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A New York Yankees blog by Chad Jennings and the staff of The Journal News


Setting expectations on the day before Opening Day

Posted by: Chad Jennings - Posted in Misc on Mar 31, 2014 Print This Post Print This Post | Email This Post Email This Post

Joe Girardi

Right now, the baseball season is all about expectations. Within a few months there will be pleasant surprises and harsh realities, but right now it’s all about what might be or what could be.

I’ve been asked the past few days what I expect from this year’s Yankees, and I’m never quite sure how to answer. It’s a lot more complicated than saying this is an 85-win team or a 95-win team. With this team in particular — I’m sure it’s true every year, but it seems especially true this year — the season really hinges on a nearly endless series of uncertain expectations.

Think of these as over-under questions. What are you expecting this season?

Mark TeixeiraMark Teixeira
35 home runs?At this point, it seems foolish to expect Teixeira to hit .300 and be the kind of player he was in 2009. Even Teixeira has essentially acknowledged as much. But he can still be a viable run producer if he’s able to hit the ball out of the ballpark with that surgically repaired right wrist. Seems safe to assume Teixeira will take his walks, but are you expecting him to return to being one of the game’s very best home run hitters?

Derek Jeter
.290 batting average?
Defensive expectations are harder to define with a single number. Instead, for now we’ll focus on Jeter’s offense. Aside from last year and his first partial year, Jeter has hit below .290 only once in his career (which is pretty amazing). If Jeter has 600 at-bats this season, a .290 batting average means 174 hits. At 650 at-bats, it’s 189 hits. Last time Jeter was healthy, in 2012, he hit .316. Even in his uneven 2011 he hit .297.

Brian McCann
100 RBI?
Do you realize McCann’s never had a 100-RBI season? Reaching that milestone this year would mean keeping McCann healthy and keeping the top of the lineup productive, so that the cleanup hitter has plenty of RBI opportunities. Think about the Yankees recent middle-of-the-order hitters. Robinson Cano reached 100 RBI in three of his last four seasons. Teixeira had 100 RBI in each of his last three healthy seasons. Curtis Granderson had 100 in both 2011 and 2012. Alex Rodriguez has gotten there every season that he’s played more than 122 games. This number wouldn’t be all about McCann, but it could be telling for the Yankees.

Jacoby EllsburyJacoby Ellsbury
140 games played?
One minor injury wouldn’t be crushing. Surely the Yankees are expecting 150-plus out of their next center fielder, but if he falls just short of that, it’s more disappointing than destructive. The problem is the potential for Ellsbury to have an injury that costs him a month or more. His biggest injuries have been kind of flukey — collisions sent him to the DL twice — but that spring training calf issue was a reminder that little things could pop up here and there, and it’s hard to ignore Ellsbury’s track record. When he’s been on the field, he’s consistently been a good player.

Eduardo Nunez
90 games played?
Kind of a weird one, but here’s my thinking… The Yankees picked two unknowns with zero big league experience ahead of Nunez this spring. Whether I like him as a player, whether you like him as a player, whether he has the potential to go elsewhere and be an everyday guy doesn’t matter. What seems clear is that the Yankees would rather not use him. However, their infield situation is full of so many unreliable parts and such unproven depth that a few dominoes falling the wrong way could put Nunez in the lineup fairly regularly.

CC SabathiaCC Sabathia
3.31 ERA?
This number wasn’t pulled at random. It’s Hiroki Kuroda’s ERA the past two seasons. It’s also a full 1.47 better than Sabathia’s ERA last season. With Sabathia trying to be effective without his old fastball velocity, I’m not sure it’s worth focusing on his strikeouts, it’s all about simply getting the job done. And Kuroda has gotten the job done his past two years. There might be hope that Sabathia can get closer to the 3.00 he was in 2011, but for right now, wouldn’t a 3.31 be a good theoretical place to start?

Masahiro Tanaka
14 wins?
Kind of like McCann with the RBI, this isn’t necessarily a measure of Tanaka alone. In my mind, as long as Tanaka’s winning games — even if the Yankees offense is having to pick him up from time to time — his rookie season will be a solid success. Doesn’t have to be dominant in his rookie year, just needs to pitch well enough to help the Yankees win games. And look back to that championship 2009 season: Sabathia was the only Yankees starter to win more than 14. If Tanaka can pitch pretty well, and the lineup can hit pretty well, shouldn’t 14 wins be solid benchmark?

Michael Pineda
160 innings?
The Yankees won’t give an exact innings limit on Pineda. They’ve said he won’t be limited early in the season, but they’ve also acknowledged that he won’t be allowed to reach 200 innings. That leaves quite a bit of wiggle room. What we know for certain is that Pineda pitched 171 innings in 2011, so that seems like a high-end of what he would be allowed to pitch this season. Simply reaching 160 would require a good amount of health and enough production that he stays in the rotation most of the season. Hard to imagine Pineda reaching 160 big league innings with an ERA over 5.00.

David RobertsonDave Robertson
35 saves?
Might seem like a low number considering Mariano Rivera had 44 last year, but consider the fact that in 2012, only six closers reached 35 saves. In 2011, there were only four. In 2010, there were five. Certainly the best-case scenario involves more than 35 saves for Robertson, but I wonder if 35 is an attainable benchmark that indicates Robertson has stayed healthy and pitched well enough to stay in the closer role all year.

Manny Banuelos
10 major-league starts?Two ways this could happen. Either Banuelos pitches so well in Triple-A that the Yankees have little choice but to find a way to get him into their big league rotation, either as a way to rest one of their current starters or as a straight replacement. Banuelos could also make 10 or more big league starts if the Yankees rotation simply stumbles so badly that they have to find someone to help, and Banuelos is both in the upper levels and on the 40-man roster. Getting 10 starts out of Banuelos could be a great thing. Or it could be a sign that things have gone wrong.

Associated Press photos

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199 Responses to “Setting expectations on the day before Opening Day”

  1. MTU March 31st, 2014 at 9:09 am

    Under
    Push
    Push
    Over
    Under
    Over
    Over
    Under
    Push
    Under

  2. Shame Spencer March 31st, 2014 at 9:09 am

    Do we have to wait until tomorrow…?

    Ugh, fine be that way, MLB.

  3. Ys Guy March 31st, 2014 at 9:10 am

    teixeira under
    jeter under
    mccann under
    ellsbury over
    nunez over
    sabathia over
    tanaka over
    pineda over
    robertson push
    banuelos over

  4. Shame Spencer March 31st, 2014 at 9:13 am

    Mark Teixeira 35 home runs? – Under (Chad might be trolling us…)

    Derek Jeter .290 batting average? – Under

    Brian McCann 100 RBI? – Under

    Jacoby Ellsbury 140 games played? – Under/Push.. can’t decide

    Eduardo Nunez 90 games played? Under (Chad is definitely trolling us.)

    CC Sabathia 3.31 ERA? Over

    Masahiro Tanaka 14 wins? Over

    Michael Pineda 160 innings? Under/Push

    Dave Robertson 35 saves? Over

    Manny Banuelos 10 major-league starts? Under

  5. Shame Spencer March 31st, 2014 at 9:15 am

    If Nunez plays 90 games for this team it means we’ve burned through two or three people on the depth chart… we’d be in serious trouble.

  6. MTU March 31st, 2014 at 9:17 am

    Shame-

    I don’t want to see Nunez for 90 games.

  7. blake March 31st, 2014 at 9:17 am

    teixeira under
    jeter Over!
    mccann over!
    ellsbury under :(
    nunez way under
    sabathia over
    tanaka over
    pineda over
    robertson under
    banuelos under

  8. MTU March 31st, 2014 at 9:21 am

    Yankees above 3 place ?

    Over

    Team ERA below 3.5 ?

    Under

    Run differential greater than 100 runs ?

    Over

    :)

  9. Ys Guy March 31st, 2014 at 9:23 am

    …or nunez could shore up his defense and hit better than roberts or johnson, which might not be that hard to do.

