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Girardi on instant replay: “It feels pretty good, actually”

Posted by: Chad Jennings - Posted in Misc on Mar 22, 2014 Print This Post Print This Post | Email This Post Email This Post

Aaron Hicks, Dean Anna

When Twins outfielder Aaron Hicks broke for second base, made a bit of an awkward slide, and was called safe on a third-inning stolen base this afternoon, Joe Girardi came out of the Yankees dugout slowly. He was going to argue, but he was in no rush.

“Very slow compared to what I usually do,” Girardi said.

Joe Girardi, Marvin HudsonWelcome to a world with instant replay. Girardi took his time going onto the field, then he stalled by asking the umpire what exactly he saw on the play. All the while, Girardi was focused on Tony Pena in the Yankees dugout. Pena was on a walkie-talkie with coaching assistant Brett Weber, who was watching replays on a television screen. When Weber saw that Hicks was out, he sent the message to Pena, who relayed a thumbs up to Girardi, who challenged the call and got it overturned.

That’s basically the low-tech version of the way the Yankees will handle replay in the regular season.

“I actually think it’s going to work good,” Girardi said. “I do. There will be some glitches every once in a while, and some things might take longer than they want, but I actually think it’s going to work good. It took 45 seconds or whatever from the time I asked, and they don’t have all the replays that they’re going to have during the season, so it was pretty quick.”

It actually took 44 seconds according to the official count. It might not have been a pivotal play, but you can bet there will come a time in the regular season when replay completely changes the course of a game. Today was the first time the Yankees successfully challenged and overturned a decision this spring.

“You’ve got a chance (to change a call),” Girardi said. “It feels pretty good, actually. The great thing about it is, no one wants to be wrong, whether it’s me or them. I can remember as a player complaining about strikes and balls, and I go watch it and I see, you know what, I was wrong. It’s the heat of the moment. Everyone has to make a quick decision. There have been a lot of times I’ve argued calls that I thought for sure I was right, and I was wrong. But now we have replay to reassure everyone.”

Associated Press photos

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308 Responses to “Girardi on instant replay: “It feels pretty good, actually””

  1. Ys Guy March 22nd, 2014 at 9:40 pm

    “If I were Robbie Cano and the Yankees offered me $175M for 7 years, I’d have taken it and stayed a Yank. How much money do you need?”

    …John Sterling on today’s radio broadcast.

  2. raymagnetic March 22nd, 2014 at 9:50 pm

    To paraphrase Don King. If you can count your money then you ain’t got enough.

  3. trisha - true pinstriped blue March 22nd, 2014 at 9:51 pm

    “If I were Robbie Cano and the Yankees offered me $175M for 7 years, I’d have taken it and stayed a Yank. How much money do you need?”

    A quote after my own heart.

    And I know people are going to say he has the right to take as much money as he wants yada yada yada. True dat. But too many advisors with their own agendas led the kid astray.

    JMO of course.

  4. blake March 22nd, 2014 at 9:55 pm

    Ok Jawn.

    On one hand you have the Yankees who basically gave you a take it or leave it offer of 175 and really seemed to act like they didn’t care if you stayed or not.

    And then on the other you had the Mariners who offered 240 and acted like you hung the moon and wanted you more than anything?

    Which are you picking? Players want the money but they want to be wanted too…..especially if they get to free agency and go through the recruiting process…..the Yanks did try very hard to sign him and he left….simple as that

  5. Ys Guy March 22nd, 2014 at 9:58 pm

    No question for myself, i’d have taken the Yankees money. But I’m a New Yorker and a Yankees fan.

    Btw the reason it came up on the broadcast is because Glen Perkins, who’s from Minneappolis, took a hometown discount to stay in his hometown and he had just come in the game.

  6. bigdan22 March 22nd, 2014 at 10:05 pm

    Pat M. March 22nd, 2014 at 9:43 pm
    Mumbo Jumbo Jerkface…Yeah there’s physics to everything in life but if Tanaka keeps trying to slip high fastball past Big League hitters it won’t be an issue of physics it’ll be more of an electrical issue as in getting lite up….

    ——

    I agree with this point. While JF may be correct that the spin on Tanaka’s FB may result in a disproportionate amount of long fly balls, I think the more likely explanation here is Tanaka’s predilection for pitching up in the zone. I pointed this out in my notes of his last two starts as a potential problem. And it’s not just Tanaka’s FB either. He’s up with his slider quite a bit and his split.

    My guess is that pitching up didn’t hurt him in Japan. I think ML hitters will make him pay if he tries that here. Given Tanaka’s excellent overall command, it wouldn’t surprise me if he makes an adjustment at some point. But it also wouldn’t surprise me if he gets knocked around a bit before he does.

  7. Jerkface March 22nd, 2014 at 10:05 pm

    I have always understood that to be a myth. Four seam Fastballs don’t actually rise but simply sink less than sinkers do. At least that’s what I read somewhere.

    Watch the ESPN sports science bit on it. Its not that his fastball rises. Its that it drops less than you would expect a pitch with no spin to drop over the same distance. If you have a pitchfx value for vertical movement of +12 or more you have a ‘rising fastball’. It doesn’t actually rise, that would be against physics, but what it does do is trick hitters into thinking it will drop more than it actually does leading to pop flies.

    Pitchers with a 4seam fastball that has this high vertical value (which is due to the ability to get more than average spin on it) have below average HR/FB rates on the pitch. Since the FB is the pitch most often hit for a HR, this tends to reduce the amount of HRs they give up. Thats why a guy with Jered Weaver’s FB% gives up less HRs than you would think. And a guy like Tanaka, who isn’t going to be a FB pitcher anyway, you will see less HRs than you’d expect.

    Here is the link http://riveraveblues.com/2014/.....ka-100417/

  8. trisha - true pinstriped blue March 22nd, 2014 at 10:06 pm

    There are definitely players who take the hometown discount. But Robby was the biggest FA of the off season by far and the Mariners (owned by Sony it is?) had the money and the EXTREME need. So that was the perfect storm. I have to say that the Mariners needed Robby more than the Yankees needed Robby, if you know what I mean. So maybe it stands to reason that since they had the money to spend, they were going to have to offer more to get him.

