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A New York Yankees blog by Chad Jennings and the staff of The Journal News


Today’s main event: Qualifying offers

Posted by: Chad Jennings - Posted in Misc on Nov 04, 2013 Print This Post Print This Post | Email This Post Email This Post

Robinson Cano

Teams have until 5 p.m. ET to determine whether to maker $14.1 million qualifying offer to former players who have become free agents. Last year, only nine players were given qualifying offers, and none of them accepted. It’s entirely possible none will accept again this year.

The Yankees have 11 players who are eligible for qualifying offers — mid-season acquisitions are not eligible — and it seems likely they’ll offer exactly three (Cano, Granderson and Kuroda). Here are all of the Yankees qualifying offer possibilities (and in some cases, the term “possibility” is used strictly in a technical sense).

CanoROBINSON CANO
Reason to offer: Because on a one-year deal, Cano might be considered a bargain at twice the price.
Reason not to offer: Because he doesn’t always run hard out of the box. Is that a good enough reason?
Reason he would accept: Because, I don’t know, maybe Jay-Z could be confused by the concept of a qualifying offer and give Cano absolutely horrible advice.
Reason he wouldn’t: Because no player or agent is dumb enough to take a qualifying offer in Cano’s position.

JOBA CHAMBERLAIN
Reason to offer: Because it’s 2008 and Joba’s going to be the next big thing!
Reason not to offer: Because it’s not 2008.
Reason he would accept: Because it’s one year, $14.1 million.
Reason he wouldn’t: Chamberlain would have to really, really hate the Yankees and New York to turn down $14.1 million.

GrandersonCURTIS GRANDERSON
Reason to offer: Because the Yankees suddenly need a power bat, and Granderson’s capable of hitting 40 home runs while playing any outfield position.
Reason not to offer: Only if you truly believe that two broken bones on hit by pitches will happen again next year.
Reason he would accept: Because it’s good money for one year, giving him a chance to reestablish top value for next winter.
Reason he wouldn’t: Because, frankly, his value is still awfully high even after a season lost to injury. Getting one year, $14.1 million shouldn’t be tough in this market.

TRAVIS HAFNER
Reason to offer: I can’t think of a single one.
Reason not to offer: I can think of many.
Reason he would accept: I can think of many.
Reason he wouldn’t: I can’t think of a single one.

HughesPHIL HUGHES
Reason to offer: Because he’s a starting pitcher still in his mid-20s, and he won 16 games just last year.
Reason not to offer: Because he had a 5.19 ERA this season, and his fly ball tendency doesn’t seem to be a good fit for Yankee Stadium.
Reason he would accept: Because whether he fits Yankee Stadium or not, $14.1 million for one year is going to be tough to beat on the open market.
Reason he wouldn’t: Because despite the bad season and the history of inconsistency, Hughes could still land a multi-year deal to pitch somewhere other than New York.

HIROKI KURODA
Reason to offer: Because for two years, Kuroda’s been arguably the Yankees most reliable starting pitcher and he’s coming off a strong 3.31 ERA.
Reason not to offer: Because he turns 39 in February, and his struggles down the stretch could be a sign of things to come.
Reason he would accept: Because $14.1 million nearly matches his 2013 salary, and there might be something to be said for getting a contract settled quickly and easily.
Reason he wouldn’t: Because, unless he’s been hiding an injury, making $14.1 million next season shouldn’t be much of a problem, even at his age.

LoganBOONE LOGAN
Reason to offer: Because he was actually much better the past four years than he’s given credit for being.
Reason not to offer: Because at the end of the day, he’s a left-handed reliever who would have a hard time making half of a qualifying offer on the open market.
Reason he would accept: Because at the end of the day, he’s a left-handed reliever who would have a hard time making half of a qualifying offer on the open market.
Reason he wouldn’t: Because he really, really loves Texas? I don’t know. There’s really no reason.

LYLE OVERBAY
Reason to offer: Because baseball has a new rule that only right-handed pitchers are allowed to pitch, and doubles now count the same as home runs.
Reason not to offer: Because of those damn lefties!
Reason he would accept: Because the guy had to settle for a minor league deal last offseason.
Reason he wouldn’t: Take your promises of jewels and extravagance elsewhere, Yankees! Lyle Overbay will not be a part-time player under any circumstances!

PettitteANDY PETTITTE
Reason to offer: Because he made $12 million last year and pitched awfully well.
Reason not to offer: Because it’s not like he’s going anywhere else.
Reason he would accept: Because he’s sick of retirement already!
Reason he wouldn’t: Because he’s made his choice. Now, would someone bring Andy another pina colada?

MARIANO RIVERA
Reason to offer: Because maybe he’ll come back!
Reason not to offer: Please come back!
Reason he would accept: Just accept it, ok?
Reason he wouldn’t: Ugh. Fine.

YoukilisKEVIN YOUKILIS
Reason to offer: Because it’s only a $2 million raise from last season, and he did hit .305 with 20 homers last season.
Reason not to offer: What’s that? Youkilis didn’t hit .305 with 20 homers last season? Well, never mind then.
Reason he would accept: Because why get $12 million out of the Yankees when you can get $26.1 million out of them?
Reason he wouldn’t: Maybe he doesn’t want to play again or badly wants to return to Boston? I can’t think of another reason.

Associated Press photo

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24 Responses to “Today’s main event: Qualifying offers”

  1. 86w183 November 4th, 2013 at 9:22 am

    I actually wouldn’t be shocked if Andy decided to come back during the spring/early summer. If it happens I pray that Suzyn Waldman is nowhere near a microphone.

    I don’t think the Yanks have any hesitation about a QO for Granderson, but I bet there’s some debate about Hughes. In the end, Grandy gets it, Hughes doesn’t is my guess.