  10. Ys Guy March 31st, 2014 at 9:25 am

    So, while I’m at it:
    AL East: Orioles
    AL Central: Royals
    AL West: Angels
    AL Wild Cards: Rays, Yankees

    NL East: Natinals
    NL Central: Cardinals
    NL West: Dodgers
    NL Wild Card: Reds, Giants and Braves tied

    WS: Royals beat Cardinals

  11. MTU March 31st, 2014 at 9:25 am

    Time to go meet the day and get some exercise.

  12. MTU March 31st, 2014 at 9:26 am

    Y’s-

    Nice fantasy.

    Not happening though.

  13. blake March 31st, 2014 at 9:29 am

    Wish yanks were playing today…..

  14. Yankee Trader March 31st, 2014 at 9:30 am

    Have a great day MTU

  15. Barry March 31st, 2014 at 9:31 am

    Is Chad counting Derek Jeter’s rookie season as 1995…? Because he was rookie of the year in 1996 and hit .314. In ’95 about .250 but limited playing time.

  16. Ys Guy March 31st, 2014 at 9:32 am

    i think people are overestimating what the yankees will get from johnson. i think he’s going to struggle both with the bat and at 3B. i think the competition for the 3b job has just begun.

  17. Shame Spencer March 31st, 2014 at 9:32 am

    Ys Guy March 31st, 2014 at 9:23 am
    …or nunez could shore up his defense and hit better than roberts or johnson, which might not be that hard to do.

    —————-

    Since he hasn’t been able to ‘shore up his defense’ throughout the entirety of his career, I’d say it’d be pretty hard for him to do.

  18. Yankee Trader March 31st, 2014 at 9:33 am

    Pineda, I believe, only pitched 42.3 innings last year. Would they even allow/push him to 160 innings.

    Banuelos will come up if pitching lights out and the Yankees need another lefty.

  19. Yankee Trader March 31st, 2014 at 9:34 am

    I think Nunez, now out of options, has seen his last season in pinstripes.

  20. blake March 31st, 2014 at 9:35 am

    Ys Guy says:
    March 31, 2014 at 9:32 am
    i think people are overestimating what the yankees will get from johnson. i think he’s going to struggle both with the bat and at 3B. i think the competition for the 3b job has just begun.

    I think he’s gonna get exposed…..which is why I have pleaded with them to add a real starting infielder

  21. blake March 31st, 2014 at 9:35 am

    But having said that…..Nunie is certainly not the answer ….the answer isn’t on the roster right now.

  22. Ys Guy March 31st, 2014 at 9:36 am

    he’s only gotta play better 3b than johnson, who led the team in errors in ST and was never such a great 2b anyway.

  23. Yankee Trader March 31st, 2014 at 9:37 am

    Stole this from a morning paper.
    Some Trivia involving Yankees:

    Was the last player to have 600 hits with three teams.
    Is a Hall of Famer whose lowest winning percentage in 10 pitching seasons was .643.
    Received the most unintentional walks.
    Had 10 consecutive-200 hit seasons.

  24. blake March 31st, 2014 at 9:37 am

    If 10 beach balls were pitched under hand and Tex was swinging a bass fiddle…..how many woukd he hit? I’ll set the over/under at 3

  25. Ys Guy March 31st, 2014 at 9:37 am

    well i said this early in camp and im sticking with it:
    nunez will start the most games at 3B and johnson will start the most games at 2B

  26. Yankee Trader March 31st, 2014 at 9:38 am

    Blake

    Sizemore, then, might get the call for third, as he has an opt out May 1st.

  27. blake March 31st, 2014 at 9:39 am

    I hope somebody that’s not currently on the team starts the most games at 3B

  28. Shame Spencer March 31st, 2014 at 9:40 am

    I’d love to see what you’d get from 10 starts from Manny right now, but could you imagine the arms we’d need to break to end up with that result?

  29. Yankee Trader March 31st, 2014 at 9:41 am

    blake March 31st, 2014 at 9:37 am
    If 10 beach balls were pitched under hand and Tex was swinging a bass fiddle…..how many would he hit? I’ll set the over/under at 3
    ——–

    As a lefty, ten into the shift.
    As a righty 2 out of 10 for hits.

  30. blake March 31st, 2014 at 9:42 am

    I want Manny to throw 140 innings at AAA and then pitch out of the Yankee bullpen in September. That would be ideal

  31. Shame Spencer March 31st, 2014 at 9:42 am

    Ys – I’m all for blind faith. But doesn’t it look like Anna will get a shot at 3B before Nunez at this point? I’m asking honestly, because it’s hard to tell with the misfit toy INF.

    There were too many people on this blog that tried to tell me Nunez was going to take over for Jeter lmao… the footwork has never been there. Nunez needed Larry Bowa. And even that would have been a battle to change up his approach to ground balls. I’ve never seen a guy field like Nunez.

  32. blake March 31st, 2014 at 9:43 am

    “As a lefty, ten into the shift.
    As a righty 2 out of 10 for hits.”

    Nah hitting lefty he’d pop up at least half

  33. Ys Guy March 31st, 2014 at 9:43 am

    of course anna will get a shot and so will sizemore and so will nunez. the question isnt who will get a shot, the question is who will get the job ultimately.

  34. Yankee Trader March 31st, 2014 at 9:46 am

    Who will be the first bullpen arm to be replaced?

    Thornton?

  35. Ys Guy March 31st, 2014 at 9:47 am

    im surprised how expensive mets opening day tickets are on stubhub, cheapest seats are $59!
    I guess the Mets fans realize it’s the only day of the year they are likely to win.

    but this year they’ve got strassburg to beat, so i dont see it happening.

  36. Shame Spencer March 31st, 2014 at 9:49 am

    Ys Guy March 31st, 2014 at 9:43 am
    of course anna will get a shot and so will sizemore and so will nunez. the question isnt who will get a shot, the question is who will get the job ultimately.

    —————-

    If it’s Nunez, then the team is in trouble. Because they will try every option before bringing him back.

    I wonder how long these auditions will last….

  37. Ys Guy March 31st, 2014 at 9:52 am

    so now that we’re past opening day, i guess drew is gonna sign that big 3 year deal that’s been sitting on scotty’s desk today, right?

  38. JobaTipsHisCap March 31st, 2014 at 9:54 am

    expectation for Tex, Jeter and CC would be wrong.

  39. Ys Guy March 31st, 2014 at 9:55 am

    the 99 yankees had ledee, curts and spencer all play significant portions of the season at LF.

    it turned out ok.

    same thing could happen at 3B (and/or 2B) this year.

  40. trisha - true pinstriped blue March 31st, 2014 at 9:57 am

    “Comeback Player of the Year- tie between Derek Jeter and Brian Roberts
    Most Valuable Yankee Player- Kelly Johnson
    AL Fireman- David Robertson”

    :)

    Trader, you and I are on the same page. I’ve given high prediction marks to Roberts, Johnson, and of course DRob!

  41. blake March 31st, 2014 at 9:58 am

    Ys Guy says:
    March 31, 2014 at 9:52 am
    so now that we’re past opening day, i guess drew is gonna sign that big 3 year deal that’s been sitting on scotty’s desk today, right?

    I think Scott stretched the truth a bit on that one

  42. trisha - true pinstriped blue March 31st, 2014 at 10:02 am

    prediction update – and countdown.