  9. blake March 22nd, 2014 at 10:08 pm

    Must say I think replay has gone off without hardly a hitch this spring…..it’s been great….calls being corrected…..it’s really good for the game

  10. Jerkface March 22nd, 2014 at 10:08 pm

    Tanaka pitches to all 4 quadrants, I don’t think he is any more ‘up in the zone’ than any pitcher is on the Yankee staff. Will need the pitch fx data during the regular season to prove that, but I think this is a bit of confirmation bias going on. You expect he will be up in the zone a lot, so when you see a pitch there you think he is constantly pitching there.

    He pitches across the entire zone, a lot of his pitches were down in the zone today. Any pitcher can pitch up in the zone if the setup is right, and Tanaka happens to have a specific fastball type that works well in that area. Of course he shouldn’t live there, but he won’t. He will go inside, down and in, down and away, outside corner with the breaking ball, etc.

  11. trisha - true pinstriped blue March 22nd, 2014 at 10:11 pm

    “Must say I think replay has gone off without hardly a hitch this spring…..it’s been great….calls being corrected…..it’s really good for the game”

    It’s great for the game.

  12. Ys Guy March 22nd, 2014 at 10:12 pm

    personally, I dont see any way the Mariners recoup their investment. I don’t think Cano is going to lead them to becoming a Powerhouse, and I don’t see him being a big draw.

    IMO the Mariners are lost and trying to turn things around without any real clue how to do it. So they did what George used to do, buy the shiniest new toy on the market and hope he can turn things around. I just don’t think it will work.

    In other words, ‘it only takes one dumb owner’ and in this case it was the one who owns the Mariners.

    Time will tell.

  13. Pat M. March 22nd, 2014 at 10:15 pm

    Boy I wonder if Mickey Mantle had all this wonderful information if it would have helped him hitting Sandy Koufax ???? You stat slide ruler dudes have tried to infused yourselves into that game but in reality it’s a rather simple game of actions and reactions …. However if that makes you a fan good, but save this the gospel crap please…..Bottom line your boy can’t keep pitching above the waist or he’ll be toast. This is the Major Leagues Jerkface with the best players on the planet.

  14. bigdan22 March 22nd, 2014 at 10:17 pm

    The issue is not whether Tanaka pitches up in the zone more or less than anyone else. The issue is does he pitch up in the zone more than what would be advisable given his stuff, especially with respect to his fastball which seems to sit 90-92. I’ve seen him hit hard a few times in every one of his televised starts this spring and it’s always been pitches up in zone and mostly his fastball.

    It’s hard to say at this time how much of a problem this will turn out to be if at all. Right now it’s just a red flag.

  15. pete2 March 22nd, 2014 at 10:18 pm

    This from a Baseball America article

    “At 6-foot-2, 205 pounds, Tanaka throws a low-90s fastball that can touch 96 mph. Even though Tanaka can reach the mid-90s, his fastball is the pitch that gives some scouts pause because it comes in on a flat plane, making it more hittable than the velocity might suggest.

    I think the flat pane remark rings true a bit. He may not be up in the zone anymore than other pitchers, but when it is he may be more hittable. Like jerkface says, we really need to wait and see pitch f/x data and probably need a month of starts before anything useful comes of it.

  16. BoJo March 22nd, 2014 at 10:20 pm

    It seems that people are worrying about Tanaka being up in the zone. I attribute this worry to recalling how hard Hughes got lit up. But Tanaka is no Hughes–he has better control, more weapons, and most importantly, more brains and guts. I am not worried. He’s a warrior and will know how to adjust.

  17. Jerkface March 22nd, 2014 at 10:20 pm

    You don’t have to understand why stuff works, but that doesn’t make it less true. You can continue thinking that fastballs rise and that microwaves are magic food warming machines and that the internet is a series of tubes for all I care.

    Plenty of pitchers with worse stuff than Tanaka pitch up in the zone because of sequence and setup. I know you are so blinded by your hatred and obsession for me that you think because I like Tanaka you have to act like he is somehow lesser than some dopey MLB pitcher, but it just ain’t true.

    Tanaka is going to blow some high fastballs by some guys this year, and get some weak pop ups on em, and some fly balls, and the world won’t end and he won’t have a 5 ERA or whatever you imagine will happen if the dreaded high pitch comes into play.

  18. Jerkface March 22nd, 2014 at 10:23 pm

    I think the flat pane remark rings true a bit. He may not be up in the zone anymore than other pitchers, but when it is he may be more hittable. Like jerkface says, we really need to wait and see pitch f/x data and probably need a month of starts before anything useful comes of it.

    Those scouts did not know about the spin on the pitch though. Of course it will come in on a flatter plane, its not dropping as much as a normal pitch would. Thats an advantage, where as they seem to think its a disadvantage. Combined with the average horizontal movement his 4seam has and the fact he releases it closer to the plate than a pitcher of his size normally would its actually going to be a pretty good pitch.

  19. bigdan22 March 22nd, 2014 at 10:24 pm

    I think Kelly Johnson has looked pretty good so far at 3b and there’s a reason for that. He’s very comfortable there. Johnson was primarily a SS in the minor leagues. In an interview recently he said he’s found it easier learning 3b than it was learning 2b because of his SS background and being more comfortable on the left side of the infield. It appears now the Yanks want to keep him there full time and not move him around much at all. I think if the Yanks get there way, he will back up 1b and no other position. Anna and Solarte have given the Yanks more options at the middle infield making Johnson versatility less of a need than what was originally expected.

  20. pete2 March 22nd, 2014 at 10:26 pm

    ” You stat slide ruler dudes have tried to infused yourselves into that game but in reality it’s a rather simple game of actions and reactions …. ”

    With MLB teams buying super computers and hiring a bunch of slide rule guys and players studying video and pitch/hit charts, I would say the game has passed you by Pat. LOL

  21. BoJo March 22nd, 2014 at 10:27 pm

    “microwaves AREN’T magic food warming machines?” Now you’re pushing the limits of credibility….

  22. Ys Guy March 22nd, 2014 at 10:28 pm

    Gregoius is playing SS for the DBacks tonight.

    Puig singled, Ethier drove him home 1-0 Dodgers.

