases some concern about the health of the rotation.
Better than the Yankees: Not by much, but I’d take the Red Sox’ rotation ahead of the Yankees’ rotation. It might get me crushed to say this on a Yankees blog, but I really think Jon Lester is one of the best pitchers in baseball, and Lackey was a strong addition. I think the bottom of the Yankees’ rotation is better, but I give the Red Sox the edge at the top. Boston probably has an edge defensively, but I think it’s a small one.
Worse than the Yankees: By quite a bit, I’d take the Yankees’ offense over the Red Sox’ offense. Boston has more question marks, and I’m not sure the Sox have anyone who comes especially close to Mark Teixeira or Alex Rodriguez.
Yankee connections: Something about a rivalry. I don’t know the specifics, I’m new here. Oh, and Lowell was originally drafted by the Yankees (four hits in 18 at-bats with New York in 1998).
• Even after the Mariners strong offseason, the top two teams in the American League remain the Yankees and Red Sox. Boston brought in a lot of significant pieces this winter and they seem to be better than last year, but on the whole, I’ll stick with the world champs as the team to beat.
Prediction: Another wild card berth into the playoffs, where those top three starters could make things difficult.
Chad, you’re just being objective. The Red Sox have a good team. As far as their rotation goes, it’s very good on paper, but I think Beckett and Lester are the shining lights. Lackey can be very good if healthy, but that’s a large if. Ditto DiceK, though he needs to get past the 5th inning.
I think the Red Sox have more issues long term.
This season, it comes down to, in large part, injuries. For both the Red Sox and Yankees.
I’ll take the Yankees everyday of the week and twice on SUNDAYS!
Chad Jennings
January 25th, 2010 at 6:19 pm
I just wrote some nice-ish things about the Red Sox. Don’t attack me too much!
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I’d rather have a Johnny Damon post!
I am growing increasingly impatient. Can’t you make things happen Chad?
m
January 25th, 2010 at 6:26 pm
I’ll take the Yankees everyday of the week and twice on SUNDAYS!
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Same here
Erica – always OPPC – Bring Back Johnny!!!!
January 25th, 2010 at 6:27 pm
I’d rather have a Johnny Damon post!
I am growing increasingly impatient. Can’t you make things happen Chad?
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Erica, I’m not making any promises, but I will do my best to have another “Damon resigns with the Yankees” dream tonight
Ha! I’ll see what I can do, Erica.
SI_JonHeyman congrats to fellow northwestern grad mark loretta, who retired and joined #padres front office
Peter A. is that you?
Twice on Sundays? Is Selieg throwing a curve ball and having double headers on Sundays so we dont have to play the playoffs is snow?
Erin
January 25th, 2010 at 6:29 pm
Erica, I’m not making any promises, but I will do my best to have another “Damon resigns with the Yankees” dream tonight
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Good, but be very careful. I would rather you have a “Damon RE-SIGNS with the Yankees” dream
Erica – always OPPC – Bring Back Johnny!!!!
January 25th, 2010 at 6:36 pm
Good, but be very careful. I would rather you have a “Damon RE-SIGNS with the Yankees” dream
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LOL- I will try my best.
The obvious defensive weakness in Boston’s catching will bite them.
They have to hope Lackey’s elbow doesn’t act up as it has the last 2 seasons.
Matsuzaka is a mystery and not enough seen with Buchholz in critical games.
Wakefield is an injury waiting to happen.
No pitching that can be called near major league ready at AAA or AA levels.
Scutaro may have had his career year in 2009.
Tampa Bay will seriously challenge Boston.
CC Lester….i take CC
AJ Beckett….i take Beckett
Vasquez Lackey…i take Lackey
Pettite Dice-k…close, i really dont like Dice-k but slight edge at the least
Joba Bucholz…Toss up
edge to the red sox but anything can happen
Any of AJ, Beckett, Lackey, Dice-K could succumb to their previous injuries.
Pettitte could hit the “age wall”
Joba could become that star that we have seen glimpes of and the same can be said for bucholz..
Its true, Boston has zero catchers that can throw anybody out.
I take Pettite over Dice-k every day of the week and twice on Sundays.
pat,
Did Heyman congratulate Girardi when he got the Yankee manager job? When he won the World Series?
blake
January 25th, 2010 at 6:56 pm
Its true, Boston has zero catchers that can throw anybody out.
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Fact: I can steal a base on Varitek
Fact: I can steal a base on Varitek
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I can work a walk on Gyro.
Boston has terriffic defense pretty much everywhere but catcher.
Yanks defense is really good too, but perhaps a tad below Boston.