    34 hours and 9 minutes ’til chart closes – and least as of the writing of this post!

    additions and changes taken up until then. :)

    2014 PREDICTION CHART

    1/23 Cashmoney 163
    1/24 RayVT 108
    1/23 Trisha 101
    1/24 Hunger Games 101
    3/12 mnmboys 100
    2/4 Mottsx 99
    1/22 Kelvin 98
    3/22 bbb51 97
    3/24 MTU 97
    3/28 JeffinCanada 97
    1/22 Poetkiosk 96
    1/24 Howler 96
    1/29 Mike-Boston 96
    2/4 DaSaint007 96
    1/23 Chicken_Stanley 95
    1/23 nettles9nc 95
    1/25 Melkman is in hotlanta 95
    1/29 rm 95
    2/4 Hanks Bar 95
    2/25 Tyler 95
    3/28 massjake 95
    1/23 tomingeoriga 94
    1/23 GregD 94
    1/25 Yanksinvegas 94
    1/30 Munson15 94
    2/20 Charleston Chew 94
    2/21 Felix Unger 94
    2/25 The Straw 94
    3/16 albrown1321 94
    3/17 ac1 94
    3/24 PhiltheThril 94
    3/28 SAS 94
    3/29 Fire Bud Selig 94
    1/22 Rhapsody in Blue 93
    1/23 Pete2 93
    1/24 Jmills 93
    1/28 blake 93/147
    2/4 Doc Todd 93
    2/13 Abe Peterham 93
    3/16 CountryClub 93
    3/18 sjb23 93
    3/22 86w183 93
    3/24 ShameSpencer 93
    3/24 Spudz 93
    3/25 SweetSpot 93
    3/28 Yankee Trader 93
    3/28 yankfan1 93
    3/28 LevinsonSF 93
    1/23 Austinmac 92
    1/24 kd 92
    1/24 MichelleB 92
    2/4 Iron Horse 92
    2/8 Yanks 61 92
    3/16 Magrudor 92
    3/24 Chip 92
    3/25 rl15 92
    3/26 PatM 92
    3/28 jpmatrixfan88 92
    1/23 FS48 91
    1/23 Locke 91
    1/23 Tabbert 91
    2/4 Oscar Madison 91
    3/16 ecc16 91
    3/24 4TrainNorth 91
    1/23 Upstate 90
    1/25 Y’s Guy 90
    1/29 Deal With It 90
    1/30 longtime 90
    2/5 Your Name Here 90
    3/2 mortl 90
    3/16 Bojo 90
    3/24 luis 90
    3/24 RadioKev 90
    3/28 sammiejohnson 90
    1/24 Chambliss 89
    2/3 Bronx Zoo 89
    3/25 easyenough 89
    3/26 Yankee21 89
    1/23 JimK 88
    1/29 Baby Ruth 88
    3/4 Vineyard Yankee 88
    3/7 joeman 88
    3/27 DavidinCal 88
    3/28 bardos 88
    1/30 Your Worst Nightmare 87
    1/24 Comet 86
    1/29 Can of Corn 86
    3/10 Paco Dooley 86
    1/24 PKyankfan69 69

  43. Shame Spencer March 31st, 2014 at 10:02 am

    The ’99 team was a much better team overall.. this isn’t really the same thing. It isn’t like 2B is set in stone either.

  44. trisha - true pinstriped blue March 31st, 2014 at 10:03 am

    blake – give me direction on what to do about your prediction. If you already did, I missed it.

  45. Shame Spencer March 31st, 2014 at 10:06 am

    blake – If the Mets didn’t pull their 2/20 offer, I think he takes that.

  46. bruceb March 31st, 2014 at 10:08 am

    Hey Trish, MTU, Shame et al.

    Hope you have all survived the winter. I’ve been reading the blog most days but have refrained from posting as I like to keep my powder dry for the real battle ahead.

    Think the Yanks still have major holes in the infield and pen, and don’t think the transition from setup man to closer is going to be easy for DRob, but if the “A-team” stay fit and healthy, I think we’ll improve on last year.

    So put me down for an optimistic 91 wins please Trish…and above all else, enjoy the baseball everyone!!!

  47. pat March 31st, 2014 at 10:08 am

    “Most Valuable Yankee Player- Kelly Johnson”

    We better hope not.

  48. Yankee Trader March 31st, 2014 at 10:09 am

    Time to go.

    Hint to the trivia above:

    Was the last player to have 600 hits with three teams. – Was Jesus’ twin before shorn as a Yankee.

    Is a Hall of Famer whose lowest winning percentage in 10 pitching seasons was .643.-The Greatest not named Ali.

    Received the most unintentional walks. Big ego who stole from the rich and poor alike.

    Had 10 consecutive-200 hit seasons.- this one is easy so no hints.

    Check back later. have a great day.

  49. Shame Spencer March 31st, 2014 at 10:09 am

    pat March 31st, 2014 at 10:08 am
    “Most Valuable Yankee Player- Kelly Johnson”

    We better hope not.

    —————-

    Last year, second to Cano, might’ve been Brett Gardner.

    …better hope Johnson doesn’t rank second for this prize either!

  50. trisha - true pinstriped blue March 31st, 2014 at 10:09 am

    “because it’s hard to tell with the misfit toy INF.”

    I hope your sword’s not rusty, in case you have to fall on it! ;)

    “There were too many people on this blog that tried to tell me Nunez was going to take over for Jeter lmao”

    I guess that’s because Girardi basically said as much, because that’s what he wanted to happen? Maybe he thought Nunez would have shown a lot more. Or hey, do you think there’s any possibility that Nunez is going down to AAA with some kind of secret behind-the-scenes plot going on? Like Girardi tells him that he’s still in line for Jeter’s position but he’s much better off playing SS every day since that is going to be his permanent job than being utility for the Ys?

    Now there’s an interesting theory!

  51. blake March 31st, 2014 at 10:10 am

    Trisha,
    I’ll say 90 at the moment

  52. Shame Spencer March 31st, 2014 at 10:10 am

    Hey bruce!!! Glad to see you pop in. Tomorrow should be a good time on the blog… can’t wait!

  53. trisha - true pinstriped blue March 31st, 2014 at 10:11 am

    “We better hope not.”

    I’d rather hope so, since it would mean that he plays an amazing game for the Yankees, right? I would say that’s what Trader means too.

    :)

    Wow, you guys are so negative.

  54. Jerkface March 31st, 2014 at 10:12 am

    the 99 yankees had ledee, curts and spencer all play significant portions of the season at LF.

    Spencer was awful but Ledee was 10% better than league average and Curtis was league average. Kelly Johnson might be near league average and Dean Anna/Solarte could be awful, but which of our 3B is going to be 10% better than league average for half the season? The 99 Yankees also had Jeter and Bernie nearly OPS 1.00 , where as I don’t think the 2014 Yankees will have anyone close to the top hitters in baseball.

    This is a team unlike most Yankee teams. They don’t have 1 for sure very good hitter. The most likely best case scenario is that they have a couple of .800 OPS bats, the kind of guys who would be supporting cast on a historically good Yankee team.

  55. Shame Spencer March 31st, 2014 at 10:14 am

    I hope your sword’s not rusty, in case you have to fall on it! ;)

    —————

    Any sword I own has been purchased at Medieval Times, so the most it could be is brightly colored.

    But either way I’m not worried lol.

  56. Ys Guy March 31st, 2014 at 10:16 am

    so if i were to go all “nate silver” and roll together all the predictions i’ve seen this past weekend i’m pretty sure it would look like this:

    AL East
    Rays, Boston, Yankees, Orioles, Blue Jays
    Many people have the rays going to the WS. There is a decent amount of boston love but i didnt see anyone pick them to go back to the WS. Nobody that I saw had the Yankees even in the ALCS.

    Most popular WS winners were Dodgers, Natinals, Rays. (pitching, pitching and more pitching.)

  57. bruceb March 31st, 2014 at 10:16 am

    Moi (the eternal pessimist) more optimistic in my prediction than Blake. Scary!

  58. trisha - true pinstriped blue March 31st, 2014 at 10:18 am

    bruceb! So great to see you!!!! And I will happily add you to the chart. I’ve really missed having you around. :)

    blake – will do. And of course if anything happens in the next day that makes you want to change, that’s fine too.

    *************

    About the “experts” and their predictions. How strange that with the rotation we have (and the starters in the wings) and the addition of some really nice offense that some of these fools don’t even see the Yankees in the mix for the postseason. I find that bizarre, but whatever.