  23. blake March 22nd, 2014 at 10:29 pm

    Just today replay saved the Yanks at least 1 run and probAbaly more…..1 out and Cervelli hoses a runner stealing 2nd and he’s called safe…..replay corrected the call after Joe challenged and the next guy got a base hit ……love it

  24. bigdan22 March 22nd, 2014 at 10:29 pm

    If Tanaka gives up more than an acceptable number of home runs and the home runs come on pitches up in the zone than it would be advisable for Tanaka to change his pattern and no one will need f/x data to conclude that. Baseball really isn’t as hard as some people make it out to be.

  25. trisha - true pinstriped blue March 22nd, 2014 at 10:30 pm

    “I think Kelly Johnson has looked pretty good so far at 3b and there’s a reason for that. ”

    I absolutely agree. He’s been working really hard and it’s showing. Good for us!

    And good night!

    :)

  26. pete2 March 22nd, 2014 at 10:30 pm

    “bigdan22 March 22nd, 2014 at 10:24 pm

    I think Kelly Johnson has looked pretty good so far at 3b and there’s a reason for that. He’s very comfortable there. Johnson was primarily a SS in the minor leagues.”

    I have seen him have trouble on a couple of hard hit GB’s this spring. Ball gets to you a bit quicker at 3B. Not going to judge him on a couple of plays, and as a former SS he should be able to adjust there. However, he has seen the ball from the other side of the field most of his MLB career, so it may not be as easy adjustment as we think, or as he claims it is.

  27. BoJo March 22nd, 2014 at 10:30 pm

    Somehow it just seems wrong that the season has started this early….

  28. SweetSpot March 22nd, 2014 at 10:31 pm

    It appears to me that the Yankees have plenty of intriguing infield options. Fans are always clamoring to let the young guys have their shot; well that time is now and I’m glad we didn’t give up a pick and a bunch of cash for a Drew or someone similar.

  29. Ys Guy March 22nd, 2014 at 10:31 pm

    John and Suzyn said that Girardi called Johnson the starting third baseman, and said there is not going to be a platoon.

  30. blake March 22nd, 2014 at 10:33 pm

    I think Kelly Johnson has looked pretty good so far at 3b and there’s a reason for that. He’s very comfortable there. Johnson was primarily a SS in the minor leagues. In an interview recently he said he’s found it easier learning 3b than it was learning 2b because of his SS background and being more comfortable on the left side of the infield. It ”

    Miguel Cabrera was a SS coming up too…..a lot of guys were because at lower levels you play your best players at SS. I think he will be ok at 3b but probAbaly below average……and the issue is what happens if Roberts or Jeter gets hurt? Because johnson was really signed to be a utility guy and back up 2nd, 3rd , and 1B and now he’s a starter……so they have very little “good” depth in the infield

  31. Jerkface March 22nd, 2014 at 10:33 pm

    This stuff isn’t really for the pitchers and the hitters, its for fans/GMs/scouts/whatever to understand WHY certain things are effective or ineffective.

    For example, its common sense that the less time a hitter has to react to a pitch the harder its going to be for him to deal with it. But you might look at a guy like Robertson and wonder why hitters are reacting to his 92 mph fastball like a guy who throws 96. “Well its not getting there as fast so whats the deal?” You’d think. Well the answer is that it is getting there as fast because he releases the ball 2 feet closer to the plate than normal which means his pitch is covering a smaller amount of distance. Robertson doesn’t need to understand why his pitch is effective, though I guess it’d be nice, nor does a hitter need to know why the pitch is coming on him faster than usual. But someone who is wondering whether Robertson can be an effective major league reliever would like to know that.

  32. Ys Guy March 22nd, 2014 at 10:34 pm

    I also heard that Johnson said that he’s having no problem switching to third, but that being at first base seems weird and the footwork is alot more complicated than he expected.

  33. Jerkface March 22nd, 2014 at 10:35 pm

    Though if a pitcher were smart he’d learn these things and tailor his game to this stuff. Try to take longer strides, try to get more spin on the fastball, etc.

  34. trisha - true pinstriped blue March 22nd, 2014 at 10:35 pm

    “Just today replay saved the Yanks at least 1 run and probAbaly more…..1 out and Cervelli hoses a runner stealing 2nd and he’s called safe…..replay corrected the call after Joe challenged and the next guy got a base hit ……love it”

    How long have I been screaming for replay, with others saying they like the “human” part of the game with umpiring. Well start to think about how many blown plays have led to scoring that wouldn’t have otherwise happened, and maybe to games that were won by the wrong team – meaning that if they had gotten the calls right, things would have ended up differently.

    Have teams lost being in the playoffs before by a game or less? Have bad calls lost any teams the opportunity to advance to the playoffs a la Tim McLelland and the Padres?

    All baseball fans should want is for the games to be called correctly. Because then the team that wins will have won legitimately, at least in terms of calls.

  35. Ys Guy March 22nd, 2014 at 10:36 pm

    i thought it was the high socks….very distracting…

  36. trisha - true pinstriped blue March 22nd, 2014 at 10:38 pm

    “John and Suzyn said that Girardi called Johnson the starting third baseman, and said there is not going to be a platoon.”

    Definitely a tribute then to the progress he has made working with Mick Kelleher.

  37. trisha - true pinstriped blue March 22nd, 2014 at 10:39 pm

    Oh yeah – good night.

    :)

  38. Jerkface March 22nd, 2014 at 10:39 pm

    How long have I been screaming for replay, with others saying they like the “human” part of the game with umpiring.

    The people who love the ‘human’ element are misguided. There is no human interpretation of the rules of baseball. They are all pretty well spelled out in the rulebook. The human element always just came from umpires failing to do their job correctly, so i don’t know why so many people were against the idea of replay.

    I suspect that the players and managers who were against it didn’t like the idea of calls going agaisnt them and thought maybe their opponents would benefit disproportionately.

  39. blake March 22nd, 2014 at 10:39 pm

    “Have teams lost being in the playoffs before by a game or less? Have bad calls lost any teams the opportunity to advance to the playoffs a la Tim McLelland and the Padres?”