    From the last thread:

    You think the Yanks have payroll issues??

    LAA has $ 126.5 M committed to just nine guys for next season. They also have $ 111.8 M to seven guys in 2015 and $ 107 M to five guys in 2016. Keep in mind that $ 151 M in 2012 was their largest payroll ever.

  2. 86w183 November 4th, 2013 at 9:22 am

    Gotta run for a while

    Have a Day all!

  3. Doreen November 4th, 2013 at 9:26 am

    86w183,

    The reason I don’t think Andy will come back is because it was so hard for him last season. He had that stretch where nothing was going right. And then, the team that will be on the field will not be the powerhouse team he’s used to playing for, and going for another championship, at least it doesn’t look that way right now.

    Plus, at some point, it would be a joke if he came back. I really think he’s done this time.

  4. CountryClub November 4th, 2013 at 9:30 am

    The only reason not to offer Granderson is if they’re truly set on going in another direction. If they want to spend that 14 mil on another OFer, they may not want to risk him accepting the 1 yr deal. I don;t think he would accept it, but there’s always a chance.

  5. MTU November 4th, 2013 at 9:32 am

    CC-

    I had the same thought.

    Maybe they prefer Beltran ?

  6. CountryClub November 4th, 2013 at 9:40 am

    Maybe they prefer Beltran ?

    ————–

    Certainly possible. Or Ellsbury (ughh).

  7. chicken little November 4th, 2013 at 9:46 am

    If Granderson accepts the QO (assuming its made), the Yanks could always try to trade him (if they sign others to replace him). Don’t think he has a no trade clause, and he does not qualify for 10-5 rights yet.

  8. MTU November 4th, 2013 at 9:47 am

    Yes. Ellsbury is a possibility too.

    2 gazelles in the OF would be kind of interesting.

    They could trade turns on the DL.

    :)

  9. CountryClub November 4th, 2013 at 9:50 am

    If Granderson accepts the QO (assuming its made), the Yanks could always try to trade him (if they sign others to replace him). Don’t think he has a no trade clause, and he does not qualify for 10-5 rights yet.

    ————

    Assuming you’re right about the 10/5, this is a good point.

  10. MTU November 4th, 2013 at 9:59 am

    He can’t be traded until around June or so.

    This point was discussed yesterday.

    It’s part of the CBA.

  11. CountryClub November 4th, 2013 at 10:05 am

    He can’t be traded until around June or so.

    ————

    OK, makes sense.

  12. MTU November 4th, 2013 at 10:15 am

    Mop walk time.

  13. Doreen November 4th, 2013 at 10:25 am

    If the Yankees sign Ellsbury, I guarantee he’ll be on the DL 2/3 of the season at least!

  14. tucker November 4th, 2013 at 10:36 am

    MTU, Yanks had two gazelles (Gardner and Grandy) and an old gazelle (Ichiro). I’d prefer a big hairy chupacabra who can drive the ball into the RF bleachers.

    A buy-low candidate may be Jason Kubel. He had a terrible 2013, but he was productive every other year. He may be willing to sign a one-year deal to re-establish his value. That short porch could be inviting for a lefty slugger.

  15. Tackelberry November 4th, 2013 at 11:00 am

    I prefer David Murphy over Kubel.

  16. MTU November 4th, 2013 at 11:06 am

    My goodness.

    You guys are just chock full of ideas.

    Now let’s see if the Yankees are as creative ?

    ;)

  17. jacksquat November 4th, 2013 at 11:07 am

    Yankee QO discussion about Hughes:

    “Ok, next, Phil Hughes.”

    “No”
    “Are you kidding?”
    “Please…”
    “Pfff”
    “Absolutely, he’s worth twice as much.”
    “Ok, who invited Hughes’ mom?”

  18. MTU November 4th, 2013 at 11:09 am

    What would you say is the Yankees highest priority this OS.

    I say solidifying the rotation is job #1 for them.

    Anyone disagree with that ?

  19. Tackelberry November 4th, 2013 at 11:09 am

    MLBTR reports that the Red Sox intend to make a QO to Napoli but are unlikely to make one to Salty. If thats the case then Salty would become an attractive FA possiblilty. Need a starting catcher and then he wouldn’t cost a draft pick. He’d do well with the short porch in YS.

  20. blake November 4th, 2013 at 11:12 am

    Signing Beltran at 37 and giving up the first round pick instead of bringing back 33 year old Granderson would be typical Yankees.

    A swap of Beltran for Granderson doesn’t make the Yankees significantly better……Beltran + Granderson might……

    The only way they should lose that pick is if it’s to sign lots of players…..and only if one of them is McCann or Choo

  21. blake November 4th, 2013 at 11:12 am

    MLBTR reports that the Red Sox intend to make a QO to Napoli but are unlikely to make one to Salty. If thats the case then Salty would become an attractive FA possiblilty. Need a starting catcher and then he wouldn’t cost a draft pick. He’d do well with the short porch in YS.”

    Yup…..great target if there is no QO …..he’d probably hit 25+ homers at YS

  22. Tackelberry November 4th, 2013 at 11:13 am

    Looks like the Dodgers will be our biggest threat in trying to gt Tanaka

  23. Hankflorida November 4th, 2013 at 11:13 am

    A list of the greatest players at each position for all time has Babe Ruth in RF and Lou Gehrig at 1st as number one, Berra at catcher behind Bench and DiMag and Mantle in CF below Mays and Cobb. Both Jeter and Cano can easily end up on the list, and Cano could beat out Hornsby as the best 2nd baseman of all time if a nod is given to his fielding. If Hal has any sense of history and tradition, Cano should end his career in pinstripes.

  24. MTU November 4th, 2013 at 11:17 am

    I’m out for now.

    Got to run some errands.

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