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LoHud Subway Series Q & A

Posted by: Chad Jennings - Posted in Misc on May 20, 2011 Print This Post Print This Post | Email This Post Email This Post

With the Subway Series beginning tonight, I exchanged questions and answers with Howard Megdal of the LoHud Mets Blog. He asked me about the Yankees and I asked him about the Mets, trying to get some feel for each team heading into tonight’s opener.

For the Mets…

Q: The Mets are playing without David Wright and Ike Davis. Having a DH will let them use Fernando Martinez, but is that enough to make this a dangerous lineup?

Howard: Well, yes and no. Keep in mind that both Carlos Beltran and Jose Reyes have been remarkably productive so far this year. And Justin Turner has 10 RBI in the past five games. So if Jason Bay’s strong Thursday was anything like a breakthrough, they should have no problem scoring runs this weekend. But long term, If Bay and Davis are out for long periods of time? Color me skeptical that Turner continues at a Hack Wilson pace.

Q: Last year R.A. Dickey seemed to take a significant step and become a viable big league starter. Was that a one-year-only experience? What’s not working for him this year?

Howard: So far, everything. He’s lost confidence in the knuckleball several times this season, to the point that he’s gone away completely from the pitch, mid-game, that he threw overwhelmingly last season. If Dickey isn’t throwing his knuckleball for strikes- and his low walk rate while throwing the pitch last season was the source of his success- it hurts his effectiveness. But if he stops throwing the knuckleball generally, he doesn’t have big league stuff. That cannot be an option for him.

Q: The Yankees defense has stumbled lately, and the Mets have enough speed to be aggressive. Could they use their speed to force the issue and make the Yankees sink or swim with their defense?

Howard: They can to an extent, though keep in mind that other than Reyes, the Mets are missing their two best base stealers in Wright and Angel Pagan right now. Jason Bay has been known to sneak a steal here and there. Carlos Beltran doesn’t have a stolen base this season. His stolen bases are in the same place Alex Rodriguez’s are at this point- in the past.

Q: Obviously the Mets rotation is a bit of a mess and their lineup is missing two key pieces, but the bullpen actually seems fairly reliable. Are the first five or six innings the key to this series?

Howard: Consider that the Mets have had a lockdown bullpen since April 16, and are scoring runs at a reasonably decent clip (at seventh in the NL entering Thursday, but fourth as recently as Tuesday). The starting rotation didn’t have a pitcher with an ERA+ over 84 entering Thursday, though Dillon Gee, of all people, broke through that dubious barrier with his shutout Thursday. It’s not just the key to the series, for the Mets — assuming they get Davis, Wright and Pagan back reasonably soon — it is the key to the whole season.

Q: Will Jose Reyes still be with the Mets on August 1? On June 1?

Howard: Well, you know, besides this. On June 1, yes. On August 1, I just don’t think they’ll have the financial flexibility to do it. I think the idea that Sandy Alderson somehow doesn’t know the value of Reyes because he doesn’t walk as much as Rickey Henderson is ludicrous. Alderson knows that a shortstop hitting as well as any in baseball, about to turn 28, is immensely valuable. It is simply the poor fortune of Mets fans that Reyes is hitting free agency this year, rather than 2012 or 2013, when the team is likely to have a lot more financial clarity.

For the Yankees…

Q: Curtis Granderson, after a career of remarkable futility against lefties, has a 1.176 OPS against them this season, with seven home runs in 40 at-bats. Has he figured something out, do you think, or is this just a small sample size issue?

Chad: He started to figure something out late last season when he and hitting coach Kevin Long made a series of mechanical changes to his swing. At this point, I think the sample size is large enough to suggest a legitimate change, not a mere coincidence. He hasn’t been hitting these home runs off junkball lefties, either. In the past week he’s taken David Price and Jon Lester deep.

Q: What exactly is wrong with Phil Hughes, and what can the Yankees expect from him this season?

Chad: Right now the Yankees are hoping the whole saga can be explained by a bit of inflammation (and possibly last year’s workload). The Yankees seem to be hoping for a mid-June return. He’s in the early stages of a throwing program right now and still needs to get off a mound and into a few rehab appearances before being activated. At this point, it’s too early to know whether the time off has actually done any good.