    I’m sure lots of teams have missed the playoffs by a game because of a missed call here or there during the season…..there has been no excuse for missed calls for years now and now there shouldn’t be anymore…..at least there should be a lot less of them

  40. BoJo March 22nd, 2014 at 10:41 pm

    Jerkface March 22nd, 2014 at 10:35 pm
    Though if a pitcher were smart he’d learn these things and tailor his game to this stuff. Try to take longer strides, try to get more spin on the fastball, etc.
    ===
    If you look at Chapman, he seems to have tailored his delivery to get the most out of every scientific analysis…longer stride, wider and faster hip rotation, more arm extension, etc. I posted a Youtube analysis of this a while ago…Was an interesting analysis of how velocity is generated.

  41. bigdan22 March 22nd, 2014 at 10:42 pm

    Who do you think was a better SS? Miguel Cabrera or Kelly Johnson? Reports on Johnson’s ability at 3b were positive even before he got to NY. See below:

    HOUSTON — Though he was hitting just .105 over his last 23 games entering Tuesday, Rays third baseman Kelly Johnson had exceeded expectations at third base, manager Joe Maddon said.

    “He’s played it really well, not just OK,” Maddon said. “It seems like he’s comfortable with the left side of the field because he’s played left field really well, too.”

    ——

    I think KJ will probably be an average third baseman defensively which is not bad given his price tag and the available alternatives. I’m not sure how much he’ll hit but there most likely will be some power. The interesting thing is he’s gone very quickly from a valuable utility player to a starting ML third baseman.

  42. Pat M. March 22nd, 2014 at 10:42 pm

    Well now I’ve read it all, the scouts didn’t know about the spin on Tanaka’s flat as a sting fastball…..And again Face, Robertson gets away with this because he’s a 1 inning guy. You’re like a guy who has never been in a car yet you know more about driving than let’s say Danica Patrick…..Do you ever think about what you post here ???? And while we’re at it, you have some huge onions to be calling Randy the equal to a baseball janitor. Man you have some keyboard courage …..

  43. BoJo March 22nd, 2014 at 10:42 pm

    G’night Trisha!

  44. blake March 22nd, 2014 at 10:42 pm

    Mike trout has an .818 Slg % this spring…..I think he should just retire and find something more challenging…..scary that he’s developing more power…..he’s mashing balls this spring

  45. BoJo March 22nd, 2014 at 10:43 pm

    Ys Guy March 22nd, 2014 at 10:36 pm
    i thought it was the high socks….very distracting…
    —–
    If distractions insured success, pitchers would be wearing jock straps outside of their pants.

  46. blake March 22nd, 2014 at 10:45 pm

    “Who do you think was a better SS? Miguel Cabrera or Kelly Johnson? Reports on Johnson’s ability at 3b were positive even before he got to NY. See below”

    You’ve missed my point entirely ….again I think Johnson will be ok at 3B ….probAbaly below average- average but ok. The problem though is that because he’s starting now the team got a less deep than it was originally intended to be……Johnson should be a utility guy on this club and he’s having to start because they have nobody else.

  47. SweetSpot March 22nd, 2014 at 10:45 pm

    Interesting topic! I am in favor of instant replay as long as it’s crisply executed. What did it take today? Under a minute, that’s good. But in general I do think the powers that be should be careful about removing too much of the human element from the game. I see baseball as more art than science and there is such a thing as too much technology, statistical analysis, etc.

  48. pete2 March 22nd, 2014 at 10:46 pm

    I watched the replay on my iphone and it actually seemed a bit inconclusive. The glove was certainly near the leg and it looked as if he may have touched him, but I could not definitively say he touched it. Maybe on a large screen HDTV you can see it clearly touch him.

    The Yankees have got a few bad calls go their way over the years, so these things won’t work in our favor every time.

  49. pete2 March 22nd, 2014 at 10:48 pm

    ” blake March 22nd, 2014 at 10:42 pm

    “Mike trout has an .818 Slg % this spring…..I think he should just retire and find something more challenging…..scary that he’s developing more power…..he’s mashing balls this spring”
    =======================
    Players power years don’t peak until age 25-28, so his best power years are ahead of him. Imagine if he was in a hitters park.

  50. blake March 22nd, 2014 at 10:49 pm

    He was clearly out I thought…..ball beat him by a mile and it looked like he tagged him from the angle I saw

  51. blake March 22nd, 2014 at 10:49 pm

    Didi batting now

  52. Ys Guy March 22nd, 2014 at 10:50 pm

    correct me if im wrong but isnt it humans who will be deciding on the replays based on what they see with their human eyes?

  53. blake March 22nd, 2014 at 10:50 pm

    “Players power years don’t peak until age 25-28, so his best power years are ahead of him. Imagine if he was in a hitters park.”

    I know…..he has the 3rd longest avg homers in the league last year.

  54. blake March 22nd, 2014 at 10:51 pm

    Ryu overmatched Didi pretty much

  55. blake March 22nd, 2014 at 10:52 pm

    Ys Guy says:
    March 22, 2014 at 10:50 pm
    correct me if im wrong but isnt it humans who will be deciding on the replays based on what they see with their human eyes?

    Sure but humans have a better chance of getting it right when they can see multiple angles….slow motion…..and the ability to watch the play multiple times.

  56. Ys Guy March 22nd, 2014 at 10:52 pm

    i drafted first in my first two fantasy leagues this year, so Let’s Go Trout!

  57. Ys Guy March 22nd, 2014 at 10:56 pm

    i really like that the replay calls are going to be made at the same place for all games, that should guarantee some uniformity. Im also glad the decision of the replay official is final, taking the egos of the on-field umps out of the equation and eliminating alot of arguments.

    It won’t be perfect and not every call will be clear-cut and perfect and the technology could be problematic at first, but this is a very good step in the right direction, imo.

    Robotic ball and strike calls would be another step in the right direction, too, imo.

  58. bigdan22 March 22nd, 2014 at 11:01 pm

    Who do you think was a better SS? Miguel Cabrera or Kelly Johnson? Reports on Johnson’s ability at 3b were positive even before he got to NY. See below”

    You’ve missed my point entirely ….again I think Johnson will be ok at 3B ….probAbaly below average- average but ok. The problem though is that because he’s starting now the team got a less deep than it was originally intended to be……Johnson should be a utility guy on this club and he’s having to start because they have nobody else.