The x-factor is the Yanks’ vastly superior offense.
The Yankees have the edge in 3 of the 5 rotation spots IMO including the ace position with CC.
Dice k is garbage, gimmi pettite or Vasquez any day over him.
Wait till we do it all over Again January 25th, 2010 at 6:57 pm
I take Pettite over Dice-k every day of the week and twice on Sundays.
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Umm yes. This is such a no-brainer. Who wouldn’t want the most winning-est pitcher in post season history?
http://www.nj.com/yankees/inde.....nd_th.html
Erica – heres the article with the Damon contest. You can see how people voted
Hows the Sox bullpen looking?
Chad
et tu brutus?
All this post is doing is reinforcing how much I hate the Red Sox
Theo said he was concentrating on defense, he knows he doesn’t have the bats,not good defensive catchers, and a questionable bull pen How dare you Chad!!
I agree with most of what Chad says, but I think that the Yankees offence is much better than Boston’s. I don’t see Ortiz doing nearly as well this year, and that is after a pretty poor season last year, despite his surge later in the season.
The Yankees have a historically good offensive team on paper, especially if they can bring in a higher caliber outfielder like Damon. Boston’s offence is not bad, but without Bay it loses a lot of RBIs. The Yankees have it all 0 great OBP guys, great power guys, some speed and a lot of patience. Cano should be great this year, and I predict that Granderson shines in this lineup and playing at the New Yankees Stadium.
blake January 25th, 2010 at 6:56 pm
“Its true, Boston has zero catchers that can throw anybody out.”
Alas, we’ll never know because that defense won’t allow anything to fall in play. Right??
I did not realize that the Yankees pitching staff had the 3rd best ERA in the AL last year (4.28).
NYY626
January 25th, 2010 at 7:06 pm
http://www.nj.com/yankees/inde…..nd_th.html
Erica – heres the article with the Damon contest. You can see how people voted
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Thanks for the link!!
I would even take our pitchers twice on off days.
They just said on MLB Network that the Tigers are planning on letting Austin Jackson be the leadoff hitter next year.
Paco Dooley
Damon isn’t a High Caliber outfielder now, he used to be fyi.
No Manny, or Ortiz (on roids) sawx no threat to Yankees!!
America runs on Dunkin’ and Boston catching also.
Boston’s big problem last season was that they had trouble scoring runs on the road.
Bay was one of their better road hitters.
Their rotation? Damn good but I think our guys can solve them easier than their guys can solve ours.
But I wouldn’t be surprised at all if they were the best defensive team this season.
“Paco Dooley
Damon isn’t a High Caliber outfielder now, he used to be fyi.”
Fair enough – it’s not quite what I meant – I really meant an upgrade in LF to close the only weak slot on paper (Gardner).
I think Gardner could do okay out there, but Damon on a 1 year contract could give them quality offence with some pop at home. He’d probably be better if he wasn’t playing every day given his leg troubles, but obviously Gardner isn’t a platoon partner for him.
nobody ever talks about Bostons catching situation but it will be a problem.. Vmart hasn’t caught a full season in quite a while and with Beltre in the mix somebody that can hit better than Varitek is gonna have to sit in order to get Victor a day at 1B.
On top of that teams are gonna run like crazy on them especially come playoff time.
Chad
I humbly request you not drink before writing and posting anti Yankees hyperbole on this Yankees blog!!
Good point blake makes about the Boston catching situation. I guess I imagine VMart at 1B and that leaves a problem behind the plate, but if you put him behind the plate you have mediocre defence at that position.
factoid January 25th, 2010 at 7:22 pm
America runs on Dunkin’ and Boston catching also.
________________________________________________________________
Hehe
As much as I love Dunkin Donuts, I was ready to give it up my freshman year of college in Boston! I’m pretty sure they played the Curt Schilling Dunkin Donuts commercial every 3 minutes. It was beyond obnoxious; Schilling sitting on a bench trying to learn how to speak with a Boston accent (“pahk the cah”) AHHHHHHHHHHHHH.
Bronx Jeers
Considering they ranked near the bottom last year in defense, they got better by far. Yankees playe well on the road and at home.
Paco, from what I can tell they are planning in catching Victor pretty much full time. I don’t think they want Varitek in there any more than they have to and in order for Vmart not to catch either Papi, youkalis, or Beltre has to sit. I don’t see that happenening often.
Get your track shoes on AL.
Leaving work now Yankee people-
Catch you all in a bit!
Chad
Do you really think Yankees fans don’t know Mike Lowell was one of the Yankees own? duh!