Q: How much patience will the Yankees show with Nick Swisher?

Chad: Quite a bit, I think. He’s hit lefties pretty well, but right-handers have been a disaster for him. Last season was too much of a step forward to ignore, and the Yankees don’t have a everyday-type outfielder in the upper levels of their minor league system. Andruw Jones and Chris Dickerson can get some platoon-type at-bats, but ultimately the Yankees need Swisher to get going. Even if his average doesn’t reach last year’s level, his patience and power should make him an impact hitter.

Q: Will the Yankees promote any of the Killer Bs this season if there’s a need at the major league level? How about David Phelps?

Chad: Right now the rotation is actually a strength. Andrew Brackman has struggled in Triple-A, while Manny Banuelos and Dellin Betances are still in Double-A and almost certainly won’t skip a level. One or more could step into a big league role much later this season, but it’s hard to see them playing a significant role in the near future. David Phelps and D.J. Mitchell — and even Carlos Silva — seem like more likely options right now.

Q: Bigger problem for the Yankees: rotation issues, or the relative strength of the division?

Chad: Strength of the division, no doubt. The rotation has held it together, and if things start to fall apart now, the Yankees will have Phil Hughes working his way back, plus a Triple-A rotation full of talented young pitchers who now have enough experience to play a big league role if necessary. The rotation might not be able to keep this pace all season, but the Rays and Red Sox are still a greater concern.

Associated Press photos

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78 Responses to “LoHud Subway Series Q & A”

  1. Abe Peteraham May 20th, 2011 at 10:08 am

    I saw Martin used Canos glove and said shoulda used Arods. I thought players were sensitive about their gloves?
    A player could screw it up, make it feel different etc…
    Or do they have several gloves ??
    Everybody’s hands are different , sweat etc..

  2. Irreverent Discourse May 20th, 2011 at 10:12 am

    Good questions Chad, Medgal’s read like a tabloid.

  3. West Coast Yankee Fan May 20th, 2011 at 10:26 am

    I thought both sets of questions were good.

  4. Nick in SF May 20th, 2011 at 10:28 am

    I would have asked Megdal about the reports that Dominique Strauss-Kahn will be throwing out the first pitch tonight. :neutral:

  5. Irreverent Discourse May 20th, 2011 at 10:28 am

    The starting rotation didn’t have a pitcher with an ERA+ over 84 entering Thursday

    That is pretty incredible… it would be impressive if it wasn’t so bad.

  6. blake May 20th, 2011 at 10:28 am

    Really no excuse for not taking at least 2 of 3 from the Muts.

    Hopefully the bats have awoken and they can get on a little roll here for awhile and cancel out that bad stretch.

  7. Erin May 20th, 2011 at 10:48 am

    YankeesPR Today we remember Bobby Murcer on what would have been his 65th birthday.

  8. Joe from Long Island May 20th, 2011 at 10:50 am

    Bobby Murcer…….

    Hope there’s a roll call for him….

  9. comet May 20th, 2011 at 10:58 am

    Thanks Erin:

    Bobby Murcer was one of my all time favoutite players!

  10. comet May 20th, 2011 at 10:59 am

    **favourite**

    I’m getting GB disease.

  11. LGY May 20th, 2011 at 11:01 am

    I was hoping Chad would ask Medgal about Beckett’s epidurals.

  12. Erin May 20th, 2011 at 11:05 am

    comet-how very British of you to spell favorite with a u! ;)

  13. Irreverent Discourse May 20th, 2011 at 11:05 am

    I like how beckett is “not worried” about this neck issue, just like he was “not worried” about his back issue. Bodes well for us :)

  14. J. Alfred Prufrock May 20th, 2011 at 11:05 am

    http://bats.blogs.nytimes.com/.....for-years/

    I’m reposting a NYTimes piece Greenberet put up in a.m. Bears a repost because some Yankee fans, judging by comments posted here & elsewhere, don’t seem to get how special Posada’s career & contribution to the Yankees being great over the last plus decade has been. There’s more good stuff within the link.