    —–

    No Blake, there is really are two separate points. Earlier you were criticizing Johnson’s expected defensive performance at 3b because of his limited ML playing time there. I pointed out that that proposition is really only half true. He’s had tons of experience on the left side of the infield and early reports suggest he’ll be at least an adequate defensive third baseman.

    The second is the quality of the Yanks’ infield depth and how poor you think it is and how it got even poorer when Johnson was named a starting 3b. You’ve been saying that the Yanks’ infield depth (and infield overall) is poor for weeks. We’ve been through most of Spring Training and I’ve yet to see any evidence to support that proposition. In fact, the Yankees’ depth seems much better than most folks expected with the play of the Triple Option, Nunez, Anna and Solarte. Throw in Wheeler and Sizemore and the depth is even more impressive. Nunez has looked about as good as he can possibly look and Anna and Solarte have been pleasant surprises with their bats and (in the case of Solarte) with their gloves as well.

    Of course, like anything else this time of year, the jury is still out on the quality of the Yanks’ infield depth. But as of right now, so far, so good.

  59. Pat M. March 22nd, 2014 at 11:12 pm

    Flagrant foul with 1 second left in the Oregon / Wisconsin game cost me the game by 1 point. Vince Scully who only travels to San Fran, Anaheim and Arizona made the huge trip down under to call the Dodger’s season opener. Dodgers are going to be a load this season

  60. Jerkface March 22nd, 2014 at 11:13 pm

    You’re like a guy who has never been in a car yet you know more about driving than let’s say Danica Patrick

    Bad analogy, Pat. What you meant to say was, “This is like a guy who has never RACED PROFESSIONALLY and yet you know more about how a car works and relates to driving than Danica Patrick”. I think there are lots of people who do not race professionally that would know how to drive, or why a specific car is faster than another car, or handles better. They might not have the physical ability to sit in a stock car and drive for hours at high speeds, but understanding the underlying components of the car or driving? Sure.

    You don’t like the idea of people you perceive to be non athletes knowing more about how the game you love works, I get it, but you have to get over that. You can still know about the inside of a locker room or how it feels to take long bus rides or whatever, no one can take that away from you.

  61. chicken_stanley March 22nd, 2014 at 11:18 pm

    Good evening all… been on the road most of the day and didn’t get to see the game. I heard parts on the radio… whats the general consensus on Tanaka’s last inning? Tired? Location?

  62. BoJo March 22nd, 2014 at 11:22 pm

    Here is that Chapman velocity video that breaks down some of JF’s points.

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yEpdoAZiHWQ

  63. Jerkface March 22nd, 2014 at 11:25 pm

    The sports science series is really good. There is a reason throwing motions, hitting motions, fielding motions are all very similar. Because there is a science behind doing these things at their most efficient. Some guys are talented and can get away with deviating, but in the end most hitters end up in the same position at a certain point, pitchers end up throwing in a similar way, fielders throw etc.

    Its not like you can just make up whatever you want and go be a successful pitcher. The human body is a biological machine and the parts of it work in specific ways.

  64. BoJo March 22nd, 2014 at 11:29 pm

    Now please just tell me that microwaves ARE magic food warming machines

  65. BoJo March 22nd, 2014 at 11:34 pm

    Hey JF–have you spotted the new fake poster on this page yet?

  66. BoJo March 22nd, 2014 at 11:37 pm

    I should say from today yet…

  67. chicken_stanley March 22nd, 2014 at 11:40 pm

    Now please just tell me that microwaves ARE magic food warming machines

    ———————-

    Reminds me of the Beverly Hillbillies – cement ponds and golf eggs

  68. blake March 22nd, 2014 at 11:41 pm

    “No Blake, there is really are two separate points. Earlier you were criticizing Johnson’s expected defensive performance at 3b because of his limited ML playing time there. I pointed out that that proposition is really only half true”

    No it’s all true….he’s got experience being a not big league caliber SS….he can adjust fine I’m sure but the problem is that his ability is somewhat limited and he’s hardly played there….given what they have he’s there best option though and that’s why he’s playing there

  69. blake March 22nd, 2014 at 11:44 pm

    .You’ve been saying that the Yanks’ infield depth (and infield overall) is poor for weeks. We’ve been through most of Spring Training and I’ve yet to see any evidence to support that proposition. In fact, the Yankees’ depth seems much better than most folks expected with the play of the Triple Option, Nunez, Anna and Solarte”

    As I said earlier…..they don’t have infield depth…..they have infield clutter…..and the clutter is mostly with AAAA players and back ups. It’s ok to be hopeful and optimistic in march though…..I hope you’re right and it’s not a problem……but there is a great likelyhood it will be

  70. Pat M. March 22nd, 2014 at 11:44 pm

    After listening to Shame the other day regarding my interaction with you in the past I thought maybe I should re-think my take on you. And then you post that crap about Tin Cup and now this busht tonight. You are what you are, a person who lacks integrity and is in no way a stand-up person. Rule of thumb Face is you lack the conviction to say it to one’s face then you don’t say in it. You’re a puny little chump with a very low self esteem. And if you ever would care to express to otherwise I literally over a million airline miles and I’ll fly you 1st Class to Los Angeles and then drop you like a bad habit

  71. chicken_stanley March 22nd, 2014 at 11:45 pm

    Blake – I haven’t checked… what time do the heels play tomorrow? I’m traveling but want to adjust my schedule if possible to watch (the ACC teams are falling fast… pressure is on UNC and UVA to represent)

  72. blake March 22nd, 2014 at 11:47 pm

    5:15 I believe chicken

  73. chicken_stanley March 22nd, 2014 at 11:48 pm

    5:15 I believe chicken

    ————-

    Cool… I’ll be parked in front of a tv by then

  74. Jerkface March 22nd, 2014 at 11:48 pm

    You’re blind to yourself, Pat M, is all you are. I never, ever, mention you outside of replying directly to you. You take pot shots at me all day every day and make sure to mention me in almost all of your baseball related posts because you’re obsessed, and the mentions are rarely polite. Look at you. You think the solution to your problem is some fantasy where I go meet you and you get to what? Punch me? Yell at me?