“blake wrote – Paco, from what I can tell they are planning in catching Victor pretty much full time. I don’t think they want Varitek in there any more than they have to and in order for Vmart not to catch either Papi, youkalis, or Beltre has to sit. I don’t see that happenening often.
Get your track shoes on AL.”
You’re probably right, though didn’t he play a fair amount of 1B after he arrived in Boston? I agree that Veritek is pretty much done. I actually had forgotten that they added Beltre, which means Youk at 1B and so VMat behind the plate. Definitely with Beltre on the team and Pappi stuck at DH they will need to keep VMart in the lineup by letting him catch.
Now I can tell the truth: I’m not convinced Damon will definitely be back.
Nick-
There’s a Wang update on MLBTR.
Just got the first email announcing a boycot of the blog because of this post.
NYY626
January 25th, 2010 at 7:34 pm
As much as I love Dunkin Donuts, I was ready to give it up my freshman year of college in Boston! I’m pretty sure they played the Curt Schilling Dunkin Donuts commercial every 3 minutes. It was beyond obnoxious; Schilling sitting on a bench trying to learn how to speak with a Boston accent (”pahk the cah”) AHHHHHHHHHHHHH.
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Wow-that would certainly turn me off of Dunkin Donuts.
Keep in mind that Ortiz is a backup 1st baseman however, he’ll never be a Gold Glove threat to Mark Teixeira or Nick Johnson.
It remains to be seen how much weight Ortiz has lost, if any. Out of the batter’s box, he runs to 1st base like it was the electric chair.
MTU: I saw that earlier. I had two reactions:
“Could just be over-confident agent talk, but that doesn’t sound good for Wang coming back to the Yankees.”
and
“Hey, if the Oakland A’s can consider Johnny Damon as a plan B if they don’t get Ben Sheets, why can’t the Yankees consider Chien-ming Wang as a plan A if THEY don’t get Damon?’
We’ll see.
Hey folks, The Boston Red Sox are a good and potentially a dangerous ballclub…..Don’t be blind to that
I’m not sure that the Red Sox are a better team than they were last year, but they’re a considerably different team than they were last year.
The Sox are in the process of trying to morph into a team that focuses more on run prevention than it does on run scoring.
Think of them as trying to become a more expensive version of the Twins.
That being said, I think that the continued deterioration of Drew and Ortiz are going to be major problems for them. I also think it’s only a matter of time before loyalty gets the better of Tito and the Sox start running out a lineup of Varitek at catcher, Victor at 1b and Youk at 3b.
Man, whomever wants to boycott his blog because of Chad’s review of the Red Sox – don’t let the door hit ya there as ya go out. Seriously….
Plenty of blogs where objectivity is not treasured. Feel free to choose one and go there. Chad – good post. Chad and Sam – keep up the good work [and, where did ya hide Josh?]
“Just got the first email announcing a boycot of the blog because of this post.”
Only 1 ?
Shocking!
Remember, honest & objective journalism will only get you so far in here.
It’s a tough crowd.
And you misspelled “boycott”
Chad,
You will have to excuse some if the children on here. They are too emotional to think clearly.
Hopefully, they will boycott because fewer children on here makes it a better blog.
One can only take so much nonsense in the course if a day.
It’s hard to say what the Red Sox are this year.
They are annually overrated by many members if the media and stathead communities. Every acquisition is overhyped. We saw it last year (remember the Smoltz hype?) and we see it this winter.
I can’t figure out their identity.
It’s going to be interesting to see if these parts fit.
Maybe the boycotter MEANT to say “boycot”, as in, not quite as harsh as a full “boycott” LOL
I wouldn’t mind seeing a Boston/Mariners alds. Should make for some very fast games.
Chad – Are you serious?
Keep up the good work.
On another string for a second – for those who don’t think Jaime Hoffmann is going to stick with the Yankees – just something to keep in mind for what it’s worth:
Baseball America has ranked the Yankee prospects by best tools – best defensive outfielder goes to Hoffmann according to them.
A few other prospect type things to consider:
Eduardo Nunez is rated as having the best infield arm but is (of the players on the 40 man roster) probably one of the weaker defensive infielders. I have been suggesting for a while that given their lack of top level outfield prospects and their glut of infield prospects it would make a lot of sense for them to consider moving Nunez to the outfield.
Cervelli is ranked as their best defensive catcher and Ramiro Pena is ranked as their best defensive infielder – which is good enough for me when it comes to giving them the jobs as back-up catcher and infielder.
The organization’s best rated athlete (also ranked as the organization’s fastest player and best outfield arm) is Melky Mesa – whom I won’t even pretend to know.
They also have a projected lineup for 2013 that was obviously made before the Javy Vazquez trade since they have Viz in it.