    The only place the writer goes wrong IMO is jumping the gun in final graph that K rates in SZ & LD rates signal the end. In SSS, LD rates aren’t confirmation of anything. I see those as being out of character at the plate because of new role & a frustration that built up. Like I’ve been saying, I think that FU worked like an emetic emotionally for Po & I expect him to hit, RH & LH. Hopefully, Yanks have enough stomach not to hold it against him & to realize that some guys not taking it on the chin well is part of why they’re great players for you. It would be foolish henceforth if they let what happened get in the way of putting his bat in the lineup. So far, that doesn’t seem to be the case.

    “….Even those who do manage to stay behind the plate often see a rapid statistical decline in their early-to-mid-30s. Ivan Rodriguez’s on-base plus slugging percentage was .837 through age 32, but since then it has been a mediocre .710. Other longtime catchers like Jason Varitek, Lance Parrish, Sandy Alomar and Benito Santiago also saw similar drop-offs in productivity at a similar age. Because the position puts such a strain on players’ bodies, it can be extremely hard to find a catcher durable enough to play the position with frequency and simultaneously perform as a hitter deep into his 30s.

    Posada is special because he was able to defy those odds for so long. In fact, he seemed to improve as a hitter with age: his O.P.S. through age 30 was .835, a fine contribution for a catcher, but from age 31 to 38 it was .872, an outstanding rate. As recently as last season, at age 38, Posada caught more than half of the Yankees’ games and posted an O.P.S. of .811, well above the .686 American League average for catchers.

    Relative to the league average, Posada owns the best cumulative O.P.S. among catchers from age 31 to 38, and none of his contemporaries are even in the neighborhood. The closest catchers to Posada’s mark? Gabby Hartnett and Ernie Lombardi, both of whom retired more than 60 years ago.

    Yet, even for someone so spectacularly productive as Posada, the end must come sometime. Posada’s 2011 O.P.S. is .653, by far his lowest in a season since his very brief 1996 cup of coffee at age 24. Some of this has been because of bad luck on balls in play, so his statistics will most likely improve as the season goes on, but a career-low line drive rate and a drastic increase in swinging strikes within the strike zone are telltale signs of a major decline.

    That it took this long for Posada to show his age, however, is something for which the Yankees should be very thankful.”

  15. timmyb72 May 20th, 2011 at 11:11 am

    What are the predictions for this weekend? 3 game sweep by the Yanks? Garcia, A.J. and Nova on the mound. Do the Yanks have a decided pitching advanatage this weekend?

  16. Irreverent Discourse May 20th, 2011 at 11:19 am

    A sweep this weekend will fall entirely on the Yankee offense. Gotta hit these scrub starters.

  17. MG May 20th, 2011 at 11:21 am

    Jorge really ripped two shots last night, one for a double batting lefthanded and one to the wall in almost deadcenter batting righthanded that Jones made an excellent play to catch.

    He’s batting .279/.404/.772 for May, it’s probably time to reinsert him in the batting order against all pitchers when none of the regulars get a 1/2 day off.

    I’m not a huge Gardner fan but he’s earned the right, as well, to play against all pitching.

  18. LGY May 20th, 2011 at 11:26 am

    The Yankees lead MLB in runs scored per game.

  19. Nick in SF May 20th, 2011 at 11:27 am

    It’s true that there have been commenters here who were very critical of Jorge and wanted more playing time for Jose Molina/Cervelli in 2009 and 2010 — the worst came during one of AJ’s blowups in 2009, someone posted a theory that Jorge was undermining the team by calling for more fastballs to improve his own CS stats. Ridiculous, yes.

    But there are also a lots of folks here who have been highly aware of Jorge’s contributions and of the huge advantage that having him in the lineup has given the Yanks over the years — including some of the commenters who are mocked as ‘bean counters’.

  20. J. Alfred Prufrock May 20th, 2011 at 11:27 am

    He’s batting .279/.404/.772 for May, it’s probably time to reinsert him in the batting order against all pitchers when none of the regulars get a 1/2 day off.

    ///
    yup.

  21. LGY May 20th, 2011 at 11:31 am

    Wait. Jorge is SLGing 772 in May?

    That can’t be right.

  22. Jerkface May 20th, 2011 at 11:35 am

    .279 .404 .372 .776 Posada’s May Slash Line.