    You’re a small person that thinks they wear big britches.

  75. Pat M. March 22nd, 2014 at 11:51 pm

    Never violence Jerkface and hardly obsessed but I don’t care much for snake oil salesmen

  76. blake March 22nd, 2014 at 11:52 pm

    Oh they have a wave going in Australia…..how 1980s of them.

    Lets not fight guys…..life is too short. I just walked outside and forgot I had set our security system and about had a heart attack when it went off…..that’s the worst….hope the cops don’t show up after I go to bed

  77. chicken_stanley March 22nd, 2014 at 11:55 pm

    Lets not fight guys

    ———————-

    I second that. I enjoy reading both of your posts.

  78. BoJo March 22nd, 2014 at 11:58 pm

    If you do fight however, can we set up a Youtube link and get a line on the bout?

  79. chicken_stanley March 22nd, 2014 at 11:58 pm

    Oh they have a wave going in Australia…..how 1980s of them

    ——–

    Just what does MLB hope to accomplish by these games? It seems to me that they should be more concerned about growing the sport here. But what do I know?

  80. blake March 23rd, 2014 at 12:00 am

    Just what does MLB hope to accomplish by these games? It seems to me that they should be more concerned about growing the sport here. But what do I know?”

    I dunno…..I get trying to grow the game globally…..but I don’t really like these opening day things a week before everyone else. I don’t consider this openin dha and it feels like an exhibition…..the real opening day is next week

  81. chicken_stanley March 23rd, 2014 at 12:01 am

    if you do fight however, can we set up a Youtube link and get a line on the bout?

    ———————–

    OK, I understand that I’m about a half a bubble off center but for some reason that reminded me of the old MTV show “Celebrity Deathmatch” LOL

  82. chicken_stanley March 23rd, 2014 at 12:05 am

    I dunno…..I get trying to grow the game globally…..but I don’t really like these opening day things a week before everyone else. I don’t consider this openin dha and it feels like an exhibition…..the real opening day is next week

    ———————-

    I agree with everything you posted… my problem is “trying to grow the game globally”. MLB has taken a backseat to the NFL for many years… Now, a case can be made (tv ratings for the series vs ratings for the finals) that the NBA has surpassed MLB. I wish they would grow the game here first. JMO

  83. sammiejohnson March 23rd, 2014 at 12:06 am

    LA has the Dodger Dog. Chase Field has their Sonoran Dog. What do you figure the big food item is at the Sydney Cricket Grounds is? Beef Pie?

  84. chicken_stanley March 23rd, 2014 at 12:06 am

    Looks like ‘Nova is done

  85. BoJo March 23rd, 2014 at 12:08 am

    I agree with everything you posted… my problem is “trying to grow the game globally”. MLB has taken a backseat to the NFL for many years… Now, a case can be made (tv ratings for the series vs ratings for the finals) that the NBA has surpassed MLB. I wish they would grow the game here first. JMO
    —-
    I think they are trying to insure they have a backseat globally. Another brilliant Selig idea.

  86. chicken_stanley March 23rd, 2014 at 12:10 am

    Another brilliant Selig idea.

    ———–

    The next brilliant idea he has will be his first

  87. chicken_stanley March 23rd, 2014 at 12:14 am

    If Nova keeps fouling, the last minute of this game is gonna take an hour an a half plus the assistant trainer and the ball boy are gonna have to suit up

  88. BoJo March 23rd, 2014 at 12:15 am

    True

  89. Pat M. March 23rd, 2014 at 12:26 am

    One of the things that hugely separated CB , Rich in NJ and even LGY from Jerkface besides a personality ??? They knew the sabermetrics that counted that hd substance and it’s role in the game…..More importantly, you could take them out to a C

  90. Pat M. March 23rd, 2014 at 12:29 am

    Con’t ) Take them out to a Connie Mack game and they could point out the skills that each player excelled with and why he’s playing at this level…….The Face would be lost

  91. chicken_stanley March 23rd, 2014 at 12:33 am

    Pat M – I’m assuming you are a UCLA fan… give me your best guesstimate as to how they do in the tourney. I haven’t followed them this year… Their guard (Anderson?) looks as slow as an iceberg in the highlights I’ve seen but he seems to always be able to finish

  92. chicken_stanley March 23rd, 2014 at 12:47 am

    Well, I’ve stayed awake as long as I’m able. Goodnight all

  93. pete2 March 23rd, 2014 at 12:53 am

    “I agree with everything you posted… my problem is “trying to grow the game globally”. MLB has taken a backseat to the NFL for many years… Now, a case can be made (tv ratings for the series vs ratings for the finals) that the NBA has surpassed MLB. I wish they would grow the game here first. JMO”
    ==================

    MLB realizes that when the Baby Boomers pass on revenues will plummet in the US, since the younger fans are not taking to the game as much and their numbers are smaller. Too many entertainment options for a slow paced game that can make chess look exciting if you don’t understand the nuances and appreciate the numbers.

    The future is a global audience. It is very likely that baseballs next expansion, which may be accompanied by a contraction, will include a couple of teams south of the border.

    An expanded version of the WBC which could be an annual event and include the MLB World Series winner could loom down the line. Its a while off and there are some logistical hurdles, but its probably coming sooner or later.

  94. Pat M. March 23rd, 2014 at 12:55 am

    Chicken Stanley….Kyle Anderson stands 6 -9, he’s the only legit triple double threat in the game, and yes he moves with a great sense of deliberation, but he can see the entire floor because he towers over whomever they try to guard him with……Lottery pick I fear….Sweet 16 was a for certain. now the elite 8 and beyond will be determined by how they can beat Billy Donavan’s Gators……Florida’s best player is a smallish point guard who will up against the 6-9 Kyle Anderson, 1/2 model; clone of Magic Johnson. UCLA just might finally beat Florida now that it’s not a final 4 game or the championship game like it was a few years back

  95. bbb51 March 23rd, 2014 at 1:20 am

    Johnson hit all 16 of his home runs last year vs rhp, however he did hit for a much higher avg and higher obp vs lhp. In 2012 he hit most of his home runs vs rhp and was just plain terrible vs lhp. Pretty much the same in 2011.

    We’ll see.

    This is not exactly a ringing endorsement of Nunez either.