  59. Jerkface March 31st, 2014 at 10:20 am

    People are calling this Rays team the best one they have ever fielded. To be fair to that, the pitching will probably be insane, and Wil Myers could really explode. However, I don’t think Loney is going to duplicate last season. Still they look pretty fierce. The catcher they traded for, Hanigan, is really good defensively too. He was one of those guys I wanted the Yankees to trade for during our Martin/Stewart fiasco seasons.

  60. Ys Guy March 31st, 2014 at 10:20 am

    blake and i have the same # as of now, but I’m considering a change before lockdown, too.

  61. Shame Spencer March 31st, 2014 at 10:20 am

    @nickcafardo Victorino “unlikely” to be active today. No word on DL yet.

    ———————

    Where is chicken…?!

  62. Mottsx March 31st, 2014 at 10:21 am

    Lots of predictions for Will Myers have him at 30+ HRs then again a lot of people have Will Middlebrooks at 30+ HRs. I’ll believe both when I see them.

  63. trisha - true pinstriped blue March 31st, 2014 at 10:23 am

    Shame, what do you think about the Nunez at AAA getting ready for permanent SS theory?

  64. Ys Guy March 31st, 2014 at 10:23 am

    the rays are a pretty safe pick. even if their offense is somewhat weak, they are still going to be in contention with that rotation.

    Pretty much everybody has washington, stlouis and the dodgers in the NL, and i had that, too so i just decided i didnt want to ‘chalk it out’ so i picked other teams in the AL.

  65. Shame Spencer March 31st, 2014 at 10:23 am

    @injuryexpert MLB At Bat app is going to have all the replays and explanations? Ok, that’s just awesome.

  66. bbb51 March 31st, 2014 at 10:24 am

    Don’t cop out with pushes!

    Mark Teixeira 35 home runs? – Under

    Derek Jeter .290 batting average? – Under

    Brian McCann 100 RBI? – Under

    Jacoby Ellsbury 140 games played? – Over

    Eduardo Nunez 90 games played? Under

    CC Sabathia 3.31 ERA? Over

    Masahiro Tanaka 14 wins? Over

    Michael Pineda 160 innings? Under

    Dave Robertson 35 saves? Over

    Manny Banuelos 10 major-league starts? Under

  67. Shame Spencer March 31st, 2014 at 10:25 am

    Just for fun… let’s analyze the Mets today (seriously, if you wanna see what a truly depressing blog looks like..)

    Marc Carig ?@MarcCarig

    Young, Jr. – 2B
    Lagares – CF
    Wright – 3B
    Granderson – RF
    Brown – LF
    Davis – 1B
    d’Arnaud – C
    Tejada – SS
    Gee – RHP

  68. pat March 31st, 2014 at 10:27 am

    I don’t think it’s negative to think there would be a problem if Kelly Johnson is more valuable than at least 3 of the 5 starters, Ellsbury, Beltran, McCann.

  69. Shame Spencer March 31st, 2014 at 10:29 am

    trisha – I think it’s a reach. He’s more of a mirage than Wells.

  70. Ys Guy March 31st, 2014 at 10:29 am

    there is no depression in metland on opening day. they’ve won 20 of thier last 22 openers!

    the depression gets really really deep and dark tomorrow, though…

    i see them losing around 90 games.

  71. Shame Spencer March 31st, 2014 at 10:29 am

    bbb51 March 31st, 2014 at 10:24 am
    Don’t cop out with pushes!

    —————-

    I don’t want to! But some on that list are very, very close.

  72. Shame Spencer March 31st, 2014 at 10:31 am

    pat March 31st, 2014 at 10:27 am
    I don’t think it’s negative to think there would be a problem if Kelly Johnson is more valuable than at least 3 of the 5 starters, Ellsbury, Beltran, McCann.

    ——————-

    The things that get construed as negative in this place are pretty extreme… I love Gardner but him being the second best offensive player on our team last year was a Problem. Capital P.

  73. trisha - true pinstriped blue March 31st, 2014 at 10:32 am

    “I don’t think it’s negative to think there would be a problem if Kelly Johnson is more valuable than at least 3 of the 5 starters, Ellsbury, Beltran, McCann”

    Yeah, I guess I understand what you’re saying. Unless that meant they were all insane, with Johnson the most insane!

    Is it too much of a stretch to have someone MVP because they played so much better than they were expected to?

  74. Ys Guy March 31st, 2014 at 10:34 am

    personally i think the AL East starts out as a flat footed tie between 4 teams.

    the team that gets the most mojo wins it. most injuries loses it.

  75. trisha - true pinstriped blue March 31st, 2014 at 10:34 am

    “trisha – I think it’s a reach. He’s more of a mirage than Wells.”

    A mirage as what? A hitter? A fielder?

  76. DONNYBROOK March 31st, 2014 at 10:34 am

    - CHAD -

    I believe you missed it by a Mile. Could be a “forest for the trees” thing, but there is 1 PLAYER that the Yankees Entire season will depend on. He’s the butter-n-egg man, the go-to guy, the Big stick that is smack dab in the bowels of the Yankee batting order. He’s the guy that you can count on to make a heads-up play on either side of the ball when needed, and that you can Depend on when the game is on the line. He’s CARLOS BELTRAN. Why are such lofty expectations being heaped on a player that just walked into the Yankees locker room? Because he has done it Before, he’s done it on the Biggest stage there is, and he has done it More times than we can count.

  77. Ys Guy March 31st, 2014 at 10:35 am

    if playing better than expected gets you the team mvp than tex, jeter and nunez have a big leg up on everybody.

  78. trisha - true pinstriped blue March 31st, 2014 at 10:35 am

    Ys Guy – unless there have been some great additions to their lineups in the AL East, I still go back to Baseball Tonight crew saying the Ys had the best lineup in the AL East – and that was with the Cano trade!

    Add our rotation to that, I have high hopes for the Yankees!

  79. Jerkface March 31st, 2014 at 10:36 am

    The Tex 35 HR bit is the easiest under in history. Wrist injuries like he has sustained sap power. Even if he played the whole season and was good I could see him capping out at like 25.

  80. Ys Guy March 31st, 2014 at 10:37 am

    as a longtime betran fan, i love that post! idk that he’s got all that going on still at his age, but i think he’ll be solid all year on both sides.

  81. SweetSpot March 31st, 2014 at 10:39 am

    Victorino to the DL

  82. Shame Spencer March 31st, 2014 at 10:39 am

    A mirage as what? A hitter? A fielder?

    ————

    A viable every day starter.

  83. Ys Guy March 31st, 2014 at 10:39 am

    i think the orioles have the best lineup in the division and i dont think it’s that close.

    and dammit, now i see that tyler kepner also picked the orioles and royals.

  84. Ys Guy March 31st, 2014 at 10:40 am

    they have to get machado back, though.

  85. backbench March 31st, 2014 at 10:40 am

    MTU, Ys Guy, Blake,

    If you see Robertson at 35 saves or under, who else performs in the closer roll? Or is this an indicator that there just won’t be that many save opportunities?

  86. DONNYBROOK March 31st, 2014 at 10:41 am

    Any recommendation by that “Baseball Tonight” crew, is more along the lines of a “prophecy of doom.”

  87. SweetSpot March 31st, 2014 at 10:42 am

    In my opinion the Yankees success or failure this season will be determined by them staying healthy and the starting rotation.

  88. Ys Guy March 31st, 2014 at 10:43 am

    backbench, i guess i kinda worked in a trip to the dl with some tendenitis or something like that. I think Drob is going to be a great closer.

  89. DONNYBROOK March 31st, 2014 at 10:43 am

    I regard Beltran as the New Paul O’Neill on this team. The guy is Always looking for some way to beat the pants off the other team. He Never Lets Down physically or mentally.

  90. trisha - true pinstriped blue March 31st, 2014 at 10:46 am

    Sorry, I called it the wrong thing. It wasn’t Baseball Tonight.