  23. Joe from Long Island May 20th, 2011 at 11:38 am

    some of us were talking last weekend that l’affaire Posada might be a good catharsis of pent-up emotion. that’s probably what joe and cash had planned all along ;)

  24. J. Alfred Prufrock May 20th, 2011 at 11:38 am

    Apparently he skipped his slug & was giving his OPS (yea .776 as opposed to .772) but the point still stands.

    The point is, he’s coming out of it & needs to be the regular DH.

  25. Doc Iac May 20th, 2011 at 11:39 am

    its not hatin on posada, its just the line up would be alot better with someone else in it

  26. J. Alfred Prufrock May 20th, 2011 at 11:40 am

    some of us were talking last weekend that l’affaire Posada might be a good catharsis of pent-up emotion. that’s probably what joe and cash had planned all along
    ///

    Oh, of course. There are no bounds to Cashman’s brilliance.

  27. yankeefeminista May 20th, 2011 at 11:41 am

    Posada – .478 SLG vs. righties. The SLG is dragged down by not hitting lefties as of yet, but that will come. Therefore, SLG at this point not yet indicative obviously of what he will slug.

    Pouring in NJ; wonder if the Trenton game will get in. I have no doubt they will play in the Bronx.

    Wonder if Red Sox wish they still had Justin Masterson. :)

    Happy Birthday, Bobby Murcer. I hope he is included in roll call.

  28. J. Alfred Prufrock May 20th, 2011 at 11:42 am

    Doc Iac May 20th, 2011 at 11:39 am
    its not hatin on posada, its just the line up would be alot better with someone else in it
    ///

    man you are right on cue.

  29. J. Alfred Prufrock May 20th, 2011 at 11:44 am

    yankeefeminista May 20th, 2011 at 11:41 am
    Posada – .478 SLG vs. righties. The SLG is dragged down by not hitting lefties as of yet, but that will come. Therefore, SLG at this point not yet indicative obviously of what he will slug.

    Pouring in NJ; wonder if the Trenton game will get in. I have no doubt they will play in the Bronx.

    Wonder if Red Sox wish they still had Justin Masterson.

    Happy Birthday, Bobby Murcer. I hope he is included in roll call.
    ///

    Dealin’ postponed? That would mean we’d lose Manny to road start :(.

  30. yankeefeminista May 20th, 2011 at 11:45 am

    29. J. Alfred Prufrock May 20th, 2011 at 11:44 am

    yankeefeminista May 20th, 2011 at 11:41 am
    Posada – .478 SLG vs. righties. The SLG is dragged down by not hitting lefties as of yet, but that will come. Therefore, SLG at this point not yet indicative obviously of what he will slug.

    Pouring in NJ; wonder if the Trenton game will get in. I have no doubt they will play in the Bronx.

    Wonder if Red Sox wish they still had Justin Masterson.

    Happy Birthday, Bobby Murcer. I hope he is included in roll call.
    ///

    Dealin’ postponed? That would mean we’d lose Manny to road start :( .
    ___________
    Unless they skip Heyer, move Betances to Saturday and keep ManBan in line for Sunday start. :)

  31. yankeefeminista May 20th, 2011 at 11:46 am

    lol, as if on cue, I just received the Killer B’s alert email from the Trenton Thunder. I have to head down to Princeton anyway, but not liking the odds of our playing this game.

  32. LGY May 20th, 2011 at 11:46 am

    .279 .404 .372 .776 Posada’s May Slash Line

    ——

    Figures.

    These guys have made up magic numbers for everything. ;)

  33. comet May 20th, 2011 at 11:47 am

    Erin that’s how we spell in Canada!

  34. J. Alfred Prufrock May 20th, 2011 at 11:50 am

    Posada – .478 SLG vs. righties. The SLG is dragged down by not hitting lefties as of yet, but that will come. Therefore, SLG at this point not yet indicative obviously of what he will slug.

    ///
    yea & the lack of contact against LHP is dramatically telling too, screaming “outlier”. His career BABIP versus lefties is .343. It’s um currently .000.

  35. MG May 20th, 2011 at 11:50 am

    since SLG is OPS-OBP it can be calculated from the other numbers provided in my msg, that was the reason for the omission.

    Or I could have omitted the OPS and included the SLG, either way is complete and accurate.

  36. G-C May 20th, 2011 at 11:51 am

    Lets sweep these bums and move on to the next.