  96. pete2 March 23rd, 2014 at 2:09 am

    Johnson did not face many very good LHP’ers last year. Its really a SSS, I think a 3 year avg gives you the best estimate of what to expect. I would guess Nunez starts ahead of him if there is a tough LHP’er on the mound

  97. jmills March 23rd, 2014 at 6:36 am

    Good morning everybody :D

    This has become one of my favourite times….blue-grey light slowly taking over. Lucidity, my mind approaches lucidity as best I know how in and around these parts, these little precious slices,….bits of broken forgotten plastic.

    So,…..what aboot those Jays? I have an inkling for my relief. Jansen’s been a bit stiff and is still getting stretched out, but I’ve got Santos and Delabar. Bret Cecil is a Dan Plesac loogan. Aaron Loop has been a fun arm. Everybody needs a long mop up take out the garbage guy. I’m hoping McGowan is just too good for that and makes a start of it. Esmil Rogers is a take out the garbage guy. Happ is what he is,…insurance, an arm.

    For quite some time, I practiced in Port Hope Ontario before removing myself from the game and bestowing a ” not eligible to practice status “. I’m going to call up my licencing college and tell them to use a euphemism. I left because I wanted to leave, period. Anywho, Port Hope is Paul Quantrill territory, his dad had ( and maybe still does ) a GM dealership there which I was never familiar with due to the fact Honda owned me. Paul was an All Star reliever, I enjoyed his work very much.

  98. jmills March 23rd, 2014 at 8:23 am

    http://m.youtube.com/watch?v=EAg8qEYrKnY

    Alomar at second. I’m biased, I don’t care. Rogers Hornsby is a stat to me, a very wonderful .356 stat, but did he have the D?

  99. jmills March 23rd, 2014 at 8:31 am

    .358, Hornsby hit .358. I’m surprised I got it wrong, it was .356 in my world. Oh well. Hornsby was noted to have limited range at short, the move to second a beneficial one.

  100. mick March 23rd, 2014 at 8:33 am

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    Only time before it’s Zorro’s turn .