    It was Al Leiter and Harold Reynolds and that crew.

    **********

    Great pitching scares me. More than anything else. So if that’s what we’re up against with the Rays, then we do have our hands full.

  91. Ys Guy March 31st, 2014 at 10:47 am

    beltran is a great ballplayer, just a cut below HOF level.

    met’s fans had no idea what they had in front of them when they pretty much ran him out of town. he was the best FA in met’s history.

    yankees missed out on an amazing opportunity by not signing him way back when…

  92. trisha - true pinstriped blue March 31st, 2014 at 10:47 am

    I’m going to give you an alpha sorting of the prediction list so posters can easily see their names and make sure the prediction is correct and still what they want. Thank God for excel spreadsheets!

  93. SweetSpot March 31st, 2014 at 10:48 am

    Looks to me like there’s a fair amount of parity in the AL East. The team that stays healthy will take it.

  94. SweetSpot March 31st, 2014 at 10:50 am

    Joba in a full facial caveman stretching at Comerica. Funny.

  95. blake March 31st, 2014 at 10:52 am

    I would take the over for 35 saves for Robertson….if I put under it was a mistake

  96. DONNYBROOK March 31st, 2014 at 10:52 am

    Yeah, comparing MLB Network to “Baseball Tonight”, is like comparing episodes of “Nova” to “Howdy Doody.” Hope Larkin is making a ton of $$$ over there, because he has joined the circus.

  97. Ys Guy March 31st, 2014 at 10:52 am

    i see bad things ahead for joba. his velocity is down even more now.

  98. blake March 31st, 2014 at 10:53 am

    “beltran is a great ballplayer, just a cut below HOF level.”

    I don’t think he’s a cut below at all relative to the actual HOFers…..he’s better than several outfielders that are in. For me he’s a HOFer now…..if he has a good 3 years as a Yankee……he’s a lock

  99. Ys Guy March 31st, 2014 at 10:53 am

    as for phil, i see him being predicted as both “surprise player” and as “bust” on different lists.

    dont see how he could really be a bust though…

  100. trisha - true pinstriped blue March 31st, 2014 at 10:53 am

    “This is a team unlike most Yankee teams. They don’t have 1 for sure very good hitter.”

    I have ambivalence about this statement. Part of me understands exactly what you’re saying and then part of me says, hey wait, what about (for example) Beltran? Soriano? Ellsbury?

    I looked back at our 2009 lineup and what a pretty listing that was. :(

  101. MTU March 31st, 2014 at 10:53 am

    Bench-

    More blown saves.

    Some which result in losses.

    And less opportunities because of better O.

  102. Shame Spencer March 31st, 2014 at 10:55 am

    ?@TylerKepner Sandy Alderson on Mets’ 90-win goal: “We need to turn a corner. It needs to be a 90-degree angle….It’s time for us to get better.”

  103. Madrugador March 31st, 2014 at 10:55 am

    Seems every year someone picks the Orioles and the Royals and every year they disappoint. I seem to recall that everyone was high on Toronto last year after that huge trade with the Marlins and we see how those predictions turned out. No offense JMills.

  104. trisha - true pinstriped blue March 31st, 2014 at 10:55 am

    “i see bad things ahead for joba. his velocity is down even more now.”

    :(

    Poor Joba.

  105. Shame Spencer March 31st, 2014 at 10:55 am

    @AdamRubinESPN “It wasn’t a guarantee. It wasn’t a prediction. It was a challenge.” — Sandy Alderson on 90 wins.

  106. Ys Guy March 31st, 2014 at 10:56 am

    i dont subscribe to the ‘everybody that’s better than jim rice or pee wee reese is a HOF’er’ theory, but we agree that beltran is right there and a strong finish in pinstripes puts him in.

    I heard carlos on wfan the other day talking about having a conversation with reggie.

    now THERE’S some post season mojo!

  107. miguel1955 March 31st, 2014 at 10:56 am

    trisha

    2014 PREDICTION CHART

    102

  108. Vineyard Yankee March 31st, 2014 at 10:56 am

    Hate to say it but ……….

    I can’t wait to see Joba get HAMMERED !!!!!!!!!!

  109. Ys Guy March 31st, 2014 at 10:57 am

    every year somebody picks the royals?!?

    i dont believe i’ve seen anybody pick the royals since 1988.

  110. trisha - true pinstriped blue March 31st, 2014 at 10:58 am

    And then there were the 2011 Sux, with Jesus at every position.

    So see, that’s why I pay no attention to the experts predictions every year.

  111. DONNYBROOK March 31st, 2014 at 10:58 am

    I believe Beltran is that, “for sure very good hitter.” If Jeet didn’t have the gig already, Beltran is Capt. The guy has done it, done it more times than you can count, and done it on the biggest stage there is. He’s currently parting The Red Sea, and the other 24 Yankees are behind him coming out of the wilderness.

  112. bbb51 March 31st, 2014 at 11:00 am

    Shame Spencer March 31st, 2014 at 10:55 am
    @AdamRubinESPN “It wasn’t a guarantee. It wasn’t a prediction. It was a challenge.” — Sandy Alderson on 90 wins.

    Not with that lineup.

  113. Ys Guy March 31st, 2014 at 11:00 am

    predictions are just for fun, nobody should take them seriously.

  114. Ys Guy March 31st, 2014 at 11:01 am

    this IS a prediction. the mets will LOSE 90.

  115. Vineyard Yankee March 31st, 2014 at 11:01 am

    Trisha

    Thanks for running your pool ! ! !

    Great job !

  116. Shame Spencer March 31st, 2014 at 11:01 am

    I’m curious to see what Joba’s velo looks like.

  117. Cashmoney March 31st, 2014 at 11:02 am

    this IS a prediction. the mets will LOSE 90.
    ——-
    disagree. care to wage on it?

  118. trisha - true pinstriped blue March 31st, 2014 at 11:02 am

    Vineyard, you are welcome! I enjoy doing it. I think it’s a very nice Yankee fan bonding experience.

    :)

  119. Ys Guy March 31st, 2014 at 11:03 am

    on “talking baseball” yesterday ed randall was asking his guests how they did on last year’s predictions before asking for this year’s which i thought was cool.

  120. Madrugador March 31st, 2014 at 11:03 am

    I’d just like to see the guys who make predictions stand up at the end of the year and own up to their predictions, that’s all.

  121. MTU March 31st, 2014 at 11:03 am

    The O’s pitching is still suspect even w the addition of U-Jim IMO.

    Machado will be late to the party too.

    O is very good. Manager is very good.

    A 3rd place Team again.

  122. Jerkface March 31st, 2014 at 11:04 am

    I have ambivalence about this statement. Part of me understands exactly what you’re saying and then part of me says, hey wait, what about (for example) Beltran? Soriano? Ellsbury?

    Well I mean just look at their production. Then look at every Yankee team going back the past 13 years. Beltran is a good hitter, but old, and is probably good for around an .810-.840 OPS. Soriano has 1 skill, which is right handed power, and likely would not be much more than an .800 OPS guy. Ellsbury has had 1 very good season, but be realistic and look at the guy outside of that year and he is a .770 OPS type guy. Then when you look at Yankee teams going back 13 years you can see they had atleast 1 of the top 10 hitters in the game on every team. Even the bad ones. Cano was consistently very good from 09 to 2013. A-rod was very very good from 04 to 09. Those teams also had guys like Giambi, Matsui, etc putting up amazing years.

    It is certainly possible that Ellsbury hits like 2011 somehow, or Beltran/Soriano pop off for some .900 OPS magic year as if they were 28 years old, but those things are not probable. They can happen, but it would be like a delightful surprise and counting on them like you could Cano/A-rod would be pretty foolish.

    Basically this team is like the difference between 2012 Mark Teixeira and 2009 Mark Teixeira. Mark Teixeira in 09 was a guy that would carry a team. One of the best hitters in the league. 2012 Mark Teixeira is a nice role player. The 2014 Yankees are a team full of role players. If someone steps up and carries that will be a huge boon.