They’ve got Romaine at C, Montero at DH, Slade Heathcott, Gardner and Granderson in the outfield and Joba at closer with Hughes in the rotation.
Just got the first email announcing a boycot of the blog because of this post.
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Chad,
Some here can get a bit sensative. But you probably already know that. You have to be biased. Its the Yankees and who cares in some peoples eyes.
Melky Mesa
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The Melkman lives!!
Johnny’s Condo is for sale….
http://curbed.com/archives/201.....illion.php
Chad Jennings
January 25th, 2010 at 7:55 pm
Just got the first email announcing a boycot of the blog because of this post.
————————————————————
That’s not a problem. They’ll only boycott under their usual name. One name is missing from here since the “boycott”. Sad to see that there wasn’t two, but, I guess that we’ll still be treated to the virtues of having Fernando tatis displaying his brand of magic in pinstripes.
That Bank of America ad, that opens a talking ad every time I visit the page, is incredibly annoying.
David Astoria January 25th, 2010 at 8:33 pm
Johnny’s Condo is for sale….
http://curbed.com/archives/201…..illion.php
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It is his former condo. He sold it in 2007. Don’t make Erica crazy with false news.
“The Sox are in the process of trying to morph into a team that focuses more on run prevention than it does on run scoring.
Think of them as trying to become a more expensive version of the Twins.”
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The Twins focus on run prevention?
Romaine is a type of lettuce. The Yankees have a catcher named ROMINE.
“I’ll take the Yankees everyday of the week and twice on SUNDAYS!”
Hey, that’s my catch phrase. I should have gotten it trademarked.
S.o.S.”We just kept our mouth shut and went to work this week”
January 25th, 2010 at 8:32 pm
Melky Mesa
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The Melkman lives!!
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Mesa has every talent a player can have except for strike zone judgement. Weeks that nobody can get him out and even more weeks when anybody can get him out. Big power, oytstanding speed and outstanding defense at all three outfield spots. Right now, he’s a total mystery.
“That being said, I think that the continued deterioration of Drew and Ortiz are going to be major problems for them.”
Ortiz: Probably yes.
Drew: Injuries are always a problem with him, but he has had 2 straight very good years, so idk what you mean by continued deterioration
“I also think it’s only a matter of time before loyalty gets the better of Tito and the Sox start running out a lineup of Varitek at catcher, Victor at 1b and Youk at 3b.”
So they signed Adrian Beltre for $10 million to be a bench player (in favor of one of the worst players in baseball no less). Don’t think so…
***outstanding*** speed and outstanding
“The Twins focus on run prevention?”
The Twins are way too old-school to have a Focus Department.
I don’t see that Drew has deteriorated. He just hasn’t gotten any better. Maybe because of injuries, but, he hasn’t gotten worse.
Boston’s defense is excellent. Their pitching is very good. Their offense will be overlooked or underrated by the unthinking Yankee fan base, but it is sneaky fast (that’s a metaphor).
The Yanks are better but not by so much the season will be a cinch.
Tatis would be a good one year bench addition if the Yanks are still looking for a rh bat that could platoon with Gritty and play some corner OF. He could also play a lil in the infield-except SS- in an emergency and to spell A Rod at 3rd.
No Tatis if he would take $$ better spent in LF. If the Yanks have no budget cap then sure they ought to sign him.
Melky Mesa can hit anybody’s fastball and I mean anybody’s! his problem has been initially breaking pitch recognition-he’s done much better with that- but laying off the offspeed pitch out of the zone is still his biggest hole. If he can close that he’ll come quick and he has the tools to be a MONSTER…speed/power/glove are all plus to plus-plus.
Derek Jeter SS
Nick Johnson DH
Mark Teixeira 1B
Alex Rodriguez 3B
Jorge Posada C
Curtis Granderson LF
Robinson Cano 2B
Nick Swisher RF
Brett Gardner CF
CC Sabathia-L
AJ Burnett-R
Javier Vazquez-R
Andy Pettitte-L
Phil Hughes-R
Joba Chamberlain-R
Damaso Marte-L
David Robertson-R
Mariano Rivera-R
Who wouldn’t take that team?
Bronx Born
January 25th, 2010 at 8:36 pm
David Astoria January 25th, 2010 at 8:33 pm
Johnny’s Condo is for sale….
http://curbed.com/archives/201…..illion.php
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It is his former condo. He sold it in 2007. Don’t make Erica crazy with false news.
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Seriously… my heart was pounding. Thank goodness I saw your post before I panicked more.
People cannot play with my emotions like that!