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These forward looking statements are based on current expectations and are subject to qualifications set out in this morning’s press release, as well as in the company’s 2011 annual report on Form 10 K filed with the SEC under the caption Part 2, Item 1A., Risk Factors and statement regarding forward looking statements.Also please note that during this call and in the accompanying slides and press release, sales, gross profit, gross margins, SG SG as a percentage of sales, operating income, operating margin and interest expense, net income or loss from continuing operations and EPS are presented on both a GAAP and non GAAP basis. EBITDA; adjusted EBITDA; adjusted EBITDA, excluding foreign currency gains and losses; adjusted EBITDA margin and pro forma adjusted EBITDA, excluding foreign currency gains and losses are non GAAP measures that are also presented in the accompanying slides and press release.The company presents EBITDA measures because it considers them important supplemental measures of its performance and believes they are frequently used by securities analysts, investors and other interested parties in the evaluation of companies in its industry.The company believes that the adjusted results for the fourth quarter and full year 2011 and 2010 represent a more meaningful presentation of its historical operations and financial performance since they provide period to period comparisons that are consistent and more easily understood.Now I would like to turn the call over to your host, Mr. McComb. Please go ahead, sir.Good morning. Welcome to our Fourth Quarter and Year End 2011 Earnings Results Conference Call. I’m joined today for the last time by our current CFO, Andy Warren, who will be with the company through March 16. And as announced back in early January, he will then be moving to Discovery Communications as their CFO. I’m very grateful that Andy has been able to stay with us through the quarter and year end close and through the filing of the 10 K today.Okay, so let’s have a look at our results. 2011 marked a year of significant transformation for the company. For me, the highlight of the year was the extraordinary performance of our core Direct Brands portfolio. We saw outstanding growth and profit expansion at both kate spade and Lucky Brand. And at Juicy Couture, we saw a team come together and rally behind a very compelling vision for that brand, a vision that is now beginning to manifest itself in stores. Many years of hard work have come together to give this total portfolio a very inspiring future and to create momentum.For others, the highlight came from our balance sheet deleveraging achieved through portfolio rationalization. This also allowed us to meaningfully de risk our operations, which now include the 3 global lifestyle brands we’ve been positioning for growth for the past several years, plus a cluster of profitable, wholesale brand relationships, most of which are based on exclusive vendor agreements with strategic partners. This group is now called the Adelington Design Group. And although small in stature, it’s expected to provide an annuity like profit stream for several years to come.Turning now to Slide Page 3, key priorities for 2012. So as we turn the page on the calendar to early January, we identified 3 major priorities for our company for 2012. First, we’re forecasting adjusted EBITDA of $125 million to $140 million. 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We plan to open a total of 35 to 40 additional stores this year across the 3 brands as part of this growth agenda, most of which will go to the kate spade and Jack Spade brands.Our second major goal is to implement a transformation our corporate infrastructure to better and more cost effectively serve our brand portfolio. We showed you back in November that the adjusted EBITDA of this group will be negative $70 million to negative $75 million in 2012 after already making some major reductions. We’re working to get that number down to a range between minus $55 million to minus $60 million in 2013, with the longer term goal of it costing between $45 million and $50 million of adjusted EBITDA per year. To do so, we have to make some systems investments and this is the year that we plan to structure these initiatives and get to work on them. We will provide a clear outline of the timing and costs of these initiatives on our April 26 conference call.Our third major priority then is to sharpen our skills, develop partnerships and invest in 2 very critical future sources of growth. and in Europe to achieve significant growth in becoming an outstanding CRM player with our brands. I’m happy with our momentum in both of these areas, but they remain important places for our teams to focus.So let’s see how it’s going so far. Looking here on Slide Page 4, I’m happy to report that we’re off to a strong start at retail. This chart summarizes the direct to consumer comp sales for December, which we already presented back on January 9, as well as the fourth quarter total comp result. We’re also showing here the January and preliminary February month to date comp sales results for 2012. At kate spade, December came in up 39% and fourth quarter was up 58% in total. I’ll remind you that, that was against the fourth quarter 2010 that was up 45%. The brand had a strong January with comps up 30%, and February comps through last Saturday were up 16%. That February comp of plus 16% is on top of a reported 2011 February comp of plus 87% and a reported 2010 February comp of up 49%. So we remain very pleased with this performance as it continues to come from all parts of the business.Lucky Brand also continues to post very impressive results, with December comps up 21% and fourth quarter up 20%. With strong conversion and the momentum in the women’s business, January’s comp is up 29%, and February through last Saturday is up 21%. Lucky Brand’s February comp of plus 21% is on top of a reported 2011 February comp of plus 12%. Stunning numbers, very much so. And Juicy Couture has a trend that’s actually quite exciting, too. While December was down 6% and fourth quarter was down 8% in total, we are actually off to a stronger start than these numbers indicate. The total comp for Juicy Couture for January is minus 8% and for February through last Saturday, it’s down 2%.But let’s flip to the next page for a more insightful look. I told you that we ended 2011 with very clean inventory levels at Juicy Couture. I also told you that we learned from our mistake a year ago at Lucky Brand, where we made large bets on inventory for the new management team’s first new product deliveries. At Lucky Brand, that meant that we had huge inventory levels to clear at low margins in January 2011. For the new Juicy Couture team’s first season, we erred on the side of caution and bought spring very lightly. In fact, it appears that we bought it too lightly. Factor in that a year ago at Juicy Couture, we had very high levels of inventory and significant clearance, pumping up comp store sales but bringing down actual gross margin in the comparative 2011 base. So January and February 2012 comparisons are showing the impact of comparably light inventory.But to measure how the new product is doing, we looked at comps of spring merchandise. Here, we have an analysis of spring 2012 product versus spring 2011 product as of February 25. It shows that spring 2012 is up 18% versus spring 2011. In fact, our stores are consistently reporting out of stocks and broken sizes across the line. The same season code analysis shows that merchandise in the stores from before spring 2012 comped down 23% against merchandise from before spring 2011 in the year ago period. That minus 23% is where you see the impact of our very lean inventory position at year end.The bottom box on this chart shows a deeper analysis of the spring versus non spring product performance. Notably, spring unit sales are up 15% compared to last year, while non spring unit sales are down 19%. Similarly, spring inventory units on hand are up 1%, while non spring inventory units on hand are down 17%. And important, the gross margin rate is 800 basis points higher than non spring and healthy at a 70% level. And finally, gross margin dollars are up 23% for spring product and down 24% for pre spring product. This indicates the impact of high full price sell throughs and increasing average unit retail prices.We placed a deeper buy for the summer line, which delivers in mid April, but we won’t be at a more demand appropriate inventory level until the fall line. This factored into the guidance and projected comp profile that I reviewed before, which essentially calls for a total comp in the first half to be flat and then up around plus 10% in the second half. With these trends we’re seeing, with the continued impact of the marketing and in store merchandising improvements and with the right investments and inventory, we believe that our outlook is cautiously optimistic on the year ahead for Juicy Couture.Let’s flip to the next slide now. Total net sales for the brand were down 15% in the quarter, driven by a much smaller wholesale footprint year over year. Comp sales for the quarter were down 8%. And for the year, sales were $531 million, reflecting a 6.4% decrease compared to 2010. Total net store count was up 3 versus fourth quarter 2010, and sales per square foot for comp stores were $666 for the year. International accounted for 20% of total and was up 7% versus 2010. Our business in Asia was particularly strong last year. I’ve already make comments about the spring line here in 2012 and the very encouraging metrics that we’re seeing in spite of light buys. I’ll add that our partners in Asia and the Middle East are also seeing very strong consumer reactions to the spring line as well. And on the international front, we’ve decided to move our store in Central London from Bruton Street to Regent Street later this year to complement the very successful location in the Westfield Mall at Shepherds Bush that we opened in the fourth quarter of 2011.And finally, 2 weeks ago we announced the appointment of David Bassuk as Co President and Chief Operating Officer for the business. He will oversee the financial and operational side of the business and will partner with Co President and Chief Creative Officer, Leann Nealz, on the overall management of the brand and the leadership of the team. I’m very happy about this addition and about the powerful duo that they make.Turning now to Slide Page 7, you’ll see a summary for the kate spade brand. Total net sales for the brand were up 73% for the quarter. For the year, total net sales were up 70% to $313 million. Comp sales were up 58% during the quarter, and the total net store count was up 6 versus fourth quarter 2010. Sales per square foot were $955 for the year. The brand posted strong growth across channels and geographies, with international sales accounting for 14% of total sales, up 51% versus year ago. During the quarter, we implemented a very successful gifting program for holiday that focused on multiple pricing levels, a program that had a big presence not only in our stores, but also in pop up locations and wholesale accounts as well. The team also rolled out a redesign of our outlet stores, bringing the merchandising and store environment up to snuff with the specialty store fleet. And with this rollout, we’re seeing an immediate improvement in sales in that channel.Overall, the theme at kate spade is growth acceleration. This means accelerating our store rollout domestically while moving ahead with our international rollout. During the fourth quarter, we began operations in China with our JV partner E Land, where we anticipate opening 9 new points of distribution in 2012, which add to the 4 already in place in China for kate spade. And the brand also signed an agreement for distribution in the Middle East. We will see 4 points of distribution opening this year and 3 more in 2013. We’ve also said we will open approximately 25 doors for kate spade and Jack Spade this year, most in the back half of the year. Next year, that number should increase to 35 to 40 for the year. Our models assume that comps will be up in the teens for the brand, reflecting that we were near $1,000 per square foot across the fleet in 2011 and with an e commerce penetration in the 20 plus percent range. With comps in 2010 at plus 36% and 69% on top of that in 2011, this remains a story of impressive growth and expansion.And now turning to Page 8, you’ll see our summary for Lucky Brand. Total net sales for the quarter were up 23% and as we showed earlier, up 20% on a comp basis. For the year, net sales were $418 million, down 8% compared to 2010. We saw the wholesale business decline in 2011 as department stores held back earlier in the year to see how the new product performed. Their response didn’t come until the fourth quarter where they began to support the brand a bit more, and we can now expect modest growth from that channel on a go forward basis. Total net store count was down 6 doors versus fourth quarter 2010, and productivity was $429 per square foot for the year. 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