  123. MTU March 31st, 2014 at 11:04 am

    The Mets could find their own butts w GPS.

  124. MTU March 31st, 2014 at 11:05 am

    ed: couldn’t

  125. DONNYBROOK March 31st, 2014 at 11:05 am

    The Mets are a Mess with all of it Collapsing on Wright.

  126. Ys Guy March 31st, 2014 at 11:05 am

    while im pretty sure that the mets will lose 90, im not interested in working out a wager and finding a way to transfer it, given security issues on this blog.

  127. Vineyard Yankee March 31st, 2014 at 11:05 am

    Trisha

    Yes it is

    If you need someone to share the cost of the prizes with you I would be happy to help

  128. trisha - true pinstriped blue March 31st, 2014 at 11:06 am

    ‘I believe Beltran is that, “for sure very good hitter.” If Jeet didn’t have the gig already, Beltran is Capt. The guy has done it, done it more times than you can count, and done it on the biggest stage there is. He’s currently parting The Red Sea, and the other 24 Yankees are behind him coming out of the wilderness.”

    I think I have to agree with you DONNY!

    *****************

    Madrugador – I have to tell you that for the last 100 years I laugh every time I see your name because I loved the character on SNL! All of a sudden it occurs to me that I’ve been seeing Magrudor, not Madrugador!!!

    :shock:

  129. Ys Guy March 31st, 2014 at 11:06 am

    “DONNYBROOK March 31st, 2014 at 11:05 am
    The Mets are a Mess with all of it Collapsing on Wright.”
    =====================================
    and wright took about $70M less to stay there!

  130. Poetkiosk March 31st, 2014 at 11:07 am

    I think much of the national media takes a certain amount of joy in predicting the Yankees don’t even make the playoffs and are 3 or 4th in the AL East. We fit the narrative of the team everyone loves to hate – bloated payroll, no farm system, historic collapses, reliant on FA’s, etc.

    I think it’s more complicated for the fan. Some fans prefer to predict low and therefore be pleasantly surprised. This means they have an overall negative take on the team during most of the year, but they get to be the smarty pants in the room and they get to jump for joy if they are wrong. Not a bad way to be, if you want to play it safe.

    Some fans predict or expect higher expectations, which means they have an overall positive take as the season opens, but leave themselves open to ridicule from the smarty pants.

  131. DONNYBROOK March 31st, 2014 at 11:07 am

    Yankees a “team full of role players.” HAHAHAHAHAHAHA That is silly.

  132. MTU March 31st, 2014 at 11:08 am

    Baseball is a Team sport.

    I don’t think you need a superstar on the Team but the potential to have one still exists.

    I’d expect the Yankees run differential to be one of the best.

    Any way you slice it that will produce a lot of wins.

    I’m tired of the big, hairy approach.

    I like this multi-dimensional one much better.

  133. Jerkface March 31st, 2014 at 11:09 am

    I believe Beltran is that, “for sure very good hitter.”

    I don’t mean that Beltran and these guys will be bad, because I do love Beltran, but when I say very good hitter I mean like top of the league type hitter. Beltran hit .296 .339 .491 .830 last year. Thats awesome, but its no .900 OPS.

    Do they have a guy that will give both on base and slugging? Soriano doesn’t get on base, Kelly Johnson doesn’t get on base. Beltran & Teixeira no longer really get on base. They have a lot of guys who good but flawed hitters. And their best hitter, Beltran, is old.

    I would be really pleased if McCann, Beltran, Soriano, Ellsbury, and Teixeira all OPS’d ~.800

  134. MTU March 31st, 2014 at 11:10 am

    VY-

    I have an idea.

    Why don’t you donate one of your finest to the winner ?

    :)

  135. Ys Guy March 31st, 2014 at 11:10 am

    i dont see any media bias in the predictions. jeff nelson picked the red socks, john heyman loves the yankees and he picked the orioles. tyler kepner too and i never saw him as anti-yankee.

    people are just trying to make their best guesses and they see other teams beating the yankees. its no big deal, there’s no conspiracy. and its just for fun.

  136. trisha - true pinstriped blue March 31st, 2014 at 11:10 am

    “Trisha

    Yes it is

    If you need someone to share the cost of the prizes with you I would be happy to help”

    How sweet of you to offer! In my life, intention is as good as the deed. So thank you for that from the bottom of my heart. Truly.

    I think I’ll be okay. I am going to set money aside during the season, going with “worse case” scenario, ha ha. Then I’ll definitely be okay.

    But seriously, thank you for that. You are aces.

    :)

  137. MTU March 31st, 2014 at 11:10 am

    Or send it to Trisha for sponsoring the whole shebang.

    ;)

  138. DONNYBROOK March 31st, 2014 at 11:10 am

    - Y’s -

    Agree. Wright should have got out of there. They drug his numbers down with that new stadium, and now they put a team around him that will further drag his number down. There is No reason to pitch to Wright with the game on the line. He going to W a ton.

  139. Cashmoney March 31st, 2014 at 11:11 am

    YS, I completely understand. Let’s say if I lose, I will walk into your restaurant which i assume is NJ (doable) and buy you dinner and vice versa.

  140. Ys Guy March 31st, 2014 at 11:12 am

    i agree with jf. i love me some beltran, but the days of him being at the top of the league hitting charts is behind him. he’ll be fine and get a bunch of big hits, win a bunch of games, etc, but he’s not elite any more.

    he can be elite in the PS though…

  141. Jerkface March 31st, 2014 at 11:13 am

    he can be elite in the PS though…

    Seriously. Imagine if we had him from 05 to now… ARGH That is gonna kill me every time I see him play the next 3 years.

  142. Ys Guy March 31st, 2014 at 11:13 am

    ok cash, you’re on! i’m near newark, so it’s close!

  143. DONNYBROOK March 31st, 2014 at 11:13 am

    Using Numbers to evaluate hitters Only goes so far. Beltran is a Lot like Reggie. This guy delivers at that Crucial point in a game.

  144. MTU March 31st, 2014 at 11:14 am

    You guys are too worried about elite O.

    We don’t need it when we will have elite pitching.

  145. trisha - true pinstriped blue March 31st, 2014 at 11:15 am

    Here’s an alpha sorting. Another way to check on your prediction!

    2014 YANKEE PREDICTION CHART

    3/24 4TrainNorth 91
    3/22 86w183 93
    2/13 Abe Peterham 93
    3/17 ac1 94
    3/16 albrown1321 94
    1/23 Austinmac 92
    1/29 Baby Ruth 88
    3/28 bardos 88
    3/22 bbb51 97
    3/31 blake 90
    3/16 Bojo 90
    2/3 Bronx Zoo 89
    3/31 bruceb 91
    1/29 Can of Corn 86
    1/23 Cashmoney 163
    1/24 Chambliss 89
    2/20 Charleston Chew 94
    1/23 Chicken_Stanley 95
    3/24 Chip 92
    1/24 Comet 86
    3/16 CountryClub 93
    2/4 DaSaint007 96
    3/27 DavidinCal 88
    1/29 Deal With It 90
    2/4 Doc Todd 93
    3/25 easyenough 89
    3/16 ecc16 91
    2/21 Felix Unger 94
    3/29 Fire Bud Selig 94
    1/23 FS48 91
    1/23 GregD 94
    2/4 Hanks Bar 95
    1/24 Howler 96
    1/24 Hunger Games 101
    2/4 Iron Horse 92
    3/28 JeffinCanada 97
    1/23 JimK 88
    1/24 Jmills 93
    3/7 joeman 88
    3/28 jpmatrixfan88 92
    1/24 kd 92
    1/22 Kelvin 98
    3/28 LevinsonSF 93
    1/23 Locke 91
    1/30 longtime 90
    3/24 luis 90
    3/16 Magrudor 92
    3/28 massjake 95
    1/25 Melkman is in hotlanta 95
    1/24 MichelleB 92
    3/31 Miguel1955 102
    1/29 Mike-Boston 96
    3/12 mnmboys 100
    3/2 mortl 90
    2/4 Mottsx 99
    3/24 MTU 97
    1/30 Munson15 94
    1/23 nettles9nc 95
    2/4 Oscar Madison 91
    3/10 Paco Dooley 86
    3/26 PatM 92
    1/23 Pete2 93
    3/24 PhiltheThril 94
    1/24 PKyankfan69 69
    1/22 Poetkiosk 96
    3/24 RadioKev 90
    1/24 RayVT 108
    1/22 Rhapsody in Blue 93
    3/25 rl15 92
    1/29 rm 95
    3/28 sammiejohnson 90
    3/28 SAS 94
    3/24 ShameSpencer 93
    3/18 sjb23 93
    3/24 Spudz 93
    3/25 SweetSpot 93
    1/23 Tabbert 91
    2/25 The Straw 94
    1/23 tomingeoriga 94
    1/23 Trisha 101
    2/25 Tyler 95
    1/23 Upstate 90
    3/4 Vineyard Yankee 88
    3/28 Yankee Trader 93
    3/26 Yankee21 89
    3/28 yankfan1 93
    2/8 Yanks 61 92
    1/25 Yanksinvegas 94
    2/5 Your Name Here 90
    1/30 Your Worst Nightmare 87
    1/25 Y’s Guy 90

