Comments on: PECOTA predicts a third-place finish

By: bullshiz

bullshiz — Sun, 04 Apr 2010 23:05:00 +0000

yeah yanks in 3rd behind the rays? what the hell is pecota anyway? If your going to make a prediction you should at least take the resposibility in making an educated one. The PERCOTA predictions are an insult to the game and the MLB network should be embarrassed for even satisfying these blind guesses by airing them.

By: bryan

bryan — Sat, 30 Jan 2010 16:33:40 +0000

Look, I love Mo, Jeter and Posada as much as any Yankee fan. With that said, people need to recognize that their being outliers to date in one sense INCREASES the likelihood of their declines. They’re only human, folks.

By: JXD

JXD — Fri, 29 Jan 2010 19:46:28 +0000

In my mind the most interesting thing is that the AL East winner is projected with 96 wins and the third-place team has 93. That’s incredibly close.

By: G-C

G-C — Fri, 29 Jan 2010 15:28:20 +0000

A lot of the reason PECOTA is projecting a dropoff in the pitching staff has to do with Joba Chamberlain. Last year the system projected him as one of the best 4-5 starting pitchers in baseball, and as the best on the Yankees staff, Sabathia included. That’s not the case anymore.

By: G-C

G-C — Fri, 29 Jan 2010 15:28:18 +0000

By: SJ44

SJ44 — Fri, 29 Jan 2010 14:48:43 +0000

86,

Very good point.

Randy,

He still does a lot for older players and minor league player.

The guy is 100% into the game. His offices in Newport Beach are like a baseball laboratory.

Same can be said for Sam and Seth Levinson in Brooklyn.

IMO, those two firms are far and away the best in the game.

They just go about their business different ways.

By: Bodhisattva - Destiny Wears Pinstripes

Bodhisattva - Destiny Wears Pinstripes — Fri, 29 Jan 2010 14:48:08 +0000

i guess i’m saying that numbers and percentages are great but you have to have some feel for the concepts and not get lost in the numbers alone like they are some kind of absolute.
======

“The letter kills, but the spirit gives life.”

By: Bronx Jeers

Bronx Jeers — Fri, 29 Jan 2010 14:45:12 +0000

I originally thought Damon’s market price was set the day the Angel’s signed Bobby @ 2yrs/19 mil.

And Johnny may be indeed “worth” 9-10 mil per year for two years but the Angels need Bobby much more than the Yanks needed Johnny.

And the “demand” for Johnny was simply not there at that price. With no demand for a product? The price naturally drops.

2 yrs/14 mil was a good contract for a player that had no real offers and nothing on the horizon.

What I wonder is if it was Boras who recommended turning it down or if it was Johnny who said no.

My gut tells me it was Johnny. I just think Boras is far too adept to be asleep at the wheel like that.

By: randy l.

randy l. — Fri, 29 Jan 2010 14:41:22 +0000

sj44-

for what it’s worth scott boras has never bothered me. he comes with a solid baseball background having been a minor league player himself. he probably would make a good gm , but there’s no way he’d take the pay cut necessary .

he used to have a good reputation for helping minor league players in general. does he still or was that just in his early career?

By: Doreen

Doreen — Fri, 29 Jan 2010 14:40:58 +0000

jennifer,

He’s not in Oakland yet. Maybe he goes somewhere else. Maybe he’ll be miserable. Maybe he’s just deal with it and hope to get out by August 31.

I’m just going by what he’s said. No hard feelings and moving on. Sounds like a guy who can make the best of a situation.