    We can come out of this weekend at 26-19 and basically have forgotten about that last putrid stretch.

    This is a good opportunity for the offense to get on a little bit of a consistent roll.

  37. Erin May 20th, 2011 at 11:58 am

    russellmartin55 Subway Series first timer. Looking fwd

  38. J. Alfred Prufrock May 20th, 2011 at 12:02 pm

    Wow the ‘subway series’ holds such significance that I’m going to Trenton to see the two ace kids pitch instead. We need the Ws, that’s about it.

  39. yankeefeminista May 20th, 2011 at 12:09 pm

    QFT, Prufrock. I am not likely attending Mets games. Rather see Blue Jays at beginning of the week. More important series, obviously, but hopefully we win 2/3 from Mets.

    I just listened to audio highlights and sounds like Shane Greene’s slider was nasty yesterday. I wonder how Kahnle’s control/command is coming along. Nik Turley pitches tonight for the Dogs. I am sorry I missed the lefty in person; I am still going through withdrawal from no longer being able to see the Dogs since Lakewood. Sanchez was so impressive even then when he wasn’t yet in a rhythm. De Leon looked clueless on breaking pitches but has picked it up with more playing time. That OF is enviable and hopefully Feliz keeps hitting; kid doesn’t have size, but he has everything else.

  40. LGY May 20th, 2011 at 12:10 pm

    yea & the lack of contact against LHP is dramatically telling too, screaming “outlier”. His career BABIP versus lefties is .343. It’s um currently .000.

    —————–

    6.7% LD rate

  41. LGY May 20th, 2011 at 12:11 pm

    since SLG is OPS-OBP it can be calculated from the other numbers provided in my msg, that was the reason for the omission.

    Or I could have omitted the OPS and included the SLG, either way is complete and accurate.

    ——————

    Man, I can’t believe you guys. You are even trying to take over slash lines and present them in your magic way??

  42. yankeefeminista May 20th, 2011 at 12:13 pm

    Correction, Flores doesn’t have size and is hitting the cover off the ball. Both he and Feliz at 2-3 with Sanchez protecting is mind-boggling. Wish they were higher up in AAA, having this kind of production. :)

  43. yankeefeminista May 20th, 2011 at 12:15 pm

    #

    # LGY May 20th, 2011 at 12:10 pm

    yea & the lack of contact against LHP is dramatically telling too, screaming “outlier”. His career BABIP versus lefties is .343. It’s um currently .000.

    —————–

    6.7% LD rate
    _____
    25 AB’s for a switchy who is playing inconsistently and also adjusting to DH makes LD rates pretty irrelevant.

  44. Joe from Long Island May 20th, 2011 at 12:16 pm

    And the news keeps getting better and better for the Mets/Wilpon Family.

    The NY Times today is reporting that Irving Picard, the trustee for the victims of the Madoff scandal, has turned over to the court documents including handwritten notes by a senior executive in Wilpon’s company that show that Wilpon and Saul Katz (his co-investor, Mets co-owner, and brother-in-law) looked into buying an insurance policy to protect them against a Ponzi scheme run by Madoff.

    Picard wants Wilpon and Katz to pay over $1B. They are leveraged to the hilt. I don’t see how they keep control of the team. This strengthens the hand of any potential buyer.

  45. yankeefeminista May 20th, 2011 at 12:17 pm

    # LGY May 20th, 2011 at 12:11 pm

    since SLG is OPS-OBP it can be calculated from the other numbers provided in my msg, that was the reason for the omission.

    Or I could have omitted the OPS and included the SLG, either way is complete and accurate.

    ——————

    Man, I can’t believe you guys. You are even trying to take over slash lines and present them in your magic way??
    _____
    You think? How about an honest error & quickly and easily corrected. I don’t think anyone is trying to skew/manipulate stats, are they? :)

  46. J. Alfred Prufrock May 20th, 2011 at 12:18 pm

    Yankeefem – Feliz is pretty lanky, long-limbed. Even with seeing the likes of Flores, Sanchez & JR, all of whom you can see have stud potential (JR with the stick more than defensive ability at C), Feliz just blew me away with all around natural ability. He’s got a ways to go but the raw talent knocks you out, smooth fielder, great arm, has that effortless gliding movement toward the ball, & he’s a switch hitter who looked good at the plate (although he doesn’t seem to really use his lower half when batting LH but has those long arms nonetheless to go get pitches and smack them with gap power). Not sure what his future holds though with Cano firmly entrenched.