  146. Cashmoney March 31st, 2014 at 11:15 am

    Sounds good, gives me a reason to keep track of the Metsy. I think they can win 80 games.

  147. DONNYBROOK March 31st, 2014 at 11:16 am

    My only concern with Beltran is after the All-Star Break. He does wear down. As for the 1st Half, I expect him to tear the doors off.

  148. trisha - true pinstriped blue March 31st, 2014 at 11:16 am

    “I’m tired of the big, hairy approach.

    I like this multi-dimensional one much better.”

    Could not agree more!

  149. Jerkface March 31st, 2014 at 11:17 am

    Using Numbers to evaluate hitters Only goes so far. Beltran is a Lot like Reggie. This guy delivers at that Crucial point in a game.

    Sure, Beltran hit like a monster with RISP, but in the end he still only got on base 34% of the time. The other 66% of the time he made outs, and you can’t tell me that 100% of those outs were inconsequential to winning ball games. He will probably be the best hitter on the team this year, and I’m going to want him up to the plate in every big moment, but he isn’t Ryan Braun or Mike Trout or Cabrera or even Ortiz.

  150. Cashmoney March 31st, 2014 at 11:17 am

    Tex 35 and Pineda 160 are almost lock to be under.

  151. willwill March 31st, 2014 at 11:17 am

    Damon is the answer to the trivia.

  152. Major Deegan March 31st, 2014 at 11:18 am

    Trisha:

    I’d like to participate in the 2014 Prediction Pool

    Please put me down for 94 Wins

    Thanks so much for your efforts in running this Pool

    We should have a lot of fun with it this Season!

  153. trisha - true pinstriped blue March 31st, 2014 at 11:18 am

    “You guys are too worried about elite O.

    We don’t need it when we will have elite pitching.”

    Another home run. And when we meet up with elite pitching, I still like the O that we have!

  154. MTU March 31st, 2014 at 11:18 am

    If I could change one thing right now I would give us back an elite IF.

    :(

  155. Ys Guy March 31st, 2014 at 11:18 am

    too bad the mets dont finish at home or we could make it a beer at citi field, which will be very empty in late september….

  156. Jerkface March 31st, 2014 at 11:18 am

    We don’t need it when we will have elite pitching.

    You know the phrase “I’d rather have it and not need it than need it and not have it”? And they are in a division with a team that has more elite pitching (with less question marks!) so I’d like every advantage possible.

    Why either or? Give me both, please, so this team doesn’t have to run neck and neck to the finish line with 3 other teams.

  157. Cashmoney March 31st, 2014 at 11:20 am

    I am going Citi with a friend tomorrow. for 65 bucks, you get decent seats at Citi.

  158. Ys Guy March 31st, 2014 at 11:21 am

    i think girardi did a great job with damon and matsui, resting them strategically to get the most out of them in 2009, despite people in here screeching when he sat them.

    with this team and this manager, i see beltran, soriano and mccann staying fresh all year. not sure about jeter though.

  159. Shame Spencer March 31st, 2014 at 11:22 am

    I would be really pleased if McCann, Beltran, Soriano, Ellsbury, and Teixeira all OPS’d ~.800

    ——————–

    This is your best case scenario, barring injury. Everyone just needs to stay healthy and in the case of Tex and Ells, bounce back and have a career year.

  160. Poetkiosk March 31st, 2014 at 11:22 am

    The media bias is real. I also think it’s partly due to it just being a better narrative – the big bad Yankees with their bloated play roll, get taken down by smarter, small market teams. That’s kind of like the old fashioned American way. People love it when the little guy wins and the Yankees will never be the little guy.

    @Trisha – laughed out loud at your Jesus at every position comment. Well done.

  161. MTU March 31st, 2014 at 11:23 am

    JF-

    You know me.

    I believe in bludgeoning my opponents to death.

    So I hear you.

    But it is what is right now.

    And right now we have a good O and a superior pitching staff.

    Our IF D remains a question mark for me.

    I am concerned about it but hoping for the best.

    And by the way, in my most optimistic scenario, we have a better staff than the Rays.

    If all goes well people will be shock and awed by our staff.

    No weak sisters there. Not one.

    ;)

  162. Ys Guy March 31st, 2014 at 11:24 am

    “Poetkiosk March 31st, 2014 at 11:22 am
    The media bias is real. I also think it’s partly due to it just being a better narrative – the big bad Yankees with their bloated play roll, get taken down by smarter, small market teams. That’s kind of like the old fashioned American way. People love it when the little guy wins and the Yankees will never be the little guy.
    ++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++=
    so how come everybody picked the dodgers?

  163. Poetkiosk March 31st, 2014 at 11:26 am

    The Dodgers are not perceived in any way near the way the Yankees are. For them it’s just payroll and not a history of winning. Totally different story line there.

  164. pat March 31st, 2014 at 11:27 am

    Future SS? :wink:

    In five games for Miami’s Gulliver Prep, Dunand went 10-for-12 with nine home runs, including going yard on all of his final eight swings.

    http://nypost.com/2014/03/31/a.....-run-feat/

  165. Shame Spencer March 31st, 2014 at 11:27 am

    so how come everybody picked the dodgers?

    —————-

    Because they haven’t won anything yet. They’re a lot easier to like.

  166. trisha - true pinstriped blue March 31st, 2014 at 11:27 am

    “Why either or? Give me both, please, so this team doesn’t have to run neck and neck to the finish line with 3 other teams.”

    This too. Fair is fair.

    *****************

    poetkiosk – agree with the media bias.

    “@Trisha – laughed out loud at your Jesus at every position comment. Well done.”

    thank you! :D

  167. Ys Guy March 31st, 2014 at 11:27 am

    the dodgers dont’ have a history of winning!?!

    that’d be news to alot of dodger fans.

  168. trisha - true pinstriped blue March 31st, 2014 at 11:30 am

    “Because they haven’t won anything yet. They’re a lot easier to like.”

    So there you have it sports fans!

    *********

    By the way, new rules for actually receiving the candy. You’ll see them at the end, but they definitely will weed out any multiples!

    ;)

  169. Poetkiosk March 31st, 2014 at 11:31 am

    Dodgers 6 WS

    Yankees 26

    Ergo different. Much. Not even close.

  170. Ys Guy March 31st, 2014 at 11:31 am

    You have to twist yourself into a pretzel to explain this media bias and why they aren’t picking the Yankees.

    The usual explanation is that the media loves the red socks, but since few are picking them, you have to figure some other angle. And the angle you came up with is that they hate big payrolls.

    But not the biggest payroll, only the yankees payroll.