Nick in SF
January 25th, 2010 at 7:52 pm
Now I can tell the truth: I’m not convinced Damon will definitely be back.
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I can honestly say I find it very endearing that you wait until my back is turned to say such things
Man Rosenthal really gives Wang a thumbs down, he actually tells teams on MLBTR to save their money. ouch!
If Cashman doesn’t sign Damon, at Cashman least sign his replacement before Boras signs Damon with the A’s!
This season should be so much fun. I actually look forward to a great battle with te Sox. Since we won it all last year, the pressure’s off.
Athletics Eyeing Sheets Or Damon
By Tim Dierkes [January 25 at 6:44pm CST]
6:44pm: ESPN.com is reporting that the Athletics have already made an offer to Sheets.
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TAKE THE OFFER BEN SHEETS!!!!!!
Note to As: You don’t want that lousy (but really wonderful) Johnny Damon
Why can’t Damon play 3rd base instead of LF?
Endearing… considerate… thoughtful…
I’m glad someone on here finally figured me out!
braeden
January 25th, 2010 at 9:17 pm
Man Rosenthal really gives Wang a thumbs down, he actually tells teams on MLBTR to save their money. ouch!
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What he said was that if the teams don’t have infielders that can play defense, those teams had better look somewhere else.
One last post up for today.
By the way, it turns out the boycott email was a joke, but it certainly had me convinced. And just this once, my boycott misspelling was a typo — I actually know how to spell that word! — but most of my spelling mistakes are because I am a horrible speller. Absolutely awful. I really do apologize to everyone.
In Erica’s nightly Damon dreams- is he wearing pinstripes?
You overrate the Red Sox Wave.
We don’t know if their D is excellent. They hope it is.
Let’s see if Scutaro can handle playing on the Fenway infield. A far cry from the turf in Chicago.
Catching D is a weakness and we have to see how it works out in LF and CF.
If Ortiz returns to form, the O could be solid.
If not, Mike Cameron and Adrian Beltre aren’t better offensive performers than Bay and Lowell.
Jeremy Hermida isn’t very good. It’s why the Marlins gave up on him.
They have more question marks than they have had in years.
It will be interesting to see if it comes together for them.
Chad I like your analysis. In fact the series was great.
I think it is a fair comparison regarding the starters. How do you compare the bullpens? Your write up makes you want the season to start tomorrow.
I say lets drop the gloves and show Sox who that the Yanks are the team to beat.
The Marlins also gave up on Lowell, so they are capable of making mistakes.
Whether or not the Red Sox rotation is better, they are way better than the rest of the AL, so they’re goiing to win alot of games and be a thorn in the Yankees’ side all year.
SJ44-
I hope I overrate the Sox, but I suspect you underrate them.
As I said, I think the Yanks are better, but not by so much as to make the Yanks a cinch. Some better than expected play or good luck by the Sox, or some worse than expected play or bad luck by the Yanks, and its a toss-up. And that sort of thing happens all the time.
That’s why I want the Yanks to sign Damon and at least another OF. Who knows what Gardner will do, and who knows if CG hits lefties. Best not to take any chances.
Cameron, Beltre, Scutaro, and whoever plays the OF when J.D. Drew gets hurt will be a lot of weak spots in one lineup. They could hit 15-20 HRs a pop and still hit for a combined .750 OPS.
The excellent defense makes up for some of that, but still.
With Jason Bay gone, the Red Sox offense has regressed much more than the Yankees. Epstein must be under a budget crunch to not have pursued Bay. If Boston had kept Bay, with the addition of Lackey, the Sox would have been right there with the Yankees, particularly considering New York’s losses of Damon and Matsui. Now, with their weakened lineup, Boston will be hard pressed to finish ahead of Tampa.
If Ortiz struggles, they’ll move him or bench him. Tek moves to C and VMart to DH. Beltre is entrenched at 3B.
I think the RS will finish 3rd in the AL East.
Chad, Good article and analysis on the Red Sox. They improved their pitching and defense and should score enough to win a lot of games. As others have pointed out however, there is a lot left to be desired defensively at catcher. It will interesting to see how much impact it has.
The Yankees also improved their club, especially in starting pitching depth and outfield defense. Their offense is superior to the Sox and should lead the league in scoring.
In my view the Yankees, barring any serious injuries, are the team to beat. The Red Sox simply have more questions and are not likely to win the division. That said they will still be dangerous and should not be overlooked.
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Lackey is a solid upgrade for the Sox, but considering the Yanks essentially would’ve defeated him twice if it weren’t for Burnett’s Game 6 meltdown in the ’09 ALCS, I’m not too concerned.