    Agree Sanchez even a decelerated Sanchez can’t dwarf how good he’s obviously going to be.

  47. G-C May 20th, 2011 at 12:18 pm

    One target who I can see Cashman pursuing at the deadline is Wandy Rodriguez.

    The Astros are really, really bad right now, and McLane I believe just sold the team. I understand that they recently re-upped him this offseason, but that extension could just as much make him attractive to other teams in a trade as it could be incentive for the Astros to hold onto him.

    Between Wandy, Norris, and Myers, they have the core of rotation that could be pretty good a couple years down the line, but the rest of the team is so bad that I don’t think they’d be doing themselves any favors by holding onto Rodriguez.

    It looks pretty clear that they’ve lost faith in JR Towles as their catcher of the future and Romine could make a lot of sense as the centerpiece of a package for Wandy.

    How would being a smallish lefty without a fastball translate to the AL and Yankee Stadium? I can’t say for sure. I think he’s a good enough pitcher that he could still be a significant asset, even accounting for the league and park switches.

  48. Irreverent Discourse May 20th, 2011 at 12:20 pm

    Why does B-R have Posada’s LD rate at 15% and Fangraphs has it at 14.1%?

    Also, how do you get his LD split for just may?

  49. UnKnown May 20th, 2011 at 12:22 pm

    From following Wandy in years past because he has been on my fantasy team, I can tell you that imo he would frustrate the heck out of Yankee fans. Way to inconsistent.

  50. J. Alfred Prufrock May 20th, 2011 at 12:22 pm

    yankeefeminista May 20th, 2011 at 12:13 pm
    Correction, Flores doesn’t have size and is hitting the cover off the ball. Both he and Feliz at 2-3 with Sanchez protecting is mind-boggling. Wish they were higher up in AAA, having this kind of production.
    ///

    That would certainly solve some problems going forward, wouldn’t it. Well as my father’s always said, “I’m headin’ for the hills.” I’ll be at WF if the game’s a go. I’ll “…need a raincoat…” (cue Counting Crows..”). Adios.

  51. LGY May 20th, 2011 at 12:24 pm

    25 AB’s for a switchy who is playing inconsistently and also adjusting to DH makes LD rates pretty irrelevant.

    ——

    You quoted his BABIP as an outlier and dramatic. It’s not really suprising given how weakly he has hit LHP.

  52. Against All Odds May 20th, 2011 at 12:25 pm

    # Joe from Long Island May 20th, 2011 at 12:16 pm

    And the news keeps getting better and better for the Mets/Wilpon Family.

    The NY Times today is reporting that Irving Picard, the trustee for the victims of the Madoff scandal, has turned over to the court documents including handwritten notes by a senior executive in Wilpon’s company that show that Wilpon and Saul Katz (his co-investor, Mets co-owner, and brother-in-law) looked into buying an insurance policy to protect them against a Ponzi scheme run by Madoff.

    Picard wants Wilpon and Katz to pay over $1B. They are leveraged to the hilt. I don’t see how they keep control of the team. This strengthens the hand of any potential buyer.

    ———————————-

    when it rains it pours

  53. Irreverent Discourse May 20th, 2011 at 12:26 pm

    Wandy has some of the worst home/road splits I’ve ever seen… and it’s not like Houston is a crazy pitchers park.

  54. yankeefeminista May 20th, 2011 at 12:28 pm

    # LGY May 20th, 2011 at 12:24 pm

    25 AB’s for a switchy who is playing inconsistently and also adjusting to DH makes LD rates pretty irrelevant.

    ——

    You quoted his BABIP as an outlier and dramatic. It’s not really suprising given how weakly he has hit LHP.
    __
    I did not quote his BABIP; furthermore, again, LD rates on a mere 25 AB’s are not really significant.

  55. LGY May 20th, 2011 at 12:30 pm

    I did not quote his BABIP; furthermore, again, LD rates on a mere 25 AB’s are not really significant.

    —–

    Oh my bad. I thought was a response from Prufrock.