  171. trisha - true pinstriped blue March 31st, 2014 at 11:31 am

    “the dodgers dont’ have a history of winning!?!

    that’d be news to alot of dodger fans.”

    They certainly don’t have a history of winning it all in recent memory.

  172. Shame Spencer March 31st, 2014 at 11:32 am

    Ys Guy March 31st, 2014 at 11:27 am
    the dodgers dont’ have a history of winning!?!

    that’d be news to alot of dodger fans.

    —————-

    Lol, where did anyone say that?

    Fact is they haven’t won a title in over two decades. If they string together some great seasons the hate will build and people will love watching/predicting failure.

  173. trisha - true pinstriped blue March 31st, 2014 at 11:32 am

    “You have to twist yourself into a pretzel to explain this media bias and why they aren’t picking the Yankees.”

    Actually not. It’s quite easy to do. We’ve lived it for so long that there’s no trouble believing it.

    If you need to contort to figure out why it isn’t Yankee bias, have at.

  174. MTU March 31st, 2014 at 11:32 am

    I’m also loving the increased accuracy that instant replay will deliver.

    Less BS.

    :)

  175. Shame Spencer March 31st, 2014 at 11:33 am

    Ys Guy March 31st, 2014 at 11:31 am
    You have to twist yourself into a pretzel to explain this media bias and why they aren’t picking the Yankees.

    The usual explanation is that the media loves the red socks, but since few are picking them, you have to figure some other angle. And the angle you came up with is that they hate big payrolls.

    But not the biggest payroll, only the yankees payroll.

    —————

    Could just be the team is actually flawed, as opposed to just being perceived as flawed. Last year a lot of people weren’t picking them and they were proven right.

  176. Ys Guy March 31st, 2014 at 11:34 am

    this need to feel persecuted if very small-minded imo.

    and very un-new york.

  177. Against All Odds March 31st, 2014 at 11:34 am

    I think there is a bias for some if not a handful of ppl out there but I think others just try to look at it from another point of view. The lack of farm and spending out of trouble can only work for so long.

  178. Vineyard Yankee March 31st, 2014 at 11:34 am

    Mike ……

    U mean one of these ? ?

    https://lh6.googleusercontent.com/-ozMt_3uef48/UrIfiMrvTaI/AAAAAAAABdU/31p04yAq2cg/s720/LL%2520Saturday%2520afternoon%2520pictures%2520disc%25202%2520047.jpg

  179. trisha - true pinstriped blue March 31st, 2014 at 11:35 am

    MTU – I’m actually PSYCHED that we will get to see all replays and explanations for all teams! And I will watch every darned one of them and celebrate that it’s finally being done!

    My prediction is that umpires are going to start to get it right more of the time because the spotlight will definitely be on them for inaccurate calls. Sure there will be times when it is so close that it’s understandable. But hell when we in front of the television call it right, and not in slomo, they better start watching harder!

  180. MTU March 31st, 2014 at 11:35 am

    Think the Giants the year they won w an even better overall staff and better O.

    That’s my optimistic way of seeing us.

    :)

  181. pat March 31st, 2014 at 11:36 am

    Ouch.

    ” Steinbrenner revealed, “When Joe and I had a conversation at the end of the season, even before he agreed to come back, he said, ‘Look, I got guys coming up here who don’t even know how to run the bases, guys coming up that don’t know how to bunt. Something is clearly being missed at some levels.’ ”

  182. trisha - true pinstriped blue March 31st, 2014 at 11:37 am

    “Fact is they haven’t won a title in over two decades. If they string together some great seasons the hate will build and people will love watching/predicting failure.”

    Absolutely. Fan jealousy 101.

  183. Vineyard Yankee March 31st, 2014 at 11:38 am

    Trisha

    If you change your mind give a shout out, happy to help

  184. trisha - true pinstriped blue March 31st, 2014 at 11:39 am

    “Trisha

    If you change your mind give a shout out, happy to help”

    ;)

  185. MTU March 31st, 2014 at 11:40 am

    VY-

    No. It comes in a bottle.

    But I am always glad to see you handsome pups.

    Trisha-

    My biggest single concern is health for our Team.

    With regard to our Pitching we are incredibly deep so that is great.

    It is built for the long haul.

    Our IF is thin IMO.

    We have to get lucky there.

  186. trisha - true pinstriped blue March 31st, 2014 at 11:41 am

    Some people apparently don’t know the meaning of the saying “Just because you’re paranoid doesn’t mean they’re not out to get you!”

    Check back later y’all. Things to do before I actually get to do my first “root for any team playing the Sux” cheer of the season!

    :)

  187. trisha - true pinstriped blue March 31st, 2014 at 11:43 am

    MTU – our infield will come through. Take that to the bank. Don’t look for Robby or Arod’s best seasons. You’re not going to get them. But you will see a very respectable infield.

    That’s my story and I’m sticking to it.

    Later.

    :)

  188. MTU March 31st, 2014 at 11:52 am

    Got to run.

  189. Shame Spencer March 31st, 2014 at 12:04 pm

    pat March 31st, 2014 at 11:36 am
    Ouch.

    ” Steinbrenner revealed, “When Joe and I had a conversation at the end of the season, even before he agreed to come back, he said, ‘Look, I got guys coming up here who don’t even know how to run the bases, guys coming up that don’t know how to bunt. Something is clearly being missed at some levels.’ ”

    ——————

    GTFOH….

  190. Ys Guy March 31st, 2014 at 12:06 pm

    if you admit that you are paranoid, they you have admitted that you can’t tell whether the bias actually exists or if it’s just in your head.

  191. J. Alfred Prufrock March 31st, 2014 at 12:08 pm

    Well LMAO.

    I guess the charge that the Yankees suck at development is valid, after all.

    Unless of course, Girardi is the next to be trolled as being anti-FO.

  192. Vineyard Yankee March 31st, 2014 at 12:09 pm

    No. It comes in a bottle.

    But I am always glad to see you handsome pups.

    ========

    Mike

    Glad you like my ‘kids’ :)

    Missed the hint Ha !

    U mean vino! I can do that, but maybe send it to Trisha for running the thing.

    :)

  193. Ys Guy March 31st, 2014 at 12:12 pm

    i have to say that the most shocking thing that happened (or more accurately didnt happen) this offseason was that there were basically no changes in the player development area. oppenheimer, tony franklin, dave miley and ultimately brian cashman need to be held accountable. im not saying who ‘has to go’ but keeping everybody just says that it doesn’t matter.

    it does matter.

  194. Vineyard Yankee March 31st, 2014 at 12:13 pm

    New One ——— :arrow:

  195. Frank Leja March 31st, 2014 at 12:13 pm

    Chad’s obsession with Nunez is bizarre.

  196. J. Alfred Prufrock March 31st, 2014 at 12:15 pm

    In all seriousness, I have always felts that development has been the sorer issue than who we have in the system.

    Maybe we have such a dearth of “ready” players at AA and AAA because the mentors are failing the talent at the lower levels.

    I read an interview with Tyler Austin where he was asked if he got special instruction as a 3B, and his response was “Not really.”

    According to reports, Austin is not considered a good 3B by the Yankees – so maybe that perception preceded investing much instruction for him there, but if you’re going to have the guy’s glove over there, why not help him get better?

    He has since moved to the OF, as everybody knows. It was a very curious, telling – and obviously, honest – response.

  197. Shame Spencer March 31st, 2014 at 12:16 pm

    :arrow:

  198. GoDucks March 31st, 2014 at 5:34 pm

    Tex with 35 homers seems like a stretch, considering he has yet to show that he can still get even one over the fence with that wrist. On the other hand, if Tanaka only brings 14 wins, the Yankees will look foolish for having committed so much money to him. Nunez? Pretty likeable seeming guy, but he has been given so many chances it is getting sad to watch. I think they trade him away.

  199. berri April 1st, 2014 at 4:11 am

    Trish:

    My prediction is 91 wins.

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