  56. yankeefeminista May 20th, 2011 at 12:30 pm

    # Irreverent Discourse May 20th, 2011 at 12:20 pm

    Why does B-R have Posada’s LD rate at 15% and Fangraphs has it at 14.1%?

    Also, how do you get his LD split for just may?
    _____
    Because categorizing a LD is subjective? Not sure.

  57. yankeefeminista May 20th, 2011 at 12:32 pm

    # LGY May 20th, 2011 at 12:30 pm

    I did not quote his BABIP; furthermore, again, LD rates on a mere 25 AB’s are not really significant.

    —–

    Oh my bad. I thought was a response from Prufrock.
    ____
    No worries. His home LD rate vs. lefties last year was 23.9%. Much lower on the road.

  58. blake May 20th, 2011 at 12:33 pm

    Because sabermetrians give players they like credit for more line drives than ones they don’t. :)

  59. yankeefeminista May 20th, 2011 at 12:35 pm

    # J. Alfred Prufrock May 20th, 2011 at 12:22 pm

    yankeefeminista May 20th, 2011 at 12:13 pm
    Correction, Flores doesn’t have size and is hitting the cover off the ball. Both he and Feliz at 2-3 with Sanchez protecting is mind-boggling. Wish they were higher up in AAA, having this kind of production.
    ///

    That would certainly solve some problems going forward, wouldn’t it. Well as my father’s always said, “I’m headin’ for the hills.” I’ll be at WF if the game’s a go. I’ll “…need a raincoat…” (cue Counting Crows..”). Adios.
    _____
    That Dogs lineup is siiick. Especially with JR in the middle of the LU, as well. I wonder if Mason Williams advances enough in SS to take Heathcott’s place at some point.

    Last time Betances pitched it also was raining but they played, so I suppose I will make the trip. See you in Trenton.

  60. yankeefeminista May 20th, 2011 at 12:36 pm

    #

    # blake May 20th, 2011 at 12:33 pm

    Because sabermetrians give players they like credit for more line drives than ones they don’t. :)
    _____
    Not at all out of the realm of possibility.

  61. LGY May 20th, 2011 at 12:38 pm

    Also, how do you get his LD split for just may?

    ——-

    Fangraphs

  62. yankeefeminista May 20th, 2011 at 12:38 pm

    Btw, Prufrock, props for the Crows quote and to Chad the other evening RE: “Raining in Baltimore.” Great song to play in the car, while cruising down 95 South as you pull into a rainy “Charm City.” :)

  63. Irreverent Discourse May 20th, 2011 at 12:39 pm

    OK I found the LD% splits on fangraphs.

    Posada is at 18.2% in May.

    The 6% LGY posted is just off lefties, and for the entire season.

    His IF-FB is ridiculously high against lefties… so it’s just timing.

    Posada will (ok… should) be fine.

  64. yankeefeminista May 20th, 2011 at 12:42 pm

    If given the chance to play vs. them, Posada will hit lefties. It is more likely than that he won’t.

  65. blake May 20th, 2011 at 12:42 pm

    For example……if LGY were recording these things for Derek Jeter then a line drive double off the wall would make his ground ball rate increase.

  66. Irreverent Discourse May 20th, 2011 at 12:46 pm

    blake – they are not subjective stats, they are not entered for individual players to incur bias.

    but i suspect you know that.

    there are noted and documented differences between the 2 site’s formulas… but the raw data is always the same. 2 minutes of googling taught me that Fangraphs has a lower threshhold for flyballs than BR, so some “high line drives” become flyballs on fangraphs. That’s all.

  67. Erin May 20th, 2011 at 12:46 pm

    New Post: Pitching matchups vs. Mets

    :arrow:

  68. Vineyard Yankee May 20th, 2011 at 12:46 pm

    It’s nice that Posada has picked it up a bit since his drama issue. Getting some production out of the DH slot helps the hitters around him.

    Bottom line though is despite Posada being a great Yankee for a long time and part of the core four, he will be gone after this year.

  69. Vineyard Yankee May 20th, 2011 at 12:47 pm

    Hi there Erin, hows things ?

  70. LGY May 20th, 2011 at 12:49 pm

    The Yankees have more complex splits than available.

    It’s possible Posada’s problems vs LHP date back to some point last